England 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 now has near total #B117 variant domination. It is now fully 97% of all #COVID19 cases in London. Total cases are down but B117 still up. Denmark 🇩🇰 also saw B117 fraction surge 70% increase per week after week even despite lockdown, total 🇩🇰 domination by end of Feb.
2) Denmark #B117. Total domination expected by Danish CDC by end of Feb.
4) here is how the B117 compared versus common strain: 6x worse in just 2 weeks in this scenario.
5) B117 is also deadlier potentially by 30%. 7 of 10 studies agree.
6) Denmark is leading the world in sequencing - by sequencing EVERY SINGLE DAMN CASES of new COVID19 in the country. They are just that worried. They also just found several cases of the South African #B1351 variant too because of it.
7) Here is a simulation of #B117 in US assuming a modest 1 mil vaccinations per day and holding R at just 1.1. It’s still not flattening the curve (see grey band). And that’s assume we don’t screw it up and allow R to be over 1.1– but I fear we will be.
8) #B117 is so infectious, Canada 🇨🇦 provincial local health depts think just a few minutes or even 1 second without mask of close contact is enough for infection. See 🧵
9) continued domination of #B117 over time in England 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿. Light green.
10) total domination (dark purple) of #B117.

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More from @DrEricDing

4 Feb
Florida. Notice all the elderly ladies at the grocery store checkout aisle with zero masks.

Welcome to @RonDeSantisFL’s Florida, plus no travel restriction to anywhere else in America. #COVID19
2) Meanwhile here is South Dakota’s governor— equally crazy Trump loyalist.
3) Naples Florida to be precise.
Read 5 tweets
4 Feb
Fauci: “We have to be concerned about the mutants” 👀

He’s right on the concern for the #B117, #B1351, #P1. Plus the B117+E484K mutant combination is worrisome. #COVID19

2) Here are the mutations within each of the 3 standard variants. But the #B117 has also acquired the bad E484K mutation found in the SA and Brazil variants in a new B117 sublineage in Wales 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 and England. E484K is the bad one. Image
3) here is the detailed thread 🧵 of the new sublineage of B117 + E484K
Read 9 tweets
4 Feb
15 MINUTE RULE IS WRONG! When you watch the SuperBowl, remember it was saved because the NFL knew the 15 minutes + 6 ft rule was wrong. The #COVID19 gospel of ‘within six feet for more than 15 minutes’ wasn’t enough—and the NFL had the data to prove it.🧵 wsj.com/articles/super…
2) It was early October, and NFL had a problem. It wasn’t just that players and staff for Tennessee Titans were continuing to test positive in an outbreak that shook NFL’s season. It wasn’t even that the NFL was learning that virus was able to rush through holes in its protocols.
3) The NFL was slowly discovering something far deeper: a core tenet of Covid-19 transmission wisdom—how to define when individuals are in “close contact”—was just wrong.
Read 6 tweets
4 Feb
BREAKING—Opioid drug pushing firm McKinsey has agreed to pay $573 million to settle investigations for its role that “turbocharged” opioid sales. McKinsey worked to drive sales of Purdue Pharma’s OxyContin amid opioid epidemic that led to 450,000 deaths.🧵
nytimes.com/2021/02/03/bus… Image
2) The firm has reached the agreement with attorneys general in 47 states, the District of Columbia and five territories.

The firm also worked with a number of opioid makers to band together to “defend against strict treatment” by the Food and Drug Administration.
3) McKinsey’s extensive work with Purdue included advising it to focus on selling lucrative high-dose pills, the documents show, even after the drugmaker pleaded guilty in 2007 to federal criminal charges that it had misled doctors and regulators about OxyContin’s risks.
Read 9 tweets
4 Feb
POWERFUL video series by @thematthewcooke.

What's happening in the US 🇺🇸 now is the mirror image of what happened after Lincoln was assassinated at the end of the civil war.

📍TRUMP REPUBLICANS ARE A 150-YEAR OLD MISTAKE - PART 1 (of 3) 🧵

2) After Lincoln was assassinated at the end of the civil war, Andrew Johnson failed to hold the confederacy accountable. So they came back to haunt us again. And again.

📍TRUMP REPUBLICANS ARE A 150-YEAR OLD MISTAKE - PART 2 (of 3) by @thematthewcooke
3) “M.T. Greene, Lauren Boebert, Matt Gaetz, McCarthy, Cruz—are all confederate zombies risen from the boneyard of America's unatoned sins. They will stop haunting 🇺🇸 when we hold them accountable”.

📍TRUMP REPUBLICANS ARE A 150-YEAR OLD MISTAKE - PART 3
Read 4 tweets
3 Feb
"None of us were able to predict" #COVID19 would mutate or variants would emerge, says Dido Harding, head of 🇬🇧 National Institute for Health Protection

➡️ Except every epidemiologist and immunologist expert!! 🤦🏻‍♂️ Image
3) Yes, and also every evolutionary biologist, virologist, geneticist, infectious disease physician, pathologist.... hell, I’ll even throw in X-men movie fans.
Read 6 tweets

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