Latest REACT-1 study results are really important.
The headline result of prevalence now at around 0.5% masks big differences by region, employment type, HH size, and keyworker status.
(and note - in the summer, prevalence was more like 0.05-0.1%)
1/5
spiral.imperial.ac.uk/bitstream/1004…
The headline result of prevalence now at around 0.5% masks big differences by region, employment type, HH size, and keyworker status.
(and note - in the summer, prevalence was more like 0.05-0.1%)
1/5
spiral.imperial.ac.uk/bitstream/1004…
Relative drop in prevalence between round 8 (6th-22nd Jan) and 9a (4th-13th Feb) is far greater in the S than the N and may be plateauing at around 1% in the NE.
It's helpful to know that trends in REACT generally follow trends in national PCR positivity data (in red). 2/5
It's helpful to know that trends in REACT generally follow trends in national PCR positivity data (in red). 2/5
Differences by deprivation group exposed yet again, plus if living in large households. Less stark differences by ethnicity (although v wide confidence intervals).
And this is AFTER adjustment for things like age, region, key work status, HH size, deprivation, ethnicity. 3/5
And this is AFTER adjustment for things like age, region, key work status, HH size, deprivation, ethnicity. 3/5
Health care workers still have statistically significantly higher odds of testing positive, with key workers also having higher odds (non-significant - all after adjustment). 4/5
And falls across all ages with higher rates among young adults & 5-12 y/o. Plus, as authors mention, no major signs yet of a vaccine effect on transmission.
Finally, please note - 0.5% is relatively high & the number in hospital is still about the *same* as April peak. 5/5
Finally, please note - 0.5% is relatively high & the number in hospital is still about the *same* as April peak. 5/5
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
