National Security Council for AI (chaired by Google's Schmidt) issues 750-pg report proposing “US & its allies should utilize targeted export controls on high-end semiconductor manufa equipmen...to protect existing technical advantages & slow [China]" reports.nscai.gov/final-report/t…
2/ Ex Google CEO Schmidt made it plain in 2010s that he intends to marry Silicon Valley giants to the Pentagon. His pitch: thanks for starting Computers in 1940s but your software & weapons are stuck in 1980s
Military Industrial complex contracts,ka-ching! nytimes.com/2020/05/02/tec…
3/ And to Silicon Valley, Google's Schmidt has made the pitch that the digital world is decoupling (and China will never let you into the walled garden, trust us, we tried & failed) and you have to turn into patriotic National Giants to help contain China nytimes.com/2020/02/27/opi…
4/ On the China Question, a notable gap has opened up between the 2 highly profitable power centers in the US: Silicon Valley & Wall Street.
Wall Street sees money to be made in China (& on behalf of Western MNC's ~ 5 trillion dollars of FDI into China)
5/ But Power in the US pol economy has transitioned from Government Sachs to Govt Google. With Silicon Valley's marriage w Pentagon, is decoupling from China more likely? An "extraordinary report on the love affair between Google & Obama" ht @policytensorthenewatlantis.com/publications/g…
5/ US political economy was bipolar: Wall Street & Silicon Valley. But laws of uneven & combined development provincialized even Wall St as Valley's tech firms became Trillion dollar colossus.
US is now Unipolar in secret Harris Presidency (formerly senator from the Valley)
6/ Unlike US, China is going after AI Tech Giants. Top tech stocks have lost $250bn in market cap since regulators decided to curb their monopoly power. “This is just a way of Beijing saying to all the big companies: ‘You have to play ball by our rules.'" ft.com/content/251534…
7/Will China regret spurning Google (kicked out of Firewall in 2010)? Instead of Silicon Valley, China sweetened the pot for Wall Street to counterbalance Trump hostility. Financial opening —what Wall St hungered for decades — irresistible despite Pentagon wsj.com/articles/china…
8/ Technology developed by worlds' brainiest ppl has been motor of US domination. "Schmidt is preaching to the choir/helping out the Dems. Congress is already on track to pour 10s of billions into high tech R&D, much of it ear-marked for AI, 5G & biotech"
9/ Famous 1927 Solvay conference had just 2 Americans. 10 yrs later, Europe went fascist, & scientific research frontier moved to US. If US turns away students & researchers, its loss will be others gain. The 5G,AI,Biotech, Greentech etc won't build itself
10/ The world’s 2 largest economies are now the main combatants in the patent war for new technologies.
Can US maintain its technological edge w its Open Society & more R&D? Or is China's knowhow (hence 21stC growth) now endogenous & near escape velocity?vdata.nikkei.com/en/newsgraphic…
11/ Pentagon's logic of US-China decoupling: (1) technology drives economic growth & military power (2) China cannot innovate without copying or stealing IP from West
Therefore,forcing firms to decouple arrests China's rise. It's (2) that's false. China's know-how now endogenous
12/US has declared economic war on China w Tech sanctions."Chinese regime should not expect the perpetrators of crimes against humanity to be welcome anywhere in the West. It should not expect its security organizations to be able to do biz..." @adam_toozeip-quarterly.com/en/fragility-e…
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
There's a 1970s style energy crisis playing out in Japan, Korea & China with hardly any attention from rest of the world. Gas & coal supply shortages, spikes in demand from harsh winter & rationing...but there are deeper roots. @JKempEnergy sets out analytical framework.
2/ Mindblowing that one reason energy use & prices are spiking in E Asia is Covid Ventilation. Offices, homes etc opening windows to prevent buildup of virus aerosols while also blasting heat during freezing winter. Thread on crisis
3/ My kingdom for an LNG tanker. An unprecedented shortage of liquefied natural gas tankers has made them the most expensive ships ever hired to ferry commodities. Excellent reporting on E Asian energy crisis by @SStapczynski@a_shiryaevskayabloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Between the pandemic & california mega fires & american dysfunction 2020 has been Mike Davis' cassandraesque year. But every time you think he's hit Peak Bleak, turns out he's still climbing... substack.sashafrerejones.com/p/friday-decem…
thankfully mike davis was completely wrong about the uneven burden of Covid. It hit poor countries of the subcontinent & africa much less than richer europe & americas.
Terrible as covid-19 is, a reminder that it could have been deadlier. Spanish flu killed the young more than the old. 60% of global mortality, some 20 million of 1918-19's toll was in India. Industrial Agriculture & inequality as Mike Davis warns will eventually produce a monster
29/ China's oil company CNOOC on Pentagon blacklist for its offshore exploration in South China Sea & US desire to counter mil-industrial complex. US investors hold ~15% of shares given year to divest. Its global partners inc Exxon/Total #GeopoliticsOfGHGsdefense.gov/Newsroom/Relea…
30/ 190 of 197 nations ratified 2015 Paris Agreement. Wall Street & China want to limit warming. Yes, there is powerful opposition,& escapist elites but is Climate politics Existential? @adam_tooze on squaring the circle & #GeopoliticsOfGHGs of past 30yrs e-flux.com/journal/114/36…
2/ Scientists who have to pay attention to how reality works & not ideological words are devastatingly clear as to which governments least followed science in dealing with COVID-19. economist.com/graphic-detail…
3/ Reality is that which, when you stop believing in it, or find prettier ways to talk about it, or ignore it, doesn't go away. The 21stC is the Age of Consequences — of reality biting back, and we must learn to bend to its will. #viraltime#climatechange
Back in March, ppl understood that its not current #'s but future trajectory that matters. Last month, infections in US & Europe rose so rapidly that daily deaths projected to double by Nov end. Action is required now, not in another 11 weeks with a new president. ht @ExanteData
Better treatment but w 'epidemic momentum' deaths will go past 2000 in wks.
"I expect the US to be reporting over 2000 deaths/day in 3 weeks time. Importantly, this doesn't assume any further increases in circulation & is essentially "baked into" currently reported cases"-@trvrb
China in January was in much the same situation as US T'giving. A larger migration of 400 million ppl that would have been a catastrophic superspreading event. But public health prevailed on politicians. Excellent comparative thread by an epidemiologist ⬇️
Neither the first case on West Coast or Germany in mid-January snowballed. It was chain of transmission from China to Italy to NYC in early Feb that sparked transatlantic explosion.
1st mea culpa of WHO's line that precautionary travel restrictions are ineffective @adam_tooze. Tellingly, comes about in "wealth before health" lawsuit in Austrian ski resort. nytimes.com/2020/09/30/wor…
E Asian govts did restrictions/screening passngrs/hotel quarantine in realtime
WHO anti-travel restrictions line was classic science & politics contest. This is @HelenBranswell Jan 26th report after vote to declare intl emergency went 50-50.
"Experts Warn of Possible Sustained Global Spread of New Coronavirus" statnews.com/2020/01/26/con…