When #Bitcoin hits $110k, its market cap will be larger than Apple. That’s about 2x from the current price.

So how long could it take for #BTC to get there?

Maybe faster than you’d expect...

Time for a thread 🧵👇
1/ Starting at the time of the halving, how long does it take for #Bitcoin's value to double? Then double again? And again?

The answer is anywhere between 12 days and 300 days each time.

Check it out 👇
2/ So far in this cycle the 1st doubling took 190 days and the 2nd took 50 days.

The next doubling will happen at $74k. We have been waiting for it for 3 months.
3/ That’s already a hint that price doubling can happen pretty fast.

But the real question is:

If you buy #BTC on any given day, how long can you expect to wait until your investment doubles?

Here is the answer 👇
4/ In the past on average you’ve had to wait a year to see your investment double.

But during bull markets it is much more likely you’ll have to wait only two months for #Bitcoin’s value to double...
5/ ... and if you bought around the peak of the bull market or early in the bear market then you might have to wait a full cycle to double your money… so just hodl.
6/ Currently we are still in the first phase of the post halving bull market.

That means we can expect #Bitcoin’s next doubling to happen in a few weeks to a few months.

At this rate we could see Bitcoin flip Apple this year...
7/ If you want to learn more about Bitcoin’s market dynamics then go checkout the latest issue of the Ecoinometrics newsletter. 👇

ecoinometrics.substack.com/p/ecoinometric…

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More from @ecoinometrics

30 Jan
Remember when Citigroup downgraded MicroStrategy to a “sell” rating? That was at the beginning of December.

Back then MSTR was up 150% since their first #Bitcoin purchase.

At the close on Friday $MSTR was up 350% since their first #BTC purchase...

Time for an update 👇👇👇
1/ So far MicroStrategy bought #Bitcoin five times for a total of 70,784 #BTC. At the close on Friday their return on treasury hodlings over 100%. 👇👇👇
2/ When you consider that the value of MicroStrategy’s #Bitcoin treasury is equivalent to more than 40% of their market cap it is easy to imagine that the value of $MSTR is heavily driven by that of #BTC. 👇👇👇
Read 5 tweets
10 Jan
As far as the past cycles can be guides for the current one, it is clear that #Bitcoin at $10k or even $20k is a thing of the past.

Time for a thread 👇👇👇
1/ After the 1st halving #Bitcoin went straight up and topped at 100x from where it started with a single significant drawdown before the bear market.
2/ After the 2nd halving, the growth trajectory was much smoother with multiple drawdowns happening regularly along the way.
Read 8 tweets
13 Dec 20
MicroStrategy is about to buy $650 million worth of #Bitcoin and raise their total investment to $1.125 billion.

When it comes to public companies $MSTR is winning the #BTC treasury game by a good margin.

Time for a thread 👇👇👇
1/ MicroStrategy started their #Bitcoin treasury program back in August.

The least we can say is that this was good for $MSTR shareholders.

See for yourself 👇
2/ Looking at MicroStrategy's stock correlations it is clear that something happened.

Before:
MSTR vs BTC correlation +22%
MSTR vs NASDAQ correlation +51%

After:
MSTR vs BTC correlation +53%
MSTR vs NASDAQ correlation +20%
Read 6 tweets
29 Nov 20
Depending on who you ask, #Bitcoin could be worth anywhere between $50k and $300k by the end of this halving cycle.

Ok, but how big is that compared to other assets?

Time for a thread 👇👇👇
1/ At the current price, the market size of #Bitcoin is that of a large cap stock.

That’s big but for digital gold it isn’t that big.
2/ Talking about digital gold, #Bitcoin is only about 3.6% of the size of the gold market…

So there is plenty of room to grow in order to catch up.
Read 5 tweets
27 Nov 20
Year to date #Bitcoin has easily outpaced gold in terms of growth.

This trend is accelerating, so naturally it is time for a quick thread 👇👇👇 Image
1/ When you zoom out the long term trend is hard to miss.

But gold is not yet at its lowest point against #Bitcoin. Image
2/ The real #Bitcoin breakout is still recent so the correlation with gold remains high.

But as the trend develops we should see it decrease over time. Image
Read 5 tweets
17 Oct 20
The #Fed Playbook
Oct. 17, 2020

The Federal Reserve is back in business.

So I guess it's time for a thread. 👇👇👇

1/ This week the balance sheet stands at $7.15 trillion which is close to its all time high.

But new records are incoming.
2/ Since the start of the #Fed intervention this year they have added $2.9 trillions to the system.

Looks like a lot but in percentage terms it is a much smaller expansion than in 2008.
3/ After 2008, all that money added to the system has inflated the valuation of various financial assets but most of all the stock market.
Read 6 tweets

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