Year to date #Bitcoin has easily outpaced gold in terms of growth.

This trend is accelerating, so naturally it is time for a quick thread πŸ‘‡πŸ‘‡πŸ‘‡ Image
1/ When you zoom out the long term trend is hard to miss.

But gold is not yet at its lowest point against #Bitcoin. Image
2/ The real #Bitcoin breakout is still recent so the correlation with gold remains high.

But as the trend develops we should see it decrease over time. Image
3/ The #Bitcoin market cap continues to grow as a percentage of the gold market.

But at 3.6% of the gold market size #BTC is still short of the 5% top reached during the last cycle. Image
4/ We are only at the start of the exponential growth phase of the 3rd halving.

That means we haven’t seen anything yet…

#BTC πŸ”₯πŸ”₯πŸ”₯πŸš€

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More from @ecoinometrics

29 Nov
Depending on who you ask, #Bitcoin could be worth anywhere between $50k and $300k by the end of this halving cycle.

Ok, but how big is that compared to other assets?

Time for a thread πŸ‘‡πŸ‘‡πŸ‘‡ Image
1/ At the current price, the market size of #Bitcoin is that of a large cap stock.

That’s big but for digital gold it isn’t that big. Image
2/ Talking about digital gold, #Bitcoin is only about 3.6% of the size of the gold market…

So there is plenty of room to grow in order to catch up. Image
Read 5 tweets
17 Oct
The #Fed Playbook
Oct. 17, 2020

The Federal Reserve is back in business.

So I guess it's time for a thread. πŸ‘‡πŸ‘‡πŸ‘‡

1/ This week the balance sheet stands at $7.15 trillion which is close to its all time high.

But new records are incoming.
2/ Since the start of the #Fed intervention this year they have added $2.9 trillions to the system.

Looks like a lot but in percentage terms it is a much smaller expansion than in 2008.
3/ After 2008, all that money added to the system has inflated the valuation of various financial assets but most of all the stock market.
Read 6 tweets
21 Aug
The #Fed Playbook
Aug. 20, 2020

What's up with the Federal Reserve this week? Time fo a thread. πŸ‘‡

1/ The balance sheet is back above $7 trillion. We are probably not going to go very much below that this year. ImageImageImage
2/ Since the start of the #Fed intervention this year that's $2.8 trillions added.

Sure that's a lot of money... but in percentage that's only a 65% expansion.

There is a lot more room for growth if we compare to what happened after the 2008 crisis. 🧐 ImageImage
3/ But the #FOMC doesn't really have a choice... #stonks need to go up... Image
Read 5 tweets
20 Aug
Is it realistic for #Bitcoin to reach $100,000 per coin during this halving cycle?

Time for a thread. πŸ‘‡πŸ‘‡πŸ‘‡
1/ PlanB (@100trillionUSD ) stock to flow model is targeting #Bitcoin to stabilize around $100,000 by the end of this halving cycle.

So far so good.

2/ The 3rd halving happened 100 days ago. Since then #BTC has gained 25%.

But to get to $100,000 we’ll need to see a total growth of 10x.

That’s still a long way to go.
Read 12 tweets
7 Aug
The #Fed Playbook
Aug. 06, 2020

What's going on with Brrrr? Time for a thread. πŸ‘‡

1/ Not much has changed for the Fed. Minus $4 billion on the balance sheet this week.

When your assets total $7 trillion that's barely visible. ImageImageImage
2/ In net value the size of the 2020 #FOMC intervention dwarfs what happened in 2008.

But in percentage term that is barely the beginning. πŸ‘‡ ImageImage
3/ So far the US Federal Reserve is getting what they wanted. They have prevented a total meltdown of the stock market.

But investors aren't blind to the side effects of money printing: #gold and #Bitcoin are on the rise. Image
Read 5 tweets
24 Jul
The #Fed Playbook
Jul. 24, 2020

1/ Only $6 Billion added to the balance sheet this week.

This is so small compared to what happened recently that you can barely see it on the chart.

For now the balance sheet is sitting just below $7 Trillion. ImageImageImage
2/ Same as in 2008, after the initial emergency measures we have moved to the plateau phase of the balance sheet expansion.

The next step for the #Fed is to come up with a more permanent #QE program.

I wouldn't be surprised if we hit $10 Trillion this year. ImageImage
3/ At the same time the money supply continues to expand at an unprecedented rate.

M2 is up more than 20% this year. This is:
- 4 times higher than the average year
- 2 times higher than the largest M2 growth on record

If you haven't already it is time to consider #Bitcoin. Image
Read 4 tweets

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