DCMP (Double Confirmed Minimum Profit) is an Intraday Scalping Technique which can be applied on Equites/Future/Commodities.
Like any strategy, the most important part of this strategy lies in Risk Management. This cannot be emphasized more. Thread coming.
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Requirement of the strategy: 1. Capital Required:- ₹50,000+ 2. Risk:Reward:- 1:2/3 3. Method:- Scalping 4. Charts: Tick by Tick Line Charts 5. Discount Broker 6. Preferred Desktop App for order execution.
2/n As a day trader, you need to understand what is trend. In simple analogy, a series of Higher High, Higher Low is an uptrend. A series of Lower Low, Lower High is a downtrend. This is how it looks.
Can #Fractals be used to find the probable reversal on charts? Can it be used to find probable top and bottoms on #Stock Charts. Alone they might not. But lets dig into this possibility. I promised few days back of another model to find top and bottom. +
@rohit_katwal Fractals refer to a recurring pattern that occurs amid larger more chaotic price movements. Fractals are composed of Three or more bars. The rules for identifying fractals are as follows:
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@rohit_katwal A bearish turning point occurs when there is a pattern with the highest high in the middle and two lower highs on each side.
A bullish turning point occurs when there is a pattern with the lowest low in the middle and two higher lows on each side.
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Part 4: Understanding #OptionsBasic for #Nifty#BankNifty
In previous threads, we understood Intrinsic/Extrinsic value of options, how to achieve greek neutrality, risk management and how to define cheap or expensive options. Now
What Is Historical Volatility (HV)?
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@rohit_katwal Historical Volatility is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for a given security or index over a given period of time. This measure is calculated by determining the average deviation from the average price instrument in the given time period.
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@rohit_katwal Using standard deviation is the most common, but not the only, way to calculate HV. The higher the historical volatility value, the riskier the security. However, that is not necessarily a bad result as risk works both ways - bullish and bearish.
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#INDIAVIX is a measure of market’s expectation of volatility over the near term. VIX is computed using the order book of the underlying index options i.e #NIFTY.
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@rohit_katwal VIX is denoted as an annualized percentage. Higher the VIX, higher the expected volatility.
When Nifty goes up, VIX reduces. When Nifty goes down, VIX increases. Its an inverse relationship. Why?
In my past tweets, I mentioned IV is demand and supply.
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@rohit_katwal Puts are bought as hedge. When fear is less in the market, demand of puts is less and hence prices are low and hence low IV which results in Low Vix. When fear sets in, market dips and demand for put increases with increase in IV, VIX increases.
#Nifty volumes were pretty low on current futures but COI buildup is 3 lakh contracts. Consolidation underway. 78 Lakh contracts added on calls vs 44 lakh on put side. Still level 4 bullish on option chain. Given monthly expiry, one needs to be cautious. 1/n
@rohit_katwal I am holding 12000 Iron Fly. Will hold it if we are sideways and by end of day will square it off. If no direction then will take directional view on Tuesday.
If we go below below spot 11908, I will exit Iron Fly and hold Bear Call Spread.
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@rohit_katwal If worst case scenario of opening at 11850 or below, will square off the losing put side which by virtue of theta decay will not give adverse loss as bear call spread is also there. Looking at SGX closing, it might not happen.
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