DCMP (Double Confirmed Minimum Profit) is an Intraday Scalping Technique which can be applied on Equites/Future/Commodities.

Like any strategy, the most important part of this strategy lies in Risk Management. This cannot be emphasized more. Thread coming.
1/n
Requirement of the strategy:
1. Capital Required:- ₹50,000+
2. Risk:Reward:- 1:2/3
3. Method:- Scalping
4. Charts: Tick by Tick Line Charts
5. Discount Broker
6. Preferred Desktop App for order execution.
2/n
As a day trader, you need to understand what is trend. In simple analogy, a series of Higher High, Higher Low is an uptrend. A series of Lower Low, Lower High is a downtrend. This is how it looks.
3/n
This strategy is based on Uptrend/Downtrend. If price registers successive higher highs, then it is in Uptrend. If price registers successive lower lows, then its in Downtrend.

We only trade in stocks with highest liquidity. Stocks which are top traded in NSE.
4/n
Step 1: Identify the Uptrend on Tick by Tick Line Chart which means second bottom should be above first bottom.
Step 2: If at second bottom, price starts to move towards upside, consider it as a strong buy signal.
Step 3: Price distance from Top to Second bottom is target.
5/n
Step 4: SL is slightly lower than successive bottom. SL and Target are to be set immediately after buy.
Step 5: Process is inverse for Sell Trades.
Let's see the example with an illustration then we will check the real charts.
6/n
At Point C, uptrend is confirmed.
Distance between B - C is target.
Buy once price starts moving up from C, with SL slightly below C. SL and Target are to be placed immediately after buy.
Either exit at SL or Target and cancel the other order. See attached Pic.
7/n
This method works even better beyond 2nd, 3rd HL/LH.
Enough with the illustrations. Lets take real time charts and see what happens. Starting Capital is 50,000 and 2 times equity intraday leverage which makes it 100,000.
You should know what quantity you can trade.
8/n
This strategy is basic scalping strategy. Its called double confirmed minimum profit because entry is confirmed at formation of trend in either Bullish/Bearish direction.

We trade the securities with high liquidity.

Orders punched can vary from 10-40 depending on no. ..
of entries/securities.

If you think this is not worth it, then reconsider. On smaller capital, daily ROI varies from 2-4% easily.
9/n

Remember few things:

If price is facing resistance at 75% of target, consider taking profits.

This strategy does not require any prior analysis.

We do not use Candle Stick chart, because entry can be late waiting for candle to close.
10/n

For example purpose, I have only taken Top Traded shares of 20 April 2021.

This is an intraday only strategy with quick entries and exit.

Discussion and Questions welcome. End of Thread.

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More from @rohit_katwal

18 Apr
Will be doing a comprehensive thread on a Complete Systematic Strategy for Intraday Trading along with all the rules.

Let me know the interest with RT and Comments.
Will share the strategy on Wednesday as it is holiday. Will also collect some example chart from live market on Monday and Tuesday.
Scalping Strategy for equities/futures/commodities is almost ready. Will post at 10:30 am in the morning.

This is pure intraday strategy which I will recommend to any beginner with low capital on any given day for equities.

Discipline in Execution, SL and Target is the key.
Read 4 tweets
12 Nov 20
Can #Fractals be used to find the probable reversal on charts? Can it be used to find probable top and bottoms on #Stock Charts. Alone they might not. But lets dig into this possibility. I promised few days back of another model to find top and bottom. +
@rohit_katwal Fractals refer to a recurring pattern that occurs amid larger more chaotic price movements. Fractals are composed of Three or more bars. The rules for identifying fractals are as follows:
+
@rohit_katwal A bearish turning point occurs when there is a pattern with the highest high in the middle and two lower highs on each side.
A bullish turning point occurs when there is a pattern with the lowest low in the middle and two higher lows on each side.
+
Read 12 tweets
7 Nov 20
Part 4: Understanding #OptionsBasic for #Nifty #BankNifty
In previous threads, we understood Intrinsic/Extrinsic value of options, how to achieve greek neutrality, risk management and how to define cheap or expensive options. Now

What Is Historical Volatility (HV)?
...1/n
@rohit_katwal Historical Volatility is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns for a given security or index over a given period of time. This measure is calculated by determining the average deviation from the average price instrument in the given time period.

2/n
@rohit_katwal Using standard deviation is the most common, but not the only, way to calculate HV. The higher the historical volatility value, the riskier the security. However, that is not necessarily a bad result as risk works both ways - bullish and bearish.
3/n
Read 12 tweets
5 Nov 20
#QuoraQNA
Q. What is something that only someone who has been in the stock market for 10-15 years would know?

That profitability comes not from the trading system or some golden indicator or technical analysis of some kind.

#Nifty #BankNifty #OptionsTrading
+ Image
@rohit_katwal Profitability is a product of probabilities and proper Risk and Money Management.

Suppose you have ₹100,000/- as trading capital.

Your winning probability is 60% and risk-reward is 1:3.
+
@rohit_katwal Per trade, you deploy 20% of your capital with 1:3 risk-reward potential. You risk ₹1000 or you profit ₹3000/-.

If you trade it with discipline, over 10 trades you will lose ₹4000/- and win ₹12000/-.
+
Read 4 tweets
28 Oct 20
Is it possible to predict probable Top and Bottom on #Nifty #Nifty50 using #INDIAVIX ?

Lets find out.

#INDIAVIX is a measure of market’s expectation of volatility over the near term. VIX is computed using the order book of the underlying index options i.e #NIFTY.
...1/n
@rohit_katwal VIX is denoted as an annualized percentage. Higher the VIX, higher the expected volatility.

When Nifty goes up, VIX reduces. When Nifty goes down, VIX increases. Its an inverse relationship. Why?

In my past tweets, I mentioned IV is demand and supply.
...2/n
@rohit_katwal Puts are bought as hedge. When fear is less in the market, demand of puts is less and hence prices are low and hence low IV which results in Low Vix. When fear sets in, market dips and demand for put increases with increase in IV, VIX increases.

...3/n
Read 13 tweets
25 Oct 20
#Nifty volumes were pretty low on current futures but COI buildup is 3 lakh contracts. Consolidation underway. 78 Lakh contracts added on calls vs 44 lakh on put side. Still level 4 bullish on option chain. Given monthly expiry, one needs to be cautious.
1/n
@rohit_katwal I am holding 12000 Iron Fly. Will hold it if we are sideways and by end of day will square it off. If no direction then will take directional view on Tuesday.

If we go below below spot 11908, I will exit Iron Fly and hold Bear Call Spread.
2/n
@rohit_katwal If worst case scenario of opening at 11850 or below, will square off the losing put side which by virtue of theta decay will not give adverse loss as bear call spread is also there. Looking at SGX closing, it might not happen.
3/n
Read 5 tweets

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