US States CoV2 2020 vs. 2021: 5/9/21
Let's peek at some states compared to last year and current trends relative to NPIs.
Starting with AZ:
- Both Reported Deaths and Date of Death >50% lower
- Hosp Census 20% lower
- Positivity 36% lower despite Case Detection 84% higher
Let's peek at some states compared to last year and current trends relative to NPIs.
Starting with AZ:
- Both Reported Deaths and Date of Death >50% lower
- Hosp Census 20% lower
- Positivity 36% lower despite Case Detection 84% higher
FL:
- Reported Deaths a little higher than last year but much lower than when all restrictions were removed
- Date of Death identical to last year as of 4/25
- Did not report Hosp Census until 7/10/20, but you can see the difference. Dropping quickly after a brief Spring stimulus
- Reported Deaths a little higher than last year but much lower than when all restrictions were removed
- Date of Death identical to last year as of 4/25
- Did not report Hosp Census until 7/10/20, but you can see the difference. Dropping quickly after a brief Spring stimulus
TX:
- Hosp Census higher than last year but down 56% since the Neanderthal comment and trending down
- Reported Deaths down 80% since the Neanderthal comment and trending down. Slightly higher than last year but converging
- Hosp Census higher than last year but down 56% since the Neanderthal comment and trending down
- Reported Deaths down 80% since the Neanderthal comment and trending down. Slightly higher than last year but converging
Last charts here show combined Hosps/M for 2 combos:
1) CA/NY/IL
2) AZ/FL/TX
What do you glean from this? The consilience is remarkable to me.
NPIs - No NPIs?
Masks - No Mask Mandates?
Schools 90-100% open in-person - Schools mostly not open in-person?
1) CA/NY/IL
2) AZ/FL/TX
What do you glean from this? The consilience is remarkable to me.
NPIs - No NPIs?
Masks - No Mask Mandates?
Schools 90-100% open in-person - Schools mostly not open in-person?
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