1/7 Just published an article at @BitcoinMagazine that uses on-chain data visualizations to explain how #Bitcoin's difficulty adjustment mechanism works & how it relates to hash rate, block intervals, fees & the mempool

This 🧵 summarizes the article 👇

bitcoinmagazine.com/technical/bitc…
2/7 #Bitcoin reaches its 21 million hard cap by starting with a 50 BTC block subsidy and halving that each 210k blocks, until the block subsidy falls away after 33 halvings

#Bitcoin needs block intervals of ~10 min to ensure these halvings are spread out over ~4 years. But why?
3/7 If #Bitcoin had a fixed difficulty, it would have had an adoption threshold if it started high, or quickly run through its supply issuance schedule if it started low

Relatively stable block interval times are needed to spread out miner incentives & ensure stable throughput
4/7 This is achieved via a difficulty adjustment mechanism

When hash rate is high & block intervals short, #Bitcoin increases mining difficulty to slow down production

If hash rate is low & block intervals long, difficulty decreases, incentivizing miners to (re)join the network
5/7 When hash rate grows & blocks are coming in faster than planned, it is relatively easy to get a transaction included a block, easing transaction fee pressure

The opposite is true during a steep hash rate dip - until miners get bailed out by a downward difficulty adjustment
6/7 In #Bitcoin, it is also possible to see what transactions are in the waiting line to get included in a block (the mempool), and what fee they bid to jump the line

During hash rate dips, the waiting line gets more crowded & jumping the line gets more expensive
7/7 When the block subsidy runs out, transaction fees will become the primary source of miner revenue.

Developing a healthy block space market is essential for #Bitcoin's long-term existence. If you'd like to read more on that, check out this article:

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Dilution-proof

Dilution-proof Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @dilutionproof

19 May
1/9 Today #Bitcoin saw its first $10k daily candle

The problem: it was to the downside 📉😅

A 🧵 using some on-chain data to have a look at what happened, assess the damage & a possible outlook 🤕
2/9 Today's on-chain movements were similar to those of last week:

1) Most of the coins moving were relatively young 👶

2) Short-term holders are now at net unrealized loss levels not seen since the March 2020 market crash 😱

3) ..and appear to be capitulating those losses 🪦 ImageImageImage
3/9 The young coins that were likely capitulating were a possible sign of inexperienced market participants (e.g. retail) capitulating

Today we also saw a huge uptick in #Bitcoin dominance: altcoins were bleeding (much) harder

Another possible sign of retail capitulation..? 👀 Image
Read 9 tweets
13 May
1/9 About 9 hours ago, Elon Musk tweeted that Tesla would stop accepting #Bitcoin for payments out of environmental concerns, crashing price by -$8.7k (-16%) to just below $46k

Something smells fishy here though.. 🐟

A 🧵 with some on-chain data ⛓️

2/9 First, there's the inconsistency:
- On April 22nd, Elon agreed with Jack that #Bitcoin incentivizes renewable energy
- On May 11th, his latest tweet before this was a poll where he asked if Tesla should accept $DOGE as a payment option; which is also a Proof-of-Work coin
3/9 Then there's also the inconsistency that Tesla is apparently still comfortable holding #Bitcoin

As pointed out by @yassineARK, its energy consumption is there to secure past transactions

Are they THAT unaware, or is something else going on? 🤔

Read 10 tweets
11 May
1/6 During yesterday's mini-dip, I saw unrest in my feed & some people were pinging me if I was still bullish on #Bitcoin

To me this was nothing but another shake-out of weak hands and leverage, while nothing changed regarding the big picture 🤷‍♂️

A short 🧵 on (not) getting rekt
2/6 So, what happened?

Simple: as soon as #Bitcoin set a new local high and dipped a bit, there was a steep uptick in people aping in long on leverage again 🦍

As always, this is a recipe for getting rekt - which is exactly what happened a few hours later 🤦 Image
3/6 Meanwhile, there were large stablecoin inflows to exchanges and large #bitcoin outflows from OTC desks - both signs that there is some serious dip buying going on

"Thanks for the liquidity, (rekt) apes!" 🐳🎩 Image
Read 6 tweets
8 May
1/10 Recently, I became convinced that the #bitcoin price simply went up too fast and this consolidation is functioning as a re-accumulation phase

IMO the January local top was the turnaround point in the market structure 🏔️

I'll elaborate in this 🧵 with some on-chain data ⛓️
2/10 During the January local top, the #bitcoin price went up FAST 🥵

Compared to 2017, this run-up happened:
1) at an earlier post-halving date
2) at a faster acceleration, and
3) to a higher degree (reached a 🌡️ of 7 - which in 2017 it only reached during the blow-off top)
3/10 Due to the rapid price increase, unrealized profits were sky high, triggering an increasing number of entities to take profits

Since the January local top, profit-taking cooled down to pre-ATH levels - despite the #bitcoin price itself still grinding up 👀
Read 11 tweets
4 May
1/7 Short 🧵 on the recent hash rate drop in #Bitcoin, its recovery and the impact of that on several on-chain metrics ⛓️

On April 16th, hash rate on #Bitcoin had a steep decline related to to a power outage in China, to which it is now recovering - it even approaches new ATH's
2/7 As a result of the hash rate drop, block interval times increased, which means that blocks were temporarily being produced at a (much) slower pace than the normal 10 blocks/min

As miners came back online & mining difficulty adjusted downwards, blocks are now coming in fast
3/7 Blocks coming in at a faster pace has done wonders for the mempool congestion & related transaction fees, making on-chain #Bitcoin transactions cheaper again

Over the past 24 hours, miners were even churning through the mempool transactions paying a 5 sat/vByte fee
Read 7 tweets
2 May
Monthly #Bitcoin market analysis meta-thread 🧵

Since January 2021, I am doing a market analysis at the start of each month, assessing on-chain & other valuation models 📈

This meta-thread links them together for future reference 🔗

January 2021:
Read 5 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(