Continue to believe #crypto is going to finish with a strong 2H 2021.
Inflation fears are overblown.

The financial markets appear past peak inflation fear (many commodities off their highs), and while inflation is hitting the consumer it’s unlikely to be extreme, and the financial markets will shift back to risk-on.
Inflation fears being good for $BTC were a fakeout. The asset is still young enough such that it follows growth & risk.
With a risk-on mindset, #crypto will have the opportunity to finish this cycle with a bang.

Ending now feels half-baked.
Regardless of what happens, position yourself personally to have the slack to benefit regardless of which direction #crypto goes from here.

While I probabilistically lean towards a continuation of this bull, I’d also be happy with a bear.

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More from @cburniske

17 May
#Ethereum: Total transaction fees, also known as network revenue, increased 200x to $1.7 billion in Q1 2021, compared with $8 million in Q1 2020. -@draecomino
draecomino.substack.com/p/ethereum-q1-…
#Ethereum: Total transaction volume on Ethereum increased 20x to $713 billion in Q1 2021, compared with $33 billion in Q1 2020. -@draecomino
#Ethereum: Daily active addresses, a proxy for daily active users, increased 71% to 607k in Q1 2021, compared with 364k in Q1 2020. -@draecomino
Read 7 tweets
10 May
In the turbulence of 2019, @placeholdervc would run optimistic exercises to stay grounded. This was one:
We now run a combination of optimistic and pessimistic exercises from #crypto's current perch.

People naturally asking, when's the top?

The truth: no one knows, exactly.
While we're in one predicted range at $2.5T in total #crypto value, the vibe from 2021 is supply inflation, speculation, and innovation. People saying, Up Only.
Read 10 tweets
9 May
1/ @placeholdervc has always encouraged networks allowing people to earn the majority of a native cryptoasset, but liquidity mining has become a wolf in sheep’s clothing.
2/ Speaking with a team recently that’s building on a newer layer-1, they asked us if we, as an institution, *wouldn’t* stake.

Stating that in their ecosystem investors are foaming at the mouth to liquidity mine, but it’s clear those investors are short-term oriented.
3/ As @jmonegro has analogized, you wouldn’t take dividends from a company at the Series B stage, so why are we encouraging institutional investors to sap early rewards from the broader community?
Read 10 tweets
8 May
Price tweets get the most CT play because culturally we’re obsessed with money.
Money is the most liquid and fungible capital, convertible with varying amounts of slippage into other types of capital.
Culturally we made this trade to have money be *the* common denominator a long time ago.

It’s been amazing for “productivity,” but appears increasingly imbalanced.
Read 4 tweets
5 May
Every doge has its day.

But watch out for the days after "its day."
While $DOGE makes me queasy for what happens after this parabolic rise, there's a part of me that's also amused.

As the world gets increasingly automated, stripping humans of our meaning from work, we turn more to self-reflection (on the absurdity & wonder of life).
Different forms of art provide this self-reflection, and similar to @EpsilonTheory's recent post on #Bitcoin , $DOGE (with Elon's help) is making its own artistic statement on society.

If it makes you sick, it might be doing its job.
Read 5 tweets
2 May
Innovation concentration is higher in bear markets than bulls.
Bull markets bring a flood of attention, capital, and talent, which expands crypto’s reach.

But they’re also awash with noise, and as values rise complacency can settle in even amongst the committed.
In bear markets, investors and entrepreneurs both feel a sense of urgency.

Even if they retain conviction, the world and Mr. Market is screaming they’re wrong.
Read 7 tweets

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