I keep reading that the media blew the origins of covid story by not listening to Trump & co. saying it escaped from a lab.

Yes, but in only barest possible way.

MAGA’s ‘reasoning’ for the lab origin claim last year was entirely motivated, political,

nytimes.com/2021/05/29/opi…

1
and non-evidentiary. Hence, there was no reason to believe them. They were guessing conveniently. And don’t say they couldn’t reveal the evidence. Opportunistic Trumpers had no inhibitions about leaking.

Cotton, Pompeo, and the rest were looking to shift the blame for Trump’s

2
disastrous response, and they grasped anything they could find. Worse, all had a long history of lying and racism, provided no evidence, and clearly knew almost nothing about epidemiology or China.

So again, there was no reason to believe MAGA last year, and a lot of legacy

3
reasons not to: unparalleled lying, science denialism, Trump flunkeyism, racism, rank opportunism, staggering incompetence, etc.

Last year, when other origin theories were more credible, you would have been foolish to believe Trump & co. with their deficit of evidence and

4
surfeit of Trump groveling.

So yes, they may turn out to be right. But if so, it’s for the same reason a stopped clock is right twice a day, or an astrologer makes a randomly accurate prediction.

@FukuyamaFrancis is far better on this than Douthat: americanpurpose.com/blog/fukuyama/…

5
Even if the lab leak theory is proven right, that doesn’t mean journalists were wrong to mostly dismiss it last year. It is anachronistically unfair to judge 2020 decisions by 2021 information (which won’t stop Fox from doing this of course).

Given the deluge of corona

6
disinformation and absurdity coming from MAGA sources last year, it was the right choice – in an environment of low information – to preemptively distrust politically convenient theories from well-established liars.

I.e., even if journalism's dismissal of the lab leak theory

7
is eventually demonstrated to be incorrect, IT WAS THE RIGHT CHOICE AT THE TIME given all the other ridiculous, grasping-at-straws corona ideas promoted by totally un-credible sources like Hannity or Rush.

Most of that stuff was obviously wrong, so the lab leak theory,

8
barring any evidence, was just one more absurdity in a long list, including:

- corona is a bioweapon
- corona is no different than the flu
- corona will ‘miraculously go away’
- PPE shortages are fake news
- masks don’t work
- Fauci & Birx r deep state Democratic apparatchiks

9
- hydroxychloroquine is a silver bullet
- drinking bleach might help
- injecting sunlight might help
- Jared Kushner and his business school pals will ‘make their own calculations’ and wrap this up right quick
- Scott Atlas is not a quack
- Richard Epstein is not a quack

10
- the demon sperm doctor is not a quack
- we should just ‘take the hit’ to get to herd immunity quickly
- we should just let old people get corona in order to not hurt the economy

If Trump and MAGA had provided evidence for the lab leak, that would have been different. But

11
they didn't. They threw it out there solely to muddy the waters along with a host of other nutball ideas, all to get Trump off the hook from flubbing the response. The entire thing was political. There was no science or method at all.

12

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More from @Robert_E_Kelly

30 May
G Floyd is NOT a left-wing analogue to Ashli Babbitt. This is appalling. Is this equivalence framing a thing in MAGA-world?

A. Babbitt was engaged in voluntary, aggressive violence at the time of her shooting. Floyd was cuffed, immobilized & begging for his life when he died.

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B. Babbitt was committing extremely dangerous political violence; she was breaking through the final barrier between a violent mob and dozens of US Congresspeople, our democratic government. Floyd was a arrested for street misdemeanor.

C. The use of force against Floyd was

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excessive, and a court ruled as much. Floyd was not a threat to the police officers, citizens, and property around him at the time of his death.

The use of force against Babbitt was much more justified. She was at the leading edge of a violent mob steps away from Members of

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Read 7 tweets
19 May
These new GOP voting laws are designed to make voting so complex, that almost any election can be disputed. The point isn’t so much to make voting harder but rather, more legally contestable. Voters & poll workers won’t learn all these new rules, providing the legal basis for

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endless lawsuits over whether this or that voter voted legally: should citizen XYZ should have his vote disqualified bc his wife gave him a ham sandwich while he was waiting on line? It will be Florida 2000 again & again in states where the vote is close. If you can’t win at

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the polls, or won’t accept that the Democrats legitimately win major races, then make voting rules so absurdly murky & results therefore so unknowable, that you can push decisions into the courts or state legislatures. This is basically adding legal grounds of over-complexity

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14 May
The weirdest part about amateur #running is all the metaphysics running websites try to instill in an otherwise monotonous sport.

I run for things like weight control, cardio-pulmonary depth (VO2 max), & better health for my family, but according to the internet, I am a hero,

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finding my true self, forging new paths, finding my fast, breaking barriers, and most recently, advancing progressive social causes like equity. Wow. I am doing all that just putting one foot in front of the other at speed?

I am not. Only ultrarunners with careers in the

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talk like this; no one in my running club ever did. The rest of us are schlepping along.

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6 May
Everyone is complaining about what a dud the new Biden N Korea policy review was. washingtonpost.com/opinions/2021/…

It basically recommends deterrence/containment/sanction/isolation, which is what we've done for decades.

There is a reason we keep coming back to this posture - bc all

1
the other alternatives have clear downsides:

A. The hawkish/conservative alternative - to use force or drones as we do so often in the greater Middle East - is hugely risky. NK has lots of capabilities to hit back, and SK is very vulnerable, especially with its capital right

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on the border (a terrible strategic problem which really ties US-ROK military hands)

B. The dovish/liberal alternative - engagement and concessions - has a poor record of success. NK loves stringing out talks forever as a way of muddying the waters and creating the perception

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24 Apr
THREAD on Trump’s Rant about the S Korean President calling Him, Correctly, a 'Failure' in the NYT

1. Moon Jae-In indeed throws T under the bus in the Times

Moon & his advisors quickly realized that T, like Fredo, was weak & stupid & wanted respect. M deluded T with visions

1
of a Nobel Prize if he met the NK leader Kim Jong Un. M wanted that meeting, bc the SK left has long thought an apex summit was the best way to side-step the hawkish-on-NK US foreign policy community. All spring 2018, that hawkish FPC community indeed told T not meet KJU; T

2
didn’t listen to us of course; and then made a colossal hash out of negotiations, bc he is an idiot: . M then called T a failure last week. Harsh

2. T’s response illustrates yet again that he is totally unfit for public office

It’s petty, mean-spirited

3
Read 8 tweets
21 Apr
Exactly. This is a language game. To my mind, it’s pretty simple:

We should do the best we can to avoid a cold war with China. But we’re not, and neither is the Xi government. So we’re all sliding into one anyway. Bad.

And far too many Beltway types are fine with that bc:

1
a) The natsec community draws influence and a salary in an environment of strategic competition; China hawkishness will pay.

b) 30 years of unipolarity has impoverished American thinking about diplomacy. We’re too used to knee-jerk belligerence.

Consider, eg, that much GOP

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hawkishness on China is simply to cover-up for Trump’s massive incompetence on corona. Trump and MAGA would happily risk dangerous cold war competition rather than admit that Trump is a colossal idiot who didn’t care if Americans died.

So yeah, stumbling into a cold war with

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Read 7 tweets

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