🚨🚨🚨The SAUL pension scheme announces that it is in SURPLUS -- 109% funded -- as at 31 April 2021. It was, however, in deficit -- 94% funded -- as at 31 March 2020 triennial valuation date. (@JosephineCumbo) 1/ saul.org.uk/#/page/sauls-h…
It appears that SAUL's actuary has certified the Schedule of Contributions at 30 April 2021 date of signing rather than 31 March 2020 valuation date. Hence the schedule assumes a surplus & therefore no deficit recovery contributions. 2/
While past pensions promises are more than fully funded, the cost of making pension promises in future years is now estimated to cost 35% if benefits and investment strategy remains the same. This is 13% above the current 22% contribution rate (6% member, 16% employer). 3/
In setting an excellent example for @USSEmployers more generally, the London & nearby employers of USS who also sponsor SAUL have come to the following agreement with the unions to address the high cost of future service: 4/
NO DETRIMENT TO CURRENT MEMBERS!
✅No rise in their contributions. They will remain at 6%.
✅No cuts to DB pensions. Their benefits will remain almost as good as the benefits @USSpensions currently offers👇. 5/ mikeotsuka.medium.com/why-cant-uss-p…
Employers, however, will reach into their pockets and increase their contributions from 16% to 21%.
"This extra money from employers shows their commitment to provide you with a valuable pension now and in the future." 6/
But 21% employer + 6% member = 27%, which falls 8% short of the required 35% to retain the status quo. To address this gap, SAUL will do two things: 7/
"The Trustee will make some changes to SAUL’s funding and investment strategy." I understand that this involves a shift of the portfolio towards growth assets. See here for more on SAUL's current approach to investment. 8/ mikeotsuka.medium.com/saul-combined-…
Most controversially, employers have also come to an agreement with unions that new members will be enrolled in a DC scheme for their first 3 years before shifting over to SAUL's DB scheme. The rationale is presented here👇. 9/
The difference between SAUL's surplus & USS's deficit mainly comes down to the fact that SAUL has managed their assets & liabilities much better than @USSpensions has during the past several years. See linked threads & blog posts👇. 10/
I still haven't received an answer to this question I submitted to @USSpensions👇 re USS v SAUL. @Barker4Kate would you please have a word with your executives that they owe their members an answer to this question? 11/11
A thread on why I share our @ucu GS's reaction👇to the recent @USSEmployers proposal to cut our pensions by lowering the DB/DC threshold from £60k to £40k, reducing accrual from 1/75 to 1/85, & capping CPI revaluation at 2.5%. 1/
As @jogrady mentions, this proposal is almost identical to the instantly reviled & reject March 2018 ACAS agreement. Here's why it's a provocation for @USSEmployers to try to push this through once again. 2/
On 1 October, @USSpensions contributions are scheduled to rise by 4 percentage points from 30.7% (9.6% member, 21.1% @USSEmployer) to 34.7% (11% member [+1.4], 23.7% employer [+2.6]). This increase was scheduled under the last 2018 valuation. 3/
.@ucl's outgoing & incoming heads have issued a statement👇that stands out for its acknowledgement of how bad things are in London, its responsibility to the wider community, & of what needs to be done. (@SusanLiautaud) 1/3 ucl.ac.uk/news/2021/jan/…
The statement notes👇that their position is out in front of the current position of the UK govt but correctly maintains that this is the most responsible course of action. Also draws attention to the risks of travel into London when transmission is dangerously high. 2/3
.@ucl has stood out during the pandemic for taking its public health responsibilities to the wider community seriously. They've led with their actions rather than waiting (in vain) for the government to provide cover by telling them to do what they know they ought to do. 3/3
🚨UK longitudinal study of 201 individuals with #LongCovid reveals a high proportion are relatively young & without pre-existing health conditions. Also reveals "almost 70%…have impairment in one or more organs four months after initial symptoms". 1/4 medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
▶️"prevalence of pre-existing conditions (obesity: 20%, hypertension: 6%; diabetes: 2%; heart disease: 4%) was low"
▶️Only 18% had been hospitalised
▶️Mean age: 44
▶️"impairment in heart (32%), lungs (33%), kidneys (12%), liver (10%), pancreas (17%), and spleen (6%)"
2/4
"In this young cohort with low prevalence of comorbidities, the extent of symptom burden and organ impairment is concerning", given the "pandemic's scale and high infection rates" among this population deemed "low risk". 3/4
🚨"you're in that very, very fast upward swing of the epidemic, and a day's delay matters, a week's delay really matters... We saw that in March/April... The red lights are flashing...". SAGE member @JeremyFarrar case for circuit breaker starting NOW. 1/2 bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episod…
Informative piece on the 21 Sept SAGE meeting, Johnson's decision not to follow their advice & the subsequent alarm of scientists. @JeremyFarrar 'described the measures [the government adopted] as "the worst of all worlds".'👇 2/2 theguardian.com/world/2020/oct…
UK government advisor & Oxford Regius Professor of Medicine John Bell supports a circuit breaker: theguardian.com/world/live/202…
According to the recently released SAGE papers👇, keeping universities open plays a greater role in spreading Covid-19 infection -- ~0.3 (0.2-0.5) increase in R -- than any other activity, apart from keeping secondary schools open -- ~0.35 (0.2-0.5). 1/ assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
By contrast:
▶️General directive to work from home where possible decreases R by 0.2-0.4
▶️Closure of bars, pubs, cafés and restaurants decreases R by 0.1-0.2
▶️"Stopping all contacts between different households in the home might reduce Rt by ~0.1-0.2" 2/
▶️Closure of indoor gyms, leisure centres, fitness etc.: "reduction in Rt of up to 0.1"
▶️Closure of places of worship / community centres: "reduction in Rt of up to 0.1" 3/
This tweet from yesterday👇on the Manchester VC's interview with @bbcnickrobinson is now my 5th most viewed for 2020, at 92k and rising. Countdown of the other 4 below. 1/5