I assume that's when the over 50s have been double dosed.
It also means schools will be about to break up, and although the gov pretends otherwise they know schools are acting as Delta hubs.
3/ Been saying for a while I think the government believes the quickest route to herd immunity with what they consider an acceptable death and health toll is
2 jab over 50s
1 jab 18-50s
Natural infection for under 18s
Its a gamble based on impatience and pandering to lobbyists
4/ I don't think gov has ever dropped the idea that infections in the under 50s aren't a problem, I still think they believe infection is a route to immunity
Strategy is certainly comfortable with allowing younger people to be infected in education and work
5/Delta spreading in schools but gov won't act, to do so would tumble the construct of lies they've built around schools with support of client journalism, coopted experts and the coordinated troll networks
Hold out till Summer holidays to unlock to balance transmission levels
6/ Everything the gov has done fits this narrative, and I'm reminded of early March 2020 when a key component of herd immunity via infection was to use schools like a sluice gate to manage the rate of infection.
10/ "Severe illness in children is rare and the vulnerable have been protected"
They ignore the fact that some children are vulnerable, and looking at @LongCovidKids and ONS health impacts on children arent as rare as they are making out
11/ Wow, caller on @lbc now
"I started reading the @Telegraph on Saturday because that's where the gov always leaks its policies."
Paying Johnson a fortune for writing some articles before he became PM appears to have dividends as well as influencing policy as Cummings claimed
12/ But its what the caller says next
"An expert in the @Telegraph said that because the vulnerable might lose immunity over time we need to get everyone mixing now to maintain herd immunity into the winter" @toryboypierce presenting seems to think its a convincing argument
13/ Forget the anonymous troll hordes, its most the media with their experts coopted by lobbyists that's proving to be the main disemonators of disinformation.
14/ Look at schools narrative, the media can still find plenty of experts to still say children are much less infectious, transmission in schools are low, masks arent needed and now heading into anti vax territory for children.
17/ Now @MaajidNawaz is on quoting experts in Times and Spectator
More people will now die of the flu than covid
Over 80s have antibodies, thats practically herd immunity
Only children to die had preexisting health conditions
Children need to be infected now to be immune by Sept
18/ Once again "We need to trust vaccines and let everyone else get infected, so that once everyone is vaccinated we will be ready for the next variant"
Can see how this is becoming the dominant narrative, but feels a lot like "fuck it we give up" to me
19/ It goes on
"Only the unvaccinated are in hospital" Its their fault, let them get what they deserve
And now
"The only fully vaccinated people to die are those who were vulnerable"
20/ So we come full circle, an argument that starts with "the vulnerable are protected let's open up" ends with "only the vulnerable are dying let's open up"
And
Trust the vaccines, let's open up because we won't be able to trust the vaccines in winter when everyone is jabbed
21/ Its an incoherent mess now, a bloody disaster in the making and all the radio channels seem full of ppl who take the disinformation as fact,repeating the broken logic, while seeming increasingly hateful towards whoever the papers are blaming that day.
22/ And if allowing infection to spread through students isn't the plan
Over 450 days of pandemic, only secondary students were allowed to wear masks in the classroom and only for 40 school days
Government removed masks while suppressing data on Delta until after local elections
23/ They are now suppressing vital data on cases in schools which we suspect will show the scale of outbreaks in unventilated classrooms is increasing.
If we had an adequate media then everytime a minister was interviewed they'd be asked about when the government will finally invest in ventilation.
All the evidence says this is one of the most important measures.
2.Even skeptics are going to struggle to portray clean air as an attack on our freedoms, if anything we have a right to clean air.The impact of pollution on health and in particular on children is clear
Can anyone remember the last time a minister was asked about ventilation?
3. Can anyone ever remember a minister being asked about investing ventilation in the whole pandemic?
UK government's total failure to address this is stark
So is the failure of the media to hold the gov to account for this glaring hole in their Covid strategy.
Reading back through my original thread when they announced mass testing, I got sent the link to the Heads test and trace briefing on last day of term, only around 500 attended, most were probably too busy notifying close contacts.
1/🧵@MattHancock just now in the Commons
Secondary students are seeing largest rise of Delta cases.
Children are much less likely to be harmed but they are "more transmissible"
Then he twice ignored questions about why masks have been removed in secondary
3/ Which is a bit odd seeing as I've been fed a daily diet of being told that there's no sign of meaningful transmission in schools and that children hardly transmit
Media have found lots of experts and pediatrics quite certain theres nothing to see here
🧵Somehow in the UK we have a narrative that vaccines and masks are important for everyone except children.
Every hour experts and gov advisors are in the media claiming school arent really contributing to infection rates and arent driving Delta growth
How can children not be impacting infection rates when so many are being infected?
If over 40% of cases in my LA are in schools,how is that not significant? Local PH director says it is, PHE report says it is,yet PHE blog disagrees with own report? vip.politicsmeanspolitics.com/2021/06/05/bor…
3/ UK reports find infections high in children, other countries look at UK data as sign of the impact of schools on transmission, yet the reporting of these studies and data seems to completely minimise children's role in transmission.