@jsnover @cpgrabow @robertcobrien 1/The decline of US merchant marine stems >WWII. In that conflict, the Merchant Marine Act of 1920 #JonesAct, along with acts of 1928 & 1936 provided the basis for the USMM to be 2nd largest in the world & in a position to transport the Arsenal of Democracy & build 2-Ocean Navy.
@jsnover @cpgrabow @robertcobrien 2/The US controlled 63% of world fleet >WWII, but the Ship Sales Act of 1946 sold US ships at a discounted rate to restock world fleets. Also the Marshall Plan 1948 permitted shipyards to be rebuilt and use the new prefab tech advocated by Henry J Kaiser.
@jsnover @cpgrabow @robertcobrien 3/Before entry into WWII, the US used the Panama registry as a means to avoid US Neutrality laws and deliver material and fuel to Britain prior to Lend Lease. Post war, Panama, along with Liberia as open registries on international routes with little oversight or regulation.
@jsnover @cpgrabow @robertcobrien 4/As far back as WWI, it was clear that US ships were more expensive to build and operate due to higher wages, domestic crewing requirements and unionization in many of the maritime industries. Add to it the Seamen's Act 1915 & NLRA 1935 that permitted unions, cost increaed.
@jsnover @cpgrabow @robertcobrien 5/Due to the Axis submarine offensive against America in 1942, there was a post war push to improve internal transport (akin to China's current Road initiative). Interstate highway and pipelines replaced the need for much #JonesAct shipping, thereby reducing #s built & operated.
@jsnover @cpgrabow @robertcobrien 6/The Vietnam War, and need for large amounts of US flag vessels to operate in under-developed ports, left many ships in service past their expected retirement. This marked a slide of the USMM from 5th to 9th place. The MMA 1970 aimed to build 300 ships in 10 years.
@jsnover @cpgrabow @robertcobrien 7/The credit crunch & inflation in the 1970s did not produce the requisite 300 ships. At the same time, rebuilt European & Asian yards were underbidding US yards & pulling US international trade vessels from American yards - such as Sea-Land SL-7, US Lines Econoships & APL D10s.
@jsnover @cpgrabow @robertcobrien 8/The Reagan Admin decision to end construction & differential subsidies for int trade meant the final push of US ships from domestic yards and reflagging. Along with 600-ship Navy coming exclusively into private yards, meant fewer commercial US ships, except for #JonesAct.
@jsnover @cpgrabow @robertcobrien 9/By the late 80s & 90s, you had the shakeout in American firms with many being bought by foreign firms - Sea-Land by Maersk, APL by NOL then CMA, along with several backruptcy's such as US Lines.

Success in the Persian Gulf War gave military a false sense of security.
@jsnover @cpgrabow @robertcobrien 10/By the late 1990s & early 2000s it appeared that US international trade would cease on US flag ships. The Oil Pollution Act of 1990 required double hull tankers & prompted construction of replacements in US yards. DOD advocated the Maritime Security Program to pay op subsidy.
@jsnover @cpgrabow @robertcobrien 11/The MSP initially only provided for 47 ships, later expanded to 60. These ships, along with those in the @DOTMARAD @MSCSealift @US_TRANSCOM surge fleet were essential to success in Iraq & Afghanistan from 2001 to 2011. However, MSP did not provide for domestic shipbuilding.
@jsnover @cpgrabow @robertcobrien @DOTMARAD @MSCSealift @US_TRANSCOM 12/Today, the US finds itself as a global superpower without the merchant marine or maritime infrastructure to support itself in a potential peer-to-peer conflict as it has in the past.
The US Navy is #1 & merchant marine is #21, while China is #2 in both.
usni.org/magazines/proc…
@jsnover @cpgrabow @robertcobrien @DOTMARAD @MSCSealift @US_TRANSCOM 13/Some will lay the decline of the merchant marine on solely the #JonesAct, but that is disengenous as the MMA 1920 created the first national maritime stategy. What has transpired over the past 101 years is the lack of maintaining & updating a stategy.

threader.app/thread/1400894…
@jsnover @cpgrabow @robertcobrien @DOTMARAD @MSCSealift @US_TRANSCOM 14/The question that needs to be asked who directly benefits from a repeal of the #JonesAct?

American goods will not divert onto ships along the coasts - look at the constraints in US ports & cost vs truck. 85% Container trade is concentrated in 10 companies - none are US owned.
@jsnover @cpgrabow @robertcobrien @DOTMARAD @MSCSealift @US_TRANSCOM 15/The most tri-naval strategy discusses issues relating to the @USNavy @USMC @USCG, but fail to address commercial issues regarding USshipbuilding, repair facilities, commerical domestic/international shipping & how to accomplish sealift missions.

brookings.edu/research/impli…
@jsnover @cpgrabow @robertcobrien @DOTMARAD @MSCSealift @US_TRANSCOM @USNavy @USMC @USCG 16/There is a lot of mone being invested to benefit foreign shipping companies - look at attempts to repeal the Passenger Vessel Services Act - that will benefit Carnival, RCL & Norwegian that control 74.3% passenger market, but are incorporated in Panama, Liberia & Bermuda.
@jsnover @cpgrabow @robertcobrien @DOTMARAD @MSCSealift @US_TRANSCOM @USNavy @USMC @USCG 17/What is needed is the development of a new MARITIME strategy that does not surrender American maritime infrastructure overseas & make US more dependent on foreign shipping & corporations. There needs to be accommodations from all concerned parties.

gcaptain.com/100-years-of-t…

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More from @mercoglianos

13 Jun
1/The decline of US merchant marine stems >WWII. In that conflict, the Merchant Marine Act of 1920 #JonesAct, along with acts of 1928 & 1936 provided the basis for the USMM to be 2nd largest in the world & in a position to transport the Arsenal of Democracy & build 2-Ocean Navy.
2/The US controlled 63% of world fleet >WWII, but the Ship Sales Act of 1946 sold US ships at a discounted rate to restock world fleets. Also the Marshall Plan 1948 permitted shipyards to be rebuilt and use the new prefab tech advocated by Henry J Kaiser.
3/Before entry into WWII, the US used the Panama registry as a means to avoid US Neutrality laws and deliver material and fuel to Britain prior to Lend Lease. Post war, Panama, along with Liberia as open registries on international routes with little oversight or regulation.
Read 18 tweets
18 May
My presentation at the @NDTAHQ Surface Force Projection Conference questioned the need for national merchant marines by examining China and Russia's use of their own to exert hegemony from the past to the present.
The Maritime Silk Road of China's #BeltandRoad Initiative aims to defend their vital trade routes - particularly between Asia & Europe/Africa - and ensure an adequate supply of raw materials and imports to sustain their economy and country.
The historical antecedent may have been the voyages of Zheng He. When the Ming Dynasty assumed power they aimed to ensure the restoration of China as the Middle Kingdom. Their fleet demonstrated the power of China and then was scrapped as trade flowed.
Read 9 tweets
5 May
1/The latest from @LexNextDC in @TheNatlInterest on #sealift. The focus in the article is on the 45 surge sealift ships held by @DOTMARAD and 15 by @MSCSealift being 45 years old & declining readiness. It focuses on some options but misses the biggest problem...
2/"Buying new ships built in U.S. shipyards is prohibitively expensive. Building new ships in foreign yards is politically and strategically unattractive."

This leaves few options to rectify this situation and ensure the US can deploy forces from CONUS...
3/Option one is, "to purchase commercial vessels which would then be converted to become militarily useful for the Ready Reserve Force."

The problem is the commerical market is on fire and ship prices have spiked, nearly quadrupled.

gcaptain.com/hot-market-qua…
Read 9 tweets
5 May
@DavidLarter @SamDavaham @ConsWahoo @JerryHendrixII @cdrsalamander 1/The Liberty ship could carry 10k tons at 11.5 knots and took days to weeks to load/unload. ULCS can sail at 24 ktsband carry 200k and offload in a port in about 2 days.

The US maintains a fleet of geared & fearless containerships through the Maritime Security Program...
@DavidLarter @SamDavaham @ConsWahoo @JerryHendrixII @cdrsalamander 2/MSP provides $5M/ship/year for 60 vessels=$300M. The ships provide capacity and service on key routes for the military - such as APL western Pacific routes. They also provide employment for crews who can be used for surge sealift in @DOTMARAD & @MSCSealift...
@DavidLarter @SamDavaham @ConsWahoo @JerryHendrixII @cdrsalamander @DOTMARAD @MSCSealift 3/The cost barely covers the differential to remain US flag, the ships are all foreign built, and the capacity is not enough to sustain a true peer-to-peer conflict. Currently the US merchant marine has a total of 180 ships.

COSCO has over a 1000.

lines.coscoshipping.com/home/Services/…
Read 5 tweets
2 May
The @USNavyCNO in his testimony #HASC placed #sealift for @US_TRANSCOM @MSCSealift @DOTMARAD as the second strategic area for the ship construction budget, behind Columbia SSBN.

His concept is to buy old versus build new.

This is the WRONG APPROACH.
1/

appropriations.house.gov/events/hearing…
2/The @USNavyCNO notes that it would cost $300-500 million to obtain new ships, vice used ships at $20-25 million with 20 years of life. Here is what is wrong with that statement.

First, their market analysis has alerted the ship owners of US government interest...
3/This interest, along with a massive uptick in commercial market, will make ships much more expensive plus conversion costs.

Second, this follows what was done after 1991, when @DOTMARAD added ro/ros to their fleet. Ships built back then had longer service lives than today...
Read 14 tweets
3 Apr
Suez Canal Says it is Close to Clearing Ship Backlog – gCaptain

gcaptain.com/suez-canal-say…
Maersk Urges U.S. East Coast Ports to Use Suez Canal Delays to Clear Congestion – gCaptain

gcaptain.com/maersk-urges-u…
How Container Ships Got so Big, and Why They're Causing Problems

scl.io/wOUeF8e
Read 5 tweets

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