It's out!!! My weekly #Brexit Briefing for @FT

This week: 1) why industry wants @trussliz to listen to them more so we actually cut *better* deals as we move out of rollover fever... @William_Bain @chrisouthworth @AlexanderHorne1 & @Brigid_Fowler /1

ft.com/content/aebac5…
@FT @trussliz @William_Bain @chrisouthworth @AlexanderHorne1 @Brigid_Fowler In short, industry has had a pretty adversarial relationship no trade -- given that the govt railroaded through a horribly minimalist TCA deal with our biggest trade partner...but now we're moving into next phase (eg new deal with Aus) really wants better co-ordination /2
@FT @trussliz @William_Bain @chrisouthworth @AlexanderHorne1 @Brigid_Fowler But the Govt seems stuck in the quantity over quality approach which risks setting bad precedents for future deals with bigger countries.

As @Minette_Batters told Radio 4. “At the moment it just seems to be about writing the press release and developing the policy later.” /3
@FT @trussliz @William_Bain @chrisouthworth @AlexanderHorne1 @Brigid_Fowler @Minette_Batters That might be a tad unfair -- the govt does seem to have a 'plan' based around future CPTPP membership -- but even so, it needs joined thinking to make this work. That means better domestic policy, better trade promotion and flintier negotiating based on Oz giveaways /4
@FT @trussliz @William_Bain @chrisouthworth @AlexanderHorne1 @Brigid_Fowler @Minette_Batters That means better export promotion (Australia has 22 agricultural counselors, the UK 2) because breaking into international markets takes persistence and graft -- and truthfully the UK hasn't been that good at it these past decades. And EU membership wasn't the reason why /5
@FT @trussliz @William_Bain @chrisouthworth @AlexanderHorne1 @Brigid_Fowler @Minette_Batters The APPG for trade and export promotion (130 different groups) is a good place to start... as Lord Waverley says, that is also the way that the Brexit divisions get healed./6
@FT @trussliz @William_Bain @chrisouthworth @AlexanderHorne1 @Brigid_Fowler @Minette_Batters It should worry @trussliz that her first big deal has been met with so much carping and concern... it makes the govt's Brassy boosterism ring very hollow..../7
@FT @trussliz @William_Bain @chrisouthworth @AlexanderHorne1 @Brigid_Fowler @Minette_Batters It should also worry her that trade groups find themselves going to their international confreres to find out what's going on....because they are 'just outside the door' in a way that UK stakeholders seem not to be. /8
@FT @trussliz @William_Bain @chrisouthworth @AlexanderHorne1 @Brigid_Fowler @Minette_Batters Doing trade deals by diktat might work -- particularly when the UK system allows govt to ram them through parliament -- but if 'Global Britain' is going to prosper, if everyone is going to get behind this idea, then those involved need to be brought along /9
@FT @trussliz @William_Bain @chrisouthworth @AlexanderHorne1 @Brigid_Fowler @Minette_Batters Because as @William_Bain says, it's the traders who do the trading...not the government.

The government can help - stuff like financing, streamlining processes etc - but over time it needs the broad consent of MPs, traders, pressure groups etc /10
@FT @trussliz @William_Bain @chrisouthworth @AlexanderHorne1 @Brigid_Fowler @Minette_Batters Otherwise, as was seen for example with the EU efforts to negotiate a transatlantic deal, it can get very rocky, very quickly...this journey is just beginning so better sort this stuff out sooner rather than later. ENDS

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More from @pmdfoster

13 Jun
So. Two pieces on the culture wars to read this weekend. One about the man behind them Dougie Smith via @ShippersUnbound and one by @alexebarker and me for @FinancialTimes ancialtimes on what it’s like being on the receiving end. /1
First the profile of Dougie Smith, the culture warrior who has culture Sec @OliverDowden “on a string” and puppeteers ministers — cf Dacre to Ofcom, Williamson on Queen pic, etc. Part of a Uni club “even Norman Tebbit thought too right wing”!!/3

thetimes.co.uk/article/8f8587…
Then this FT Weekend Front which take a long (and balanced) look at how this is playing out in the 'rebalancing' of boards of museum trustees as the govt, backed by Tory-leaning press, relentlessly and openly wages the culture war/3

ft.com/content/7c9c06…
Read 13 tweets
9 Jun
🚨🚨🌳🐟🏞⚖️⚖️⚖️🚨🚨NEW: UK post-Brexit green watchdog will be weaker than EU predecessor, warns law body via @FT me and ⁦@CamillaHodgson⁩ — more questions over U.K. promising big on green issues after #Brexit…but not delivering. /1
on.ft.com/3x8W2Jw
The Bingham Centre for the Rule of Law said the government’s plans for the new watchdog featured in the environment bill, would “undermine the rule of law” because they stopped courts from imposing penalties for illegal pollution and other breaches in most cases./2
You can read the Bingham Centre report here. /3

binghamcentre.biicl.org/documents/115_…
Read 8 tweets
28 May
It's out!!!! My #Brexit Briefing. This week, a Brexit upside -- viz. how UK could steal march on the EU by approving subsidies quicker. Wonky, but important. Stay with me/1

With help from: @instituteforgov @AlexanderPHRose
@jamesrwebber
@GeorgePeretzQC
ft.com/content/e6538c…
@instituteforgov @AlexanderPHRose @jamesrwebber @GeorgePeretzQC First the macro point, which that we are in an era when subsidies are more important than perhaps they once were.

#Covid19, the path to net zero, AI & the fourth industrial revolution...all of things see governments, including Tory ones, becoming more interventionist/2
@instituteforgov @AlexanderPHRose @jamesrwebber @GeorgePeretzQC Now regular readers will know that the #Brexit Briefing has spent quite a lot of time dwelling on the negatives of leaving the EU single market (yes, non tariff barriers to trade do exist, do matter)....but leaving the EU does present potential upside on subsidy controls/3
Read 20 tweets
21 May
It's OUT! My weekly #Brexit Briefing for @FinancialTimes
-- this week: "Why striking trade deals abroad is creating headaches for Johnson at home" and is likely to continue to do so...stay with me/1

ft.com/content/980fce…
@FinancialTimes First Oz-UK trade deal row which has been bubbling all week. UK farmers warn they'll be "thrown under the bus" by zero-tariff deal, but it looks as if @MPGeorgeEustice
has lost argument to protect farmers, per @MrHarryCole report (not denied)/2

@FinancialTimes @MPGeorgeEustice @MrHarryCole 15 years might seem a long time, and Oz exports are tiny...but what farmers fear is that UK will now have to grant same to NZ, Canada, USA, Mercosur etc etc...this WILL hit farmers as @trussliz own department modelling acknowledges here /3

gov.uk/government/pub…
Read 19 tweets
18 May
🚨🚨🇬🇧🇦🇺🦘🥊🚜🐄🐑🇦🇺🇬🇧🚨🚨 Huge UK government split over Australia trade deal via @FT with ⁦@GeorgeWParker
— Tl:dr the buccaneers are battling for soul #brexit. Stay with me. It’s a multi-dimensional play. /1 on.ft.com/3hwXlgE
@FT @GeorgeWParker As we report there is a "ferocious" fight going on in Whitehall over the terms of the Australia - UK trade deal, which is striking at the very heart of the #Brexit debate and what 'Global Britain means'...Truss+Frost v Eustice+Gove with Boris Johnson still to weigh in /2
@FT @GeorgeWParker The fight, in a nutshell is over @trussliz desire to give Australia a 'zero tariff' deal with UK -- like we have with EU -- which will be phased in over time. And she wants this ahead of G7 in June where Oz PM is being invited. That means decision time.../3
Read 15 tweets
17 May
🚨🚨🇬🇧🇪🇺🎤🎸🎹🎶🥁🎸🇪🇺🇬🇧🚨🥁 As Lord Frost says #brexit trade returning to normal, music industry body ⁦@ISM_music⁩ decries first 100 days of Brexit as a “disaster”. Latest via @FT - stay with me /1
on.ft.com/33OykW8
@ISM_music @FT So the topline finding by the ISM survey is that 94% of businesses surveyed said that #Brexit had had a negative or very negative impact on them. But why? Well.../2

ism.org/images/files/T…
@ISM_music @FT It's the fours C's

- Carnets
- Cabotage
- Clearances
- Customs

which combine to make if very much harder to do business, tour etc. Much of this has been masked by #COVID19 preventing travel anyway, but not for much longer (we hope). /3
Read 10 tweets

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