@ISM_music@FT So the topline finding by the ISM survey is that 94% of businesses surveyed said that #Brexit had had a negative or very negative impact on them. But why? Well.../2
which combine to make if very much harder to do business, tour etc. Much of this has been masked by #COVID19 preventing travel anyway, but not for much longer (we hope). /3
@ISM_music@FT On clearances, while SOME form of touring is available visa-free in 17 of 27 Members states, in some like Spain or Portugal, you need permits, criminal record checks and fees of β¬500-β¬600 euros per night -- that has already caused tours to be cancelled./4
@ISM_music@FT What about cabotage -- the right for truckers to make multiple stops in the EU. That's limited by the Frost trade deal...both between and within countries. That means UK hauliers probably have to register in EU, smaller guys gonna struggle - @RHARichardB is working on a fix /5
@ISM_music@FT@RHARichardB What about clearances? The problem getting visas etc... as Jake Bright, a freelance composer now working in France tells me, the govt guidance is unhelpful. He spend Β£1500 trying to get a visa IN CASE he needed to stay over 90 days - failed. $$ wasted /6
@ISM_music@FT@RHARichardB And then the carnets for temporary import of goods to EU -- Β£360 quid per consignment BUT a security deposit of up to 30% to 40% of value of all stuff being imported. That's a lot of money...more than many can afford to put up says Tarrant Anderson of @VansForBandsLtd /7
@ISM_music@FT@RHARichardB@VansForBandsLtd When @BorisJohnson
addressed MPs in March he said he shared frustrations of industry worth Β£5bn a year to and would work "flat out" to fix issues....but @ISM_music report said it had witnessed "no real progress" from officials. /8
@FT@GeorgeWParker As we report there is a "ferocious" fight going on in Whitehall over the terms of the Australia - UK trade deal, which is striking at the very heart of the #Brexit debate and what 'Global Britain means'...Truss+Frost v Eustice+Gove with Boris Johnson still to weigh in /2
@FT@GeorgeWParker The fight, in a nutshell is over @trussliz desire to give Australia a 'zero tariff' deal with UK -- like we have with EU -- which will be phased in over time. And she wants this ahead of G7 in June where Oz PM is being invited. That means decision time.../3
Waiting for Lord Frost @DavidGHFrost
to appear in front of @CommonsEU with tensions running high over implementation of Northern Ireland Protocol which Frost now says needs rebooting since it isn't working as UK envisaged. BUT, to be clear.../1
It's out!! My latest #Brexit Briefing which looks at stormy outlook for Northern Ireland. Not at all clear either EU or UK is prepared to move on big stuff on Protocol... biz confidence is falling, politics getting more strident. Stay with me/1
No need, probably, to rehearse the basic problem, which is that Brexit creates a trade border in the Irish Sea, that Unionists have rejected. That border gets thicker the harder the Brexit becomes over time, the more the UK diverges. The UK now wants to "sandpaper" it down /2
Again, at risk of simplifying, the UK is applying a mix of unilateral 'grace periods' on the full force of checks, and is arguing that digitisation and supply-chain tracking should enable a "pragmatic" approach that sees checks commensurate with actual risk to EU single market /3
First, the problem: this is what Alex Veitch of @LogisticsUKNews and @RHARodMcKenzie of Road Haulage Association call an "acute" shortage of HGV drivers that -- as we open up from #Covid19 -- could be come a "hurricane" of shortages. Why now? /2
Q: Cons say big wins coz "we're delivering on the people's priorities" -- but in truth #Covid19 has delayed most delivery, and folk get that, bar the vaccine, which was huge tick.
So Q: come 2024? Do cons need delivery? Or will culture war and a smattering of pork cut it? /1
I don't know the answer to this. Is the success of fueling "a narrative" fuelling the idea that politics is now decoupled from delivery -- i.e it's enough to talk about the "people's priorities" in a bullish way that folk identify with, because they don't actually expect much./2
Because deliver is going to be hard -- fiscal recovery from the pandemic is going to crimp spending if @RishiSunak has his way; #brexit (the big winner) is a drag on industry in Red Wall areas, the NHS has huge backlogs from Covid...i.e there are lots of challenges /3
π¨π¨π¬π§πͺπΊπππβ΄β΄πͺπΊπ¬π§π¨π¨NEW: remember how Govt said #brexit would lead to sustainable fishing? Mmmm π€ now fishing NGOs accuse govt of reneging on those promises. This doesnβt look good. Stay with me/1
First those pledges. When the Fisheries Bill was tabled in Jan @MPGeorgeEustice and Theresa Villiers promised fishing policies that would be "sustainable", protect our "wonderful blue belt" and based on "*health of our fish stocks* not vested interests"/2
@MPGeorgeEustice But now me and @jimbrunsden learn that in negotiations in Brussels the UK is pushing for "flexibility" to transfer catches of Haddock, Hake, Monkfish from the better-stocked North Sea to the areas West of Scotland - Area VIa in this chart /3