#Life_Line
In the United Nations upcoming vote on the decision of the of flow humanitarian aid, whether food or medical, through the liberated northern Syrian crossings, if #Moscow places its veto again, the scene will become horrific.1/10
#Syria #USA #EU #المعابر_شريان_الحياة
At the outset, it must be clarified that this ban will mean, in one way or another, the cessation of the flow of aid from most of international organizations, whether governmental or non-governmental, which work under the cover of the United Nations in general.2/10
Consequently, the population and displaced persons in the liberated north of #Syria, estimated at 4.5 million, will be deprived of about 90% of the volume of food and medical aid without the possibility to replace it from any organization or country.3/10
This aid is the only #Life_Line that remains for more than three million displaced people who left their homes and lands to escape death in Assad’s prisons, the bombing of Russian planes or the knives of Iranian sectarian militias.4/10
In the beginning, the prices of goods in the liberated northern #Syria will rise rapidly, and local traders will try to exploit this reality by monopolizing goods, which will make life more and more difficult.5/10
#EU #UN #USA #Life_Line
With days and weeks passing, the administrators of the region will be forced to open humanitarian crossing points with the regime, which will become a means to suck the blood of the population and forward dollars towards #Assad's economy which is in dire need.6/10
#Syria
Day after day, the poor will become poorer until they are faced with narrow choices,one of them being the option of moving to Assad areas in the hope that they will feed the women and children,even if death in prison is what the fathers will find there.7/10
#المعابر_شريان_الحياة
Some will try to cross into the Turkish territory, which has recently become less enthusiastic to receive any new refugee as a result of popular pressure. Therefore, the option of death by the bullets of border guards is the most likely.8/10
#Life_Line #Syria #EU @UN
Some will try to exploit the need of men and youth by recruiting them into international mercenary groups, and some will be exploited by extremists under the pretext of revenge against everyone, east and west.9/10
#USA #ISIS #EU #Russia #Syria #Turkey
If Sednaya prison and Buka prison "camp" were the beginning of rising of #ISIS and more jihadist organisations between #Syria and Iraq, from Malaysia to Orlando, then the northern Syrian camps will become the spark of a bloodier page.10/10
#Life_Line #المعابر_شريان_الحياة

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More from @evacool_

Apr 15
#Thread #Israel #Gaza #Hamas #Hezbollah #USA #Iran #IRGC #Syria
About 48 hours after the Iranian attack on Israel, an analysis of the current scene in the race for who will impose his rules in the Middle East and the choices of politicians in Israel.
1 🧵
Before engaging in an analysis of the Iranian attack and the possible Israeli response, it is necessary to emphasize that both sides of the conflict do not want a comprehensive war. We are facing a race linked to the rules of influence and deterrence in the region.
2/
In #Tehran, the politicians there were facing very limited options to deal with the target of their consulate in #Damascus, among which the issue of not responding and absorbing the strike did not exist, because it would mean a resounding Iranian downfall.
3/
Read 15 tweets
Apr 1
#Thread #Israel #Gaza #Hamas #Hezbollah #USA #Iran #IRGC #Syria
In the most dangerous escalation in the Middle East since the attacks of October 7, the Israeli Air Force targeted with six missiles the Iranian consulate building and the residence of the Iranian ambassador in the Syrian capital, #Damascus.

1 🧵
The building, which belongs to the Iranian embassy and consists of four floors, is considered a very important security center through which leaders of the #IRGC manage their operations and plans in #Lebanon and #Syria, and it is considered Iranian territory.
2/
Image
Image
According to the latest updates, the Iranian side has acknowledged the killing of 7 Iranians, the most important of whom is the head of the IRGC in Syria and Lebanon General Mohammad Reza Zahedi, his assistant Mohammad Haj Rahimi, and Hussein Amirullah in addition to a number of #IRGC officers.
3/Image
Image
Read 16 tweets
Nov 23, 2023
#Thread #Israel #Gaza #IDF #Hamas #USA #Iran
Hours before the truce in the Gaza Strip enters into force, read the latest military and geopolitical developments for both sides of the war and the regional scene.
1/🧵 Image
Although one of the terms of this truce is that it will last for four days, during these four days both #Qatar and the #US will work to intensify negotiations between the two sides of the war to extend this truce in exchange for the release of more hostages.
2/
In practice, the #IDF will take advantage of this truce to reorganize its forces on the ground and intensify the collection of intelligence information in parallel with assessing what has been achieved in recent weeks.
3/
Read 17 tweets
Nov 7, 2023
#Thread #Israel #Lebanon #Hezbollah #US #Hamas #Gaza
In light of the Israeli Defense Forces’ evacuation of all towns adjacent to the border with Lebanon, Israeli politicians began to wonder about the future of these borders after Gaza. What solutions are on the table?
1/🧵👇 Image
Since Oct. 7 attack, the Israeli admin. adopted the decision to evacuate many towns close to the Lebanese border. Gradually, the evacuation process began to expand until it included all the villages to a depth of 5 km, with talk of expanding to 8 or 10 km.
2/
Oct. 7 attack has become an obsession among the residents of northern #Israel, who fear that they will face an attack similar to what #Hamas carried out, but through #Hezbollah. From this standpoint, a number of them may not want to return to their towns without solutions.
3/
Read 15 tweets
Apr 3, 2022
Although I personally understand the Saudi concerns which led to this policy, I see it as a huge mistake and that Saudi Arabia will not be a winner from it. Surprisingly, the biggest winners from this energy crisis are #Russia and #Iran.
1/7
#KSA #USA #Biden #Ukraine #Israel #UAE
Because of the ongoing war on #Ukraine and the economic sanctions on #Russia , the rise in energy prices makes the imports of oil gas very important to cover #Moscow's depletion in other fields.
2/7
Moscow has already started exploiting the card of energy externally as well by blackmailing Europe and raising its exports to eastern countries at much lower prices.
3/7
Read 7 tweets
Apr 3, 2022
Thread : 🧵
With #OPEC Plus clinging to #oil pumping operations at nearly the same level, which leads to a continuous rise in fuel prices globally, in my opinion, the key to this crisis is in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
1/8
#KSA #USA #Russia #Ukraine #EU #NATO #Iran Image
As it is known, #Riyadh is the second largest oil exporter in the world with about 10 mbd and the second largest reserves. #SaudiArabia also leads the #OPEC, which includes a number of oil exporters, making it an important influence on global oil prices.
2/8
It is important to stress that the current rise started since the 4th quarter of last year, months before Russian invasion in #Ukraine, with assurances from #US, confirming its attempt to communicate with the Saudi side to raise the level of production, hitting a dead end.
3/8
Read 8 tweets

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