For good reason, folks are looking for inflation-proof yield-generating real assets. Agricultural land and primary industries are definitely in the spot light, and Rural Funds $RFF.AX $RFF has been on a tear.
But did you know your dividends will be unfranked and grossed down?👇
Before we get into divvies, a quick plug to a previous post on agricultural land, inflation and real asset plays on the #ASX 👇
It's been a bit unusual to see such a boring stock have such a long run in a short period. The underlying fundamentals have not changed that much, but the flight to safety and yield is definitely pushing things up.
Today RFF goes ex dividend with it's quarterly payment of 2.8c, yielding ~4.36% on today's share price. Just yesterday the stock rose another 3% in advance of the dividend payment.
The dividends are unfranked, so they have not paid their 30% corporate tax on it.
4.36% unfranked is the equivalent of 3.052% franked dividends after you've done your taxes. Which is exactly the same as $ASX.AX fully franked dividends.
Generally that's where people stop. BUT.. we need to compare apples with apples.
And RFF is not an ASX listed company, it's an attributable managed investment trust (AMIT) 🤷
An AMIT is a quirk of the Australian Tax System, thanks to the #ATO. It requires trusts to pass through all earnings and capital gains to the holders.
"In relation to capital gains, these rules mean you will treat the capital gains component of your trust income as being a capital gain that you made." - in real speak, you pay the capital gains in your personal income statement, not RFF.
So a couple of months after you get your distribution statement from RFF and feel like your yield winning.. you get a notice that looks like this: 👇
And when it comes to tax, this is the important part - you are taxed on the cash component that hit your bank account, and all other gains in the trust they pass through.. erm, that's 8.5c per share.
🚨I AM NOT AN ACCOUNTANT🚨
My understanding is if you have a marginal tax rate of say 30%, and you receive 8.5c of disbursements for tax purposes.. that's 2.556c of taxes owing come 30 June 2021, almost the full 2.8203c that was disbursed!
So back of the envelope for a middle income households.. the grossed down yield may be 0.44%.. oh and with the Medicare levy, potentially 0%.
I may be wrong, I did write to RFF investor relations and this is how I interpreted their communication.
The reason this occurs is that the cash payment is made from adjust funds from operations (AFFO) - think rent less costs. This is around 11.7c, of which 11.3c is paid per annum - high payout ratio due to asset turnover, growing at +4% CAGR generally.
The capital gains tax component is due to recycling of assets - selling farms at a profit. The capital gain is realised at the time of sale, and this year they sold Mooral for $98m for a tidy profit. Thus, someone (shreholders) needs to pay the tax bill.
This is not always the case, it seems FY21 is an outlier. In FY22 there will be new macadamia farms coming online (trees currently under development) - this should increase AFFO / reduce payouts; and in FY20 they didn't recycle and so the dividends went as cash payments.
RFF is currently trading at a significant premium to it's NAV ($2.01 as of 31/12/2020, maybe $2.10 now). Traditionally it trades around 1.1x NAV, giving it a fair value of ~$2.30.
So right now it's around 15% overpriced and yielding ~0% gross of taxes in FY21.
Without a crystal ball, I think FY22 will be good for RFF's underlying assets as they expand macadamias - but perhaps not so good for the share price.
I'm not long RFF anymore, and will wait for a better entry price when the tax / asset recycling scares off yield hunters.
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1.Investment thesis: A fast growing company; operating in a growing industry; a fragmented market with lots of potential for roll-ups; horizontal and vertical integration opportunities; aggressive management.
2.Healthia’s business model is a roll-up platform operating across allied health. Put simply, they want to acquire smaller “mum and dad” businesses to expand their geographic footprint, as well as expand into new areas of healthcare.
Midway $MWY $MWY.AX is a cyclical play on export soft woodchips. Today it's just a brief update on the market conditions, what to expect in the upcoming report - and why I increased my holdings.
Midway provided guidance of $17-19m statutory earnings, and it's going to be at the low end.
This included improving operating conditions in 2H21 and some statutory tailwinds.
Main reason for the lower end of guidance is that a Brisbane shipment was meant to go in June (FY21) but was pushed back to July (FY22) - and it's 36,000tonnes of wood worth ~$2.5m. You can see it in Graincorps $GNC STEM. In the big scheme, this doesn't matter, but good to know.
Sonic Health $SHL $SHL.AX is Australia’s largest listed imaging and diagnostics healthcare company that’s taken on the world. Will this stalwart continue its Covid-sponsored run?
Let’s take a deep dive! 👇
1. Investment Thesis: A stalwart; with Covid and long-term tailwinds; good management; runway for organic and acquisitive growth in a still fragmented market; and historically a decent safe dividend yield.
2. Full disclosure, I first owned Sonic in 2010, and sold in 2015. It kept running, but not very fast. I considered in mid 2020 buying at $26, but anchor bias made me think $22 from March 2020 was better and I sat on the sidelines!
Primary land for #agriculture#forestry and #fisheries is front page news and may be at the cusp of a generational bull run. Yet, the market hasn’t really factored this in. 🤷
What are some ways we can play this trend?
Let’s take a deep dive. 👇
2. Classical economists like Adam Smith and David Ricardo modelled the economy with four factors of production: Labour, Capital, Entrepreneurship (or ‘technology’).. and land.
Tech and capital used to be the most scarce, but do you think that's the case now?
3. Recently megatrend analysts have been pointing at increasing food and fiber needs, increasing population, increasing wealth, and decreasing land availability all contributing to relative scarcity of good quality primary land.
Midway $MWY $MWY.AX is Australia’s largest pure-play woodfibre company on the #ASX, exporting woodchips for pulp and paper to Asia. Covid-19 prices have recovered, hard and fast. Is the sun about to shine on this cyclical?
Let’s take a deep dive. 👇
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2. Midway is a small cap ($93M MC, $133m EV), with operations dating back to 1980. Midway was first listed in 2016 and keeps much of the same management in place. A fully integrated woodchip company from plantation, harvest, processing and exporting.
A2 Milk $A2M $A2M.AX is a scientific-based dairy company specialising in infant formula, liquid milk and social marketing. Is there life left in this once-quality now bargain-basement company? Let’s take a deep dive.
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2. Scientific Edge. A2 Milk markets itself on the A2 protein as a healthier option (improved gut health, helps lactose intolerant people, etc). This is a “super premium product” which plays strong in the infant nutrition market.