BREAKING—Nearly 2,000 #COVID19 cases in Scotland now linked to attendees of #Euro2020⚽️ events—#DeltaVariant. 2/3rds of cases had travelled to London for Scotland vs England. 90% male. 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 now has **all-time record high Covid** plus ⬆️hospitalizations. 🧵 bbc.com/news/uk-scotla…
2) Scotland record high #COVID19 cases — here is the data. It’s now higher than even winter surge!
3) Most of the Scotland surge is in terms and young adults. But it’s rising in those 45-65 and elderly age groups too.
4) Scotland now having rising hospitalizations and ICU patients due to #DeltaVariant too. This rise is real.
5) Yet this is all happening in Scotland 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 with 49% fully vaccinated. Vaccines work but still many people vulnerable to #DeltaVariant. This is why we need to mask until vaccinations at a higher threshold. I think with Delta it needs to be near 85%- 90%. But 65-70% minimum.
6) ugh… “Scotland was only allocated 2,600 tickets for the match at Wembley because of Covid restrictions.
But tens of thousands of fans are believed to have travelled to London despite warnings not to do so unless they had a ticket.”
7) “Many gathered together in large groups in central London ahead of the game, with those in Leicester Square being moved on by police shortly after half-time.”
8) “Public Health Scotland said it had tagged positive Covid cases if they attended either a Euro 2020 organised event, such as a match at Hampden or Wembley Stadium or the Fanzone at Glasgow Green.
9) “People who tested positive after attending an informal gathering, such as a pub or a house party to watch a match, were also tagged.
The report said that 1,294 of the 1,991 total cases had reported travelling to London, including 397 who were actually at the match.”
10) “Scotland fan Michael MacLean told BBC Radio Scotland that he tested positive for Covid following his trip to London for the match against England.
The 21-year-old visited pubs and celebrating with other supporters in Leicester Square during his three-night stay in the city.
11) A few days after returning to Scotland, he showed symptoms of coronavirus.
He said: "Leicester Square, I would say, was the spreader.
"It was an amazing experience, but I am quite gutted I got Covid because that has affected me, affected my work, it has affected my friends."
12) Cases in Scotland have surged in recent weeks, with Scotland thought to have the highest Covid rate of any UK nation.
Health Secretary Humza Yousaf said that the data clearly showed the number of people testing positive was "skewed disproportionately towards young males". 🤦🏻‍♂️
13) First Minister Nicola Sturgeon says
"We were very explicit in saying to fans who didn't have a ticket for Wembley not to travel.

"We can't physically stop every person travelling and significant numbers of people did travel."

🤷🏻‍♂️?
14) We are committing a lot of “own goals 🥅” during this Pandemic. Schools and kids cases are another own goal by removing mask mandates.
15) Everything is fine? Covid is over? UK 🇬🇧 surging hospitalizations… the #DeltaVariant’s hospitalization march upwards continues…. 🤦🏻‍♂️

Ht @COVID19actuary
16) if #EURO2020 soccer match outbreak in Scotland 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 was bad… now imagine cruise ships 🛳 soon in Florida or the #Olympics2021. Demanding travel insurance for the unvaccinated is not a bad policy— albeit it sends a very obvious signal what actuaries think will happen.

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More from @DrEricDing

2 Jul
Bad news for UK 🇬🇧 and the rest of the world… hospitalizations in England due to #DeltaVariant are now accelerating upward even faster than before, according to new data compiled by @COVID19actuary. 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 is ~half fully #vaccinated—UK planning to start 3rd dose in Sept for age 50+. Image
2) Cases, hospitalizations, and deaths all increasing in the UK. Scotland cases now at all time record high too. Israel cases and hospitalizations up too.
3) England is also responsible for an outbreak in Scotland among soccer fans who traveled to London. Again all #DeltaVariant
Read 15 tweets
2 Jul
Overwhelmed hospitals are back—a hospital in Springfield (Missouri) now on “#COVID19 diversion", sending hospitalized patients to other cities and nearby state, as #DeltaVariant gains momentum where large swaths of residents aren’t vaccinated.
kmov.com/news/hospital-…
2) said four Cox hospital patients recently were transferred to BJC HealthCare, a St. Louis-area health system with 14 hospitals including Barnes-Jewish, a big teaching hospital tied to Washington University’s medical school.
3) Another four Cox patients have been transferred to St. Luke’s Health System in Kansas City, Edwards said.
Edwards cited internal Cox data showing 47 COVID patients transferred into Cox facilities from June 1 to 21,
Read 7 tweets
1 Jul
FACT: A virus that is less lethal than before (eg vaccination), or infects a lower risk (younger) population can actually *kill & maim more victims* if it’s more contagious (#DeltaVariant) or allowed to spread to more people (e.g. ⚽️ games), than if a virus is merely more lethal. Image
2) This above statement is proven by epidemiology models. Let’s not wait to “find out for ourselves” and then pretend “nobody could have predicted this” later when it’s too late.
3) Most of these people infected at #EuroCup were young. Most will not be hospitalized. But many will be hospitalized and transmit to others who are more vulnerable. And in the end it’ll maim more people than a less contagious virus that is merely more fatal.
Read 10 tweets
1 Jul
Anyone who doubts the #DeltaVariant wave is coming only needs to look at Israel🇮🇱 and UK🇬🇧—two of the most heavily vaccinated countries in the world. Hospitalizations are increasing ⬆️ in both countries too. US🇺🇸 is ~1 month behind UK—but US vaccinations are slowly. #COVID19 🧵 Image
2) Are England 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 hospitalization increasing? Yes. Image
3) are Scotland 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 hospitalizations also increasing? Yes. Image
Read 22 tweets
30 Jun
BREAKING—A **third #COVID19 vaccine** will be offered to half of UK 🇬🇧 residents with a flu jab starting September to reduce need for restrictions this winter. All residents age 50+over will be urged to get another shot to ensure immunity does not wane. 🧵
thetimes.co.uk/article/half-o…
2) A third dose of the AstraZeneca vaccine can boost immune protection. In new trial, 3rd dose of AZ vaccine nearly seven months after first two shots—participants reported higher antibody levels after the third dose than a month after the second. #COVID19 nytimes.com/2021/06/28/wor…
3) The new data, detailed in a preprint manuscript that has not yet been peer reviewed, came from 90 study volunteers in 🇬🇧 who were among the earliest to receive shots in clinical trial last year. This past March, they were given third dose, roughly 30 weeks after their second.
Read 6 tweets
30 Jun
Heard an insane quote—On 4th of July: “If you're an unvaccinated individual, try to be around as many vaccinated persons as you can be”, said a scientist that I won’t name.

Ummm, what? Just like Singapore #DeltaVariant outbreak? 21 transmissions from a green (vaxxed) circle.
2) How about telling unvaccinated people to MASK instead? Or stay away from other people period until they are fully vaccinated? Or else it’ll only drive this…
3) Or how about tell unvaccinated people to get travel insurance ?
Read 7 tweets

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