Thread by @RudiKellerMI

1/? I spent some time last night reviewing my tweets since the start of the #pandemic; several things jumped out but nothing more than how the lack of #antigen case data from @HealthyLivingMo until March understated the situation. #COVID19Missouri #COVID19 #DeltaVariant

@HealthyLivingMo 2/? The first #COVID19Missouri case was March 7, 2020. Officials had been anticipating it and @GovParsonMO & @DrSamPage held a news conference about it #COVID19 #moleg

https://twitter.com/RudiKellerMI/status/1236454387339403265?s=20

@HealthyLivingMo @GovParsonMO @DrSamPage 3/? In November, I tracked the progress of #COVID19Missouri cases, showing the reported cases/day on March 14 (1 week later) and the 14th of each month afterward. #COVID19 @HealthyLivingMo #moleg

https://twitter.com/RudiKellerMI/status/1327667293359378433?s=20

@HealthyLivingMo @GovParsonMO @DrSamPage 4/? I found that by 11/14, lack of #antigen data understated cases by 6.3%, and that would grow to more than 30% by the time @HealthyLivingMo added the data in March. #COVID19Missouri #COVID19 #moleg

https://twitter.com/RudiKellerMI/status/1369028567011635201?s=20

@HealthyLivingMo @GovParsonMO @DrSamPage 5/? I had already looked at every local health department report available online and found @HealthyLivingMo undercounted #COVID19MIssouri cases by >80K by leaving out #antigen data #moleg #COVID19

https://twitter.com/RudiKellerMI/status/1368572684284616707?s=20

@HealthyLivingMo @GovParsonMO @DrSamPage 6/? Here's what the data shows of how #antigen testing became more and more common:
Progress of #COVID19Missouri, in 7-day average of reported cases:
3/14: 0.43/day
4/14: 235.57/day
5/14: 139.57/day (0.14 antigen 0.1%)
6/14: 204.57/day (0.28 antigen 0.1%)
#moleg

@HealthyLivingMo @GovParsonMO @DrSamPage 7/? And #COVID19Missouri thru November:
7/14: 606.43/day (6.86 antigen 1.1% )
8/14: 1,147.86/day (20.57 antigen 1.8% )
9/14: 1,438.43/day (47.14 antigen 3.3% )
10/14: 1,935.71/day (74.57 antigen 3.8% )
11/14: 4,671.57/day (292.14 antigen 6.3%)
#moleg #antigen

@HealthyLivingMo @GovParsonMO @DrSamPage 8/? As #COVID19Missouri cases were peaking, lack of #antigen data became a bigger missing piece, until March: #moleg
12/14: 3,992.00/day (756.71 antigen 19% )
1/14: 3,500.86 (710.71 antigen 20.3% )
2/14: 1,004.43 (286.71 antigen 28.5% )
3/14: 649.71 (239.71 antigen 38.9% )

@HealthyLivingMo @GovParsonMO @DrSamPage 9/? And as #DeltaVariant takes hold, here's our most recent info from the 14th of each month: @HealthyLivingMo
4/14: 637.29/day (237.71 antigen 37.6%)
5/14: 449.29 (136.43 antigen 30.3%)
6/14: 563.00 (183.14 antigen 32.5% )
7/10: 1,438 (416.43 antigen 29%)
#COVID19Missouri #moleg

@HealthyLivingMo @GovParsonMO @DrSamPage 10/? #Antigen -ID'd cases are active #COVID19, same as ID'd by the long-swab #PCRtest; they are quick, cheap and preferred by rural health departments. #COVID19Missouri #moleg #DeltaVariant @HealthyLivingMo

@HealthyLivingMo @GovParsonMO @DrSamPage 11/? I have copied the statewide & county-level data reported by @HealthyLivingMo every day since early April 2020; the data I present daily is that public-facing reported data & my 7-day avgs differ from the official number because of that. #COVID19Missouri #COVID19 #moleg

@HealthyLivingMo @GovParsonMO @DrSamPage 12/? @HealthyLivingMo waits 3 days to verify reported cases, then assigns them based on date of the test. The official 7-day avg is then calculated. I reported both in #COVID19Missouri tweets each day. #moleg #DeltaVariant #COVID19

@HealthyLivingMo @GovParsonMO @DrSamPage 13/? @HealthyLivingMo doesn't post 'cases since yesterday' data so every media outlet has to do its own arithmetic; @MO_Independent always uses PCR+antigen; some media only uses PCR; also, we report 7-day avgs based on reported cases. #DeltaVariant #COVID19Missouri #moleg

@HealthyLivingMo @GovParsonMO @DrSamPage @MO_Independent 14/? As I reviewed, I also found a few moments worth remembering. I first used #COVID19Missouri hashtag on March 7, 2020 and found only one use prior to that #COVID19

https://twitter.com/humanspan/status/1233454782507110400?s=20

@HealthyLivingMo @GovParsonMO @DrSamPage @MO_Independent 15/? And remember the empty grocery store shelves during the first #pandemic panic, when we didn't know how long #stayathome orders would last? #COVID19Missouri

https://twitter.com/RudiKellerMI/status/1241510937397301248?s=20

@HealthyLivingMo @GovParsonMO @DrSamPage @MO_Independent 16/? And as we entered the first #SummerSurge in #COVID19Missouri cases at the end of May 2020, a foreshadowing of the #DeltaVariant spread:

https://twitter.com/RudiKellerMI/status/1266449485531578369?s=20

@HealthyLivingMo @GovParsonMO @DrSamPage @MO_Independent 17/? And as case numbers set records in June 2020, @GovParsonMO assured us "we are not overwhelmed" #COVID19Missouri #COVID19 #DeltaVariant #moleg

https://twitter.com/RudiKellerMI/status/1275520138306076674?s=20

@HealthyLivingMo @GovParsonMO @DrSamPage @MO_Independent 18/? By late July 2020, #COVID19Missouri cases set a record, 1,773, very near to our current daily totals #moleg #COVID19 #DeltaVariant

https://twitter.com/RudiKellerMI/status/1288188147709415424?s=20

@HealthyLivingMo @GovParsonMO @DrSamPage @MO_Independent 19/? Cases continued to surge, and in late October, @MOHospitals urged @GovParsonMO to issue a #mask order statewide #COVID19Missouri #moleg

https://twitter.com/RudiKellerMI/status/1322528127432773633?s=20

@HealthyLivingMo @GovParsonMO @DrSamPage @MO_Independent @MOHospitals 20/? Now we get the @KCStar report. @MO_Independent ID'd issues in NW Mo in late May, the #DeltaVariant in SW Mo on 6/11 and on 7/2 published a warning the #Mizzou prof studying wastewater that cases would 'double or triple.' #COVID19Missouri #moleg
missouriindependent.com/2021/07/02/del…

@HealthyLivingMo @GovParsonMO @DrSamPage @MO_Independent @MOHospitals @KCStar 21/21 final tweet. Friday, @HealthyLivingMo forecast weeks of rising #DeltaVariant cases. w/ 1/3 of July gone, St. Charles County is 94% of June total; St. Louis City & County, and Morgan County, are nearly 80% of June; Greene, eastern Jackson, others 70%+ #COVID19Missouri #moleg

@HealthyLivingMo @GovParsonMO @DrSamPage @MO_Independent @MOHospitals @KCStar 22/21 Final thought. Highest single day for #COVID19Missouri reported cases was 6,346 #PCR tested on 12/22; No #antigen cases reported that day, so I back-filled w/@HealthyLivingMo data, making data prior to March 11 a hybrid; 260 antigen cases ups 12/22 to 6,606 cases #moleg