Great @AmbDanFried is a top-notch expert on Central & Eastern Europe so it’s no surprise that he called attention to the “Declaration of Joint European Heritage and Common Values” (the Vilnius Declaration) signed by the FMs🇱🇹🇵🇱🇺🇦(Text here: gov.pl/web/diplomacy/…) Thread 1/20
2) The Vilnius Declaration goes beyond political symbolism - an act of political homage paid to the republican, democratic, and freedom traditions of the ancient Commonwealth. The signatories see it a driving force of today's political cooperation of 🇱🇹-🇵🇱-🇺🇦.
3) It's a revolutionary document, that can be regarded as a symbolic turning point foretelling the end of an ongoing 150 year process of nationalizing the past by Lithuanians, Poles & Ukrainians, an unavoidable phase for any nation&state building process. gov.pl/web/diplomacy/…
4) In Western Europe nationalism was a strong driver of imperialism and colonialism; in Central and Eastern Europe it drove the struggle for freedom and national self-determination, thus being an anti-imperial force – in the case of Poland, of anti-German and anti-Russian edge.
5) Meanwhile 🇱🇹&🇺🇦 national movements of the 19th & 20th centuries, fearing 🇵🇱 cultural&demographic predominance, traditionally portrayed the Commonwealth as a tool of 🇵🇱 oppression, even bondage. Therefore their struggle for national identity often meant rejecting its tradition.
6) But now the Vilnius declaration underlines the Commonwealth as the common, primordial state of today’s Belarusians, Lithuanians, Poles, and Ukrainians, a political community that developed these nations’ shared love for freedom, sovereignty and rejection of despotism.
7) Now 🇱🇹, 🇵🇱 and 🇺🇦 recognise that the tradition of the Commonwealth not only helped mold their European identities and feelings of national dignity but is also both, an asset in the European integration process as well as a challenge to the imperial idea of 'Russkiy mir'.
8) Actually, it was 🇺🇦FM @DmytroKuleba , who upon signing the declaration emphasized to the media that it is an ideological response to “Russian world,” accentuating the eternal connection of Ukraine with Europe, incl. its legal & political cultures radiosvoboda.org/a/news-liublin…
9) Recalling the positive role of the Commonwealth goes against the Russian imperial propaganda,incl. Putin’s delusions based largely on 19th century concepts of Russian nationalism, claiming Belarusians and Ukrainians and Russians to be of the one nation. chathamhouse.org/2021/05/myths-…
10) The Kremlin's propaganda already circulates the thesis that Warsaw is building a „Polish mir” currently aiming to vassalize Ukraine and in the future, Belarus and sees the Vilnius declaration as a threat to the Kremlin interests: russian.rt.com/world/article/…
11) BTW Russian imperial propaganda consistently seeks to enflame antagonisms between Poles and Lithuanians, Poles and Ukrainians,
12) The declaration emphasizing the cultural and political unity among Belarusians, Lithuanians, Poles, and Ukrainians is a reminder that Moscow’s domination over Belarus & Ukraine was relatively recent, spanning only 200 years.This point supports Ukraine’s European aspirations.
13) Precisely this contemporary aspect of the Vilnius declaration is the most important.Neither does the foreign minister’s document solve the historical disputes over common heritage,nor does it provide any arguments toward it. Rather it accentuates its common political utility.
14) Thus the signing of the declaration should rather be seen in the context of the German decision to complete the #NordStream2 pipeline and the Biden administration’s decision over ceasing efforts to stop this project.
15) In February 2021 ministers @RauZbigniew and @DmytroKuleba warned that completion of NS2 is a threat to Western unity and increases Putin’s abilities to endanger peace throughout Europe politico.eu/article/nord-s…
16) In the @faznet newspaper Rau recently called attention to the fact that activating NS2 will generate a security deficit on NATO’s eastern flank while creating a security vacuum for Ukraine gov.pl/web/diplomacy/…
17) Rau also declared Poland's readiness to participate in the compensation of the emerging deficit - by increasing the deterrence potential on NATO's eastern flank, defense potential of Ukraine, its energy sovereignty and by strengthening its feeling of unity with Europe.
18) However, the struggle with this deficit demands contesting feelings of abandoning and alienating Ukraine whose defense interests were ignored by Germany and to a much lesser degree by the Biden administration zn.ua/international/…
19) Thus the Vilnius declaration is a political act – it underscores Ukraine’s bond with Europe and the transatlantic community originating in the tradition of the Commonwealth, as well as Ukraine’s right to seek membership in NATO and the EU. urm.lt/default/en/new…
20) Since Lithuania and Poland became NATO and EU members by referring to the political tradition of the Commonwealth, then Ukraine, which is part of this same tradition, can’t be discriminated against in its aspirations to join NATO and the EU. #END.
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There’s rumour about confidential negotiations btn the Biden admin and the German gov. Their goal: to find a way out of the mess in which the whole transatlantic community finds itself because of Merkel’s support for Putin’s pipeline—Nord Stream 2 #THREAD
2/ The preferred solution for the Biden team would be to deny Putin the ability to exercise energy blackmail against Central Europe and Ukraine, while at the same time foregoing sanctions against Germany.
3/ Early in his career, Biden’s Secretary of State Anthony @SecBlinken had analyzed the decision of the Reagan administration not to levy sanctions against West Europeans for building the Siberian pipeline with the Soviets.
Stwierdzenie to daje asumpt do krótkiej akcji edukacyjnej. Dziś polskie siły zbrojne pełnią dokładnie taką samą funkcję, w razie konieczności muszą dostarczyć Polsce argumentów politycznych, np. na rzecz tezy, że Polska sprzeciwia się zmianie granic siłą...1)
Przeciwnik będzie dążył do wzbudzenia w polskim społeczeństwie wątpliwości, czy warto? Czy warto ryzykować, być może wojnę jądrową która zakończy znany nam świat, aby sprzeciwić się stworzeniu "korytarza" do Królewca przez polskie terytorium? Czy warto bronić Suwałk? A Wilna? 2).
Na kalulację zysków i strat potencjalnego przeciwnika wpływa fakt istnienienia ryzyka, że jakakolwiek próba stworzenia takiego "korytarza" metodą faktów dokonanych, np. lądowaniem "zielonych ludzików" w Suwałkach, może się skończyć jądrową dekapitacją jego przywództwa...3)
As the US government confirmed plans to pull 9,500 soldiers out of Germany, and at the same time there are signals, coming from Washington DC, that the pool of forces deployed to Poland may be increased. Here is my take on (now in English) #Thread 1/12:
2) It's vital interest of Poland to "keep Americans in" Europe. Germany is the key state in this regard. The biggest chunk of US forces deployed to Europe is based in Germany. Further, these units are the key for the credibility of NATO’s defence & deterrence and Polish security.
3) Poland has been striving for more US – and other Allies! – military presence on its soil for two decades, incl. “hard” military infrastructure. But as PM Morawiecki said: "It is not our intention to achieve this goal at the expense of reducing the US contingent in Germany".
The narrative that the Soviets were saving Jews or tried to stop the #Holocaust is a myth. @Haaretz is right, in 1939 they abandoned Jews and were constantly refusing to help those trying to save their lives by escaping from German occupation to the USSR. #WeRemember
2) After the partition of Poland between Hitler and Stalin on 17th Sept 1939 and witnessing anti-Jewish repressions and atrocities being already committed by the Germans, thousands of Polish Jews tried to escape to the Soviet zone. They fate was brought to light by Yosef Litvak.
3) The attitude of German and Soviet troops to the Jewish refugees Yosef Litvak illustrated by describing the tragic fate of the Jews of Chelm and Hrubieszów. The German and Soviet troops were shooting to Jews together from their sides of the Bug river.
I'm still surprised by Macron’s recent xenophobic remarks on Bulgarians & Ukrainians which together with his veto on the EU accession talks with Albanians & Macedonians, his earlier tirades about various nations in “Eastern Europe” and👇report inspired me to #thread some thoughts
2) The problem is not about a given personality. Macron is a talented politician who represents a peculiar school of thinking about Eastern Europeans (more accurately Central Europe). So there's something deeper here, more systemic and definitely not limited to France, only.
3) The said school of thinking has its roots in the old way of seeing the entirety of Central & Eastern Europe as 'a distant land we know so little' but even more importantly 'we don't want to know'.
Mam wrażenie, że problem leży w dużej infantylizacji dyskusji na tematy para-staregiczne. Polska jest państwem demokratycznej debaty publicznej i każdy może sobie dyskutować o czym chce i szermować dowolnymi tezami. Najmniej mogą Ci, co ponoszą jakąś odpowiedzialność. 1/
Ważnym elementem odstraszania jest potencjał eskalacji, a jego częścią jest tzw. komunikacja strategiczna. Innymi słowy, trzeba wiedzieć, co się mówi, kiedy, do kogo, przez kogo, z jakiego poziomu, w jakim kontekście i jakimi słowami. Dlatego najczęściej sie nie mówi nic.
Tymczasem z faktu, że się nie mówi, wielu wyciąga wniosek, że się nie myśli. Tymczasem od myślenia do mówienia to kilka szczebli w drabinie eskalacyjnej. Nikt odpowiedzialny nie będzie sobie samy tych szczebli wyjmował. Bo chodzi o to, aby nie musieć przechodzić od słów do czynów