So yesterday the first Jan 6th sentence

got 8 months prison + 2 years probation. Has to serve full 8 mo (no early release on under 1 year federal). Can never own gun. Forever on terrorist watch lists, no-fly lists

Was first-time offender, nonviolent, didn't vandalize. Confessed
This sets up the standard for the next 500 criminals

MOST were not all those things: nonviolent, no vandalism, first time offender - who confessed

Take ANY of those items away, their time goes UP not down. There were 140 cops who were injured. MANY rioters were VIOLENT
Among 500 who entered Capitol, there were many who stole things, or broke things, or vandalized the place. They will get more time

Many have prior offenses. Some carried weapons to Capitol. Some had clear plans to cause harm (handcuffs, blueprints etc)
And OBVIOUSLY those who planned and organized this, will be at a level higher degree of a crime - insurrection, terrorism & attempted coup d'etat

Also arguably attempted murder of Pence, attempted torture of Pelosi, attempted gassing of Congress etc.
LASTLY - many who are the bad guys, were NOT confessing. They will face harsher charges and far more prison time - but they have to be tried. The trials will not start until around February 2022.

Those who confess tend to also want to cooperate (like I believe this person)
But as the violent thugs try their bravado, then face serious time - they start to flip. Note many are ALREADY singing to the Feds (like at least 2 Proud Boys have not only confessed but are singing about Roger Stone's involvement). These will lead to arrests of the leadership
It seems pretty clear that at least the following were planning this:
Giuliani
Roger Stone
Don Jr
Erik Prince
Gen Flynn
Mo Brooks
Bannon
My Pillow Guy

and obviously with blessing of, if not participation by Trump himself

They will do time measured in decades

Trump gets life

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More from @tomiahonen

22 Jul
Kompromat Thread 1/

Trump has clearly been beholden to Czar Vladimir the Smug. We saw the shocking behavior in Helsinki of Putin and his sex slave

Why is Trump behaving like this?

And why are so many OTHER Republicans loving Putin

It is called 'Kompromat', a Russian word.. Image
Kompromat Thread 2/

Kompromat is a Russian word, which combines 'compromising' and 'material'. It is BLACKMAILING material

The Kompromat method was SOP Standard Operating Procedure by KGB during Cold War. Who do we know was a KGB Colonel during Cold War? Vladimir Putin. Yes. Image
Kompromat Thread 3/

Kompromat STANDARD procedure is to secure TWO INDEPENDENT hooks into a target. And proceed from the easier one to the other one

MOST TYPICAL is first a sex contact (via KGB-paid prostitute, female or male) and then BRIBES to follow

Two hooks, one financial Image
Read 18 tweets
21 Jul
How does the Speaker Pelosi - Qevin McCarthy war of Committees play out?

The Qevin childish play is a stunt. It is intended to placate crybaby Trump. Take the toys away. It IS WORSE than letting the 3 Republicans sit on the Committee that Pelosi approved. Qevin knows this Image
America NEEDS the Jan 6th Committee
America is in PAIN because of a terrorist attack on the Capitol

The attempted assassination of the Vice President
The attempted kidnap & torture of the Speaker of the House
The attempted GASSING of Congress

The injuries to 140 police officers Image
There WILL be a Jan 6th Committee

Pelosi created a FAIR 50/50 Committee. It got votes of 35 House Republicans and all DEMs

#MoscowMitch McTurtle lobbied against that Committee. SIX Republican Senators voted yes

Now that Mitch destroyed the 50/50 Committee we get Pelosi's Cttee Image
Read 11 tweets
20 Jul
Tom Barrack arrested today
Is Trump friend, Billionaire. Was Inaugration chairman 2016-2017. But his arrest is about foreign policy crimes related to UAE United Arab Emirates (= Abu Dhabi & Dubai). He has ALSO crooked dealings in support of Saudi Arabia and the extortion of Qatar
The federal crimes Tom Barrack is involved with include AT LEAST 4 areas:

UAE crooked foreign policy
Inaugration financial crimes
Saudi Arabia crooked nuclear tech sale
Qatar extortion

Tom Barrack will be prosecuted for ALL of these. UAE is the FIRST of the trials against him
Tom Barrack has NO WAY OUT. He is a rich old white dude. He will not enjoy prison. Those 4 crimes get him decades of prison. He HAS to flip, to reduce his prison time

He will then have to confess to all his crimes - and TESTIFY AGAINST ALL OTHERS INVOLVED
Read 4 tweets
19 Jul
Trump Cult45 & GOP Thread 1/

I am posting a series of Threads about Trump cult, Cult45 #Cult45 the Maganutters who wear his hats. This is Part 8 of that analysis. We now look at how is the Republican Party, the GOP, dealing with Trump's Magamad mob

It is not a happy fairy tale
Trump Cult45 & GOP Thread 2/

This is Part 8 of a series of Threads that do deep analysis of Cult 45, the Maga cult of Trump. The 7 parts build upon each other and lead to this 8th part. You need to read them first. You find all at this link

Trump Cult45 & GOP Thread 3/

This discussion is for grown-up adults, sane rational people. I will not tolerate disruption

If you post any question that illustrates to me, you skipped the previous 7 parts, where it had been answered, I will not answer you

I will just block you
Read 17 tweets
17 Jul
Goya Beans & Tan Suits Thread 1/

Last year about this time Trump made a notorious pitch of Goya products from the Oval Office. It included this classic image, which deservedly received a massive amount of mocking on Twitter.

The event bothered me, in being bizarrely out of tune
Goya Beans & Tan Suits Thread 2/

Yes, Trump was making outrageous pitches for all kinds of products all the time. But even in that context, this Goya Beans day was bizarre. That bothered me, it did not fit the 'pattern' of Trump normal behavior, self-serving as that also was.
Goya Beans & Tan Suits Thread 3/

Today as I was reminded of the Goya day. I suddenly made the TIMING leap. Only a few days after Goya, was the TAN SUIT day. We did not know at the time but figured out soon enough afterwards, the full relevance of Tan Suit day in the White House
Read 19 tweets
16 Jul
First look at 2024 and 2028 Thread 1/

With news of a silly CPAC straw poll (Ron DeSantis will not be GOP nominee in 2024) that had Trump overwhelmingly winning the poll, let's take a first look at 2024 election and GOP nomination race. It is highly likely Joe will face Trump
First look at 2024 & 2028 Thread 2/

The CPAC poll is meaningless. I discussed it in this thread, showing past CPAC polls and the math, that the chances of the poll picking the GOP nominee is 13%. It is meaningless. It is SUMMER news FILLER garbage

First look at 2024 & 2028 Thread 3/

In any normal election, the losing candidate - on BOTH sides - steps aside:
Hillary
Romney
McCain
Kerry
Gore
Dole
Daddy Bush
Mondale
Carter
Ford
McGovern
Humphrey

It is how US politics works. You don't piss in your own party's pool to lose 2x
Read 36 tweets

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