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10 Aug, 13 tweets, 5 min read
#Thread How to make a full blown protest out of absolutely nothing (a pretty harmless video) - Iranian Style

Prologue
Junqan, a town with the population of 14K, in Chaharmahal and Bakhtiari province. Most Iranians had not heard its name before today.
Preface

This man, admittedly brave and named Habib Fadaee, went on a soapbox 20 days ago to state his support for the people of Khuzestan and their protests.

The video was circulated in the social media although we did not know much more. Obviously people forgot about it.
ACT I - the security forces decide to arrest him this morning, as now protests are over and they need to show him who is the boss.

This resulted in a protests by the locals of Junqan - here is his son recording this video.
ACT II - people demand his release and start gathering in the main sqaure closing the roads
ACT III - authorities do not back down (god forbid), and the locals start burning tyres and carry on the protest.

They gather around the town's police station and then the police feel threatended and they call for backup and start shooting in the air.
Interlude - shooting? Well they are afraid of this granny who is saying that "people are hungry, their children are hungry"
ACT IV - The backup forces are the antiriot unit and now the protesters prevent them to enter the town.

A proper standoff
ACT V - the antiriot forces could not enter the town but they enter a neighbouring village to take positions possibly waiting for command from above.
ACT VI - This is different now and the people are not gonna back down and they have taken control of the town.
ACT VII - This is nightfall in Junqan, it looks like a war town. People have set up barricades and they are ready to defend their honour.
Epilogue - Who knows what is gonna happen tomorrow... this has now escalated into a full blown protest. It is likely that antiriot forces will use force... more victims, more arrests?

Where are you going, Islamic Republic of Iran?

_____________
Good night and thanks for reading
#BREAKING HAPPY ENDING!
Habib Fadaee is released! After a day of arrest, security forces backed down - a very rare case.

This is a possibly a sign that in the current climate, it is not possible to put any more pressure on people.

A recipe for other demands? We will see /end
PS:
Today, he is a hero. A living hero, something Iranians haven't had for some time.

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More from @aliostad

11 Aug
🚨⚠️🚨 #VeryLongThread 🚨⚠️🚨

My apologies but there isn't enough emoji in the world to be able to capture the gravity of human catastrophe in Iran due to #COVID19.

I wrote a thread 10 days ago but it is just so much worse.

ImageImage
TL;DR
If you cannot read the whole thread, here are the takeaways:

- The health system already imploded under load
- Patients admitted on the floor of hospitals
- Shortage of coffins and morgue vehicles let alone beds
- Iran theocracy does not back down from Moharram ceremonies
Chairman of the society of Emergency Medicine in Iran:

"The health system already imploded - even private hospitals - and the officials know it. Patients with 50% O2 level in ward beds, waiting for ICU patients to die. There is nothing we can do."

Read 34 tweets
2 Aug
🚨🚨🚨#LongishThread 🚨🚨🚨
I know I am sounding like a broken record now, but Iran's health system is experiencing a crisis not seen before, due to COVID's 5th wave.

Universal shortage of beds, ventilator, ICU and even saline drips across the country. Casualties mounting.
This is a hospital in the southern province of Bushehr. Patients on the floor receiving oxygen.

If the 3rd wave were a 7 Richter earthquake, this is surely above than 8.

The same seen here in northwestern city of Tabriz, Iran's 4th largest city.

Health minister has asked for permission to SHUT DOWN THE COUNTRY for 2 weeks.

Read 19 tweets
31 Jul
So that was it? The protests stopped?

While days 14 and 15 we had almost no protests, days 16 and 17 suddenly we saw some major protests again.

As I said, something has changed. With a little trigger or opportunity, people show their resentment.

Yesterday (day 16) was the last day of the Iranian football league with Perspolis winning the championship. The celebrations quickly turned to the scenes of protests in Tehran, Karaj, Qazvin, etc.

This is the scene with security forces clashing riding on motorbikes.
The tip of the slogans are directed towards the Supreme Leader in an unprecedented way.

Here they use a slur word, calling him a 'pimp'.
Read 9 tweets
4 Apr
Week 55-57 - #COVID19 in Iran

The 4th wave is now finally confirmed.

Picking up from 3 weeks ago [due to lack of development waiting for a more coherent picture to develop]

Read 15 tweets
30 Dec 20
Look guys - THE SITUATION IN THE MIDDLE EAST IS PRETTY SERIOUS.

(I know you might say when it wasn't but we are talking risk of a big conflict)

The thread on the reports from the last 24 hours: /0
On the Iranian side, I have seen anecdotal comments from tweeps close to IRGC that "the big fight" is very close and mothers should prepare for the martyrdom of their sons.

[Prefer not to include the tweets]
Israeli Air Force commander describing the situation in the middle east as "explosive".

Read 17 tweets
30 Dec 20
So far what we have seen is a ton of preparation and warning against any sort of conflict.

I hope it stays that way.
And this one from the commander of the Iranian Air Force: "Any [foolish] adventurous action in the region by the adversaries will be responded with a strong response".

Read 4 tweets

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