Thread by @BigManBakar

Brentford FC - A thread

Greetings everyone. Is Ivan Toney worth selecting in your GW1 FPL squad? I share my thoughts on him and the Brentford team down below:

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There’s a real feel-good factor around Brentford at the moment. They come into the season having had the best pre-season prep of all the promoted teams Brentford were the highest goal scorers in the Championship last season with a healthy xG of 76.2, averaging 1.66 xG per game...

... 50% of their goals were scored at home and 50% were scored away from home which highlights no change in attacking philosophy either home or away. Even in four of the games they had against the PL sides in the cups last season, they averaged two goals per game which...

... suggests that they adapt to the same front foot attacking approach regardless of opposition. They played in a 4-3-3 formation for the majority of last season and in all barring two of their pre-season friendlies this season. Notably, they played 3-5-2 in their most recent...

... friendly which suggests a 3-5-2 formation is a real possibility in their GW1 opener against Arsenal. Priced at £6.5m, their talisman Ivan Toney comes into the season as the most highly owned forward in the game. His price and ownership is such that I believe that despite...

... him not being proven at Premier League level, he is a low risk asset to own.Toney scored 33 and assisted 10 of Brentford’s goals with a very high goal involvement rate of 51%. 16 of these goals came from inside the six yard box, which further highlights his predatory...

... instincts. With a xG of 28.69 and xG per game of 0.59, Toney managed to outperform his xG by almost four to five goals which suggests that he is a lethal finisher. He was also top among all Brentford players for big chances created last season which adds another dimension...

... to his game. The fact that is he clinical and creates big chances for his team mates is likely to make him secure bonus points whenever he gets an attacking return. In a recent interview, he said that he is aiming for more than 17 goals this season which further suggests...

... that he is highly motivated. Him being on penalties definitely helps his case. Another point worth regarding Brentford is that their system is heavily reliant on strikers. The fact that Brentford have had three 20+ goal strikers for successive seasons now is great for...

... Toney because it means that the significant majority of chances are likely to fall to him. In my opinion, Bryan Mbuemo I think is the best £5.5m midfield asset in FPL at the moment. In a 3-5-2 system, he is likely to play alongside Toney up front. He shares a few...

... set pieces with Jensen and an amazing track record of 25 goals and 17 assists in the past two seasons. Having scored in the recent friendly against Man United, he will be full of confidence. His expected numbers last season in the Championship were particularly impressive...

... as well, as he registered a very healthy xG of 9.83 and xA of 7.28. Brentford are known to be an attack first side but their defensive data is surprisingly very impressive. They had comfortably the best xG conceded data in the Championship last season, registering...

... an xG conceded of 41.4 to compared to Watford's 47.3 and Norwich's 52.5. Brentford kept a clean sheet in 44% of their home games and 29% of their away games. 48% of their goals were conceded at home and 52% were conceded away which basically suggests that they are as prone...

... to conceding at home as they are away. Rico Henry is likely to be their best pick from defence, especially in the 3-5-2 formation, as Brentford’s full backs like to push up. Raya, their goalkeeper, could benefit from bonus due to pass completion given Frank's emphasis on...

... playing from the back. I would suggest waiting and watching the Brentford defence for the first few weeks to see where things stand before investing.

A big thank you to my friend @fplwaleed who has been helping me with my research this season. Make sure to follow him to show your support!

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