#US#COVID19 So in all the helter skelter of the last few hours, I forgot to put this out there.
North Dakota reports hospitalizations "for" covid, and they also report total hospitalizations to HHS, so i was able to go back through their database to determine the % for.
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Here's how it rolls up. Green is what they report to HHS as "Hospitalizations", while red are the ones that are actually in the hospital FOR covid. The delta between these two would be incidental covid (With), there for other things (pregnancy, surgery, broken bones, etc)
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We can then look at the splits and see how many are hospitalized for covid or with covid. In times of higher community prevalence, obviously, we could expect a higher percent of hospitalizations to be "for" instead of "with".
First up, nowhere does it make any sense to push population level numbers. Reporting these as 'effective' is just a disgusting mis-appropriation of the math. Today, 324 people tested positive. That means 8,999,676 didnt, or 99.9964%. Idiotic to present it that way? Of course.
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Yet, somehow the Gov and his DOH thinks it ok to just pull that out of their ass and claim it means that the vaccine is 99.99999999% effective. Here's the truth. its not.
What they failed to realize is they gave us some important data today that made this easy to fact check
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#NJ#COVID19 Hospital Admission data, updated today through late last week. This will be stratified by age. Note that all these graphs will be 7 day sums. Divide by 7 to get the daily average admissions.
First, the total
Averaging about 24 confirmed hospitalizations per day
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First, pediatric and 18-19 yr olds. There hasnt been an 18-19 yr old admitted with confirmed covid in quote some time, and none through our entire fall wave, yet we are mandating vaccines for college kids. Insane.
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Second, 20-29 yr olds. Hasnt been a 20-29 yr old admitted with confirmed covid in almost a month. Again, college kids getting mandated to take a vaccine. Insane.
#NJ#COVID19 Screaming into the void. 1 region (SW) goes from green to yellow. At record low cases, record low hospitalizations. I can't stress how bogus this truly is. You're being warned, if this isnt fixed or brought to the surface by the media, it will screw us in the fall
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Case rate metrics have been set by an organization who's mission is a #ZeroCovid outcome. Not the CDC, not the State DOH, but CovidactNow. Why? With false positives and these testing levels, cases below 1/100k are NOT possible.
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Percent Positivity is NOT de-duplicated, so every double test positive gets counted. This overinflates true % positivity. Never been questioned, never been explained.
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This is the SIREN study in the UK. Of 32k healthcare workers, 10k were covid positive during the pandemic, defined as either PCR + or having AB. Of those 10k only 241 during the entire pandemic have been reinfected.
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Key note here:
As Delta has increased from 0 to 90% of all cases, reinfections remain flatlined.
Since Delta has gone from 0 to 90% of all cases, refinection rates are hovering at 0.2 reinfections per 1000 cases.
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Meanwhile, since the start of Delta in February, 4,087 of the 60,624 infections have been complete breakthrough infections, meaning > 14 days after the second dose.
This equates to a rate of 67.4 breakthrough infections per 100k
#US#COVID19 Talking points issued. 12-15 Vaccination demand is waning, CNN/MSNBC/White House and all the muppets will be screaming from now through Sunday at how kids are being hospitalized. Push back on the non-sense, because its just not true!
Talking Point #1: Hospitalizations as a percent are up!
Debunking: They are up as a % because all other ages are way down, but they child hospitalizations are still DOWN
Talking Point #2: These kids are in the hospital for covid!
Debunking: No, many of them (CA study found up to 40%) are in the hospital for something else and just happened to test positive.