Charles Lister Profile picture
Aug 15, 2021 13 tweets 16 min read Read on X
NEW - #Taliban prepping for a conference inside #Afghanistan's Presidential Palace.

Reports said they planned to re-proclaim the Islamic Emirate of #Afghanistan.
During the AJA-televised conference, one #Taliban commander (is that Mullah Zakir?) says he spent 8yrs in #Guantanamo.

A clear salt-in-wound moment for the U.S.
One #Taliban commander speaking from #Afghanistan's Presidential Palace says #Taliban forces have been "coordinating with" U.S. officials today, amid their entry into #Kabul.
4 months ago, 3,000 U.S. troops were in #Afghanistan -- the ANDF was tenaciously fighting & holding almost all frontlines.

Today, 6,000 U.S. troops have returned -- 100% of #Afghanistan has fallen to the #Taliban & #NATO forces are desperately evacuating their citizens for good.
Taking into consideration all the prisons captured & emptied over the past 2 weeks, it'd seem reasonable to say that 1,000s of #Taliban fighters & 100s of #AlQaeda & #ISIS operatives have found freedom in #Afghanistan.

AQ (AQ & AQIS ) in particular given new life lately.
Now that the U.S. has disengaged from #Afghanistan & 99% of intelligence networks have been dissolved, U.S. officials are suggesting #AlQaeda could regenerate "much faster than expected."

... No sh*t Sherlock.

apnews.com/article/joe-bi…
1,000s of Afghans are stuck at #Kabul Airport desperate to get on a flight out of #Afghanistan -- but U.S. forces stopped civilian flights today for security reasons.

Multiple reports of injuries amid desperate runs on gates, while U.S. troops have been firing into the air.
This plane took off from #Kabul this morning reportedly carrying more than x5 the number of people it’s designed to — some of those left behind tied themselves to the rear & fell off after takeoff.

I have no words. #Afghanistan

As #Kabul awoke to its first full day of #Taliban rule since 2001, @clarissaward of @CNN is reporting from the streets — extraordinary reporting from the very best in the business:

@clarissaward @CNN “It’s very easy to say #Trump set us up for this & we’re just simply following through, but any responsible leader who was listening to all of the advice he was getting would have taken a more measured approach.”

- My comments to @nwadhams
of @business:

bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
@clarissaward @CNN @nwadhams @business When the US announced withdrawal, the #UK pushed #NATO states to form a new coalition to stay in #Afghanistan -- nobody agreed.

"This wasn't the right time or decision to make, of course, #AlQaeda will come back," #UK Defense Secretary @BWallaceMP said.

theguardian.com/world/2021/aug…
@clarissaward @CNN @nwadhams @business @BWallaceMP The amount of weaponry captured by the #Taliban in recent weeks is mind-boggling.

Yesterday, they got EMB 314 Super Tucanos, worth ~$10 million each.

This video shows a single (enormous) haul of U.S.-made M16s, M4s & crates of Berettas.

@clarissaward @CNN @nwadhams @business @BWallaceMP What does the collapse of #Afghanistan into #Taliban rule mean for terrorism & counterterrorism going forward?

Here’s some rapid-fire thoughts on my mind, for @MiddleEastInst & @MEI_CTE:

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More from @Charles_Lister

Apr 1
#Israel's strike in #Damascus today is a huge development & a major escalation.

3 #IRGC-QF Generals:

- Brig. Gen. Mohammed Zahedi (Commander, #Syria & #Lebanon)
- Gen. Hossein Aminullah (Chief of General Staff, #Syria & #Lebanon)
- Maj. Gen. Haj Rahimi (Commander, Palestine)

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Since the Feb 7 U.S. strike in #Baghdad, we've had zero confirmed #Iran proxy attacks on U.S. bases in #Iraq & #Syria.

It's quite likely that freeze could now end. The #IRGC has often used U.S. "soft targets" in #Iraq & #Syria as one form of retaliation for #Israel's actions.
For months, Iranian ballistic missiles, cruise missiles & suicide drones have targeted Israeli & U.S. targets in #Iraq, #Syria, the Gulf & #Israel itself -- but all launched from outside #Iran's territory.

Could that now change?

Or will #Iran hit targets in the #KRG again?
Read 5 tweets
Mar 28
There's not nearly enough appreciation of how #ISIS's branches have increased & enhanced their interconnectivity over the past ~18 months.

From #Africa, through the #MiddleEast & into South & SE Asia, lines of logistics, recruitment, financing & plotting overlap more than ever.
Multiple #ISIS wilayat in #Africa have recruitment & logistics lines running into #Europe & #ISIS finance bodies in #Africa have been supporting operatives as far as #Afghanistan.

Recent #ISIS plots in #Europe have been tied back to #Africa, the #MiddleEast & #Afghanistan.
In 2023, multiple #ISIS-related attack plots were foiled in northern #Europe -- most unreported, almost all linked to #ISKP.

BUT, those #ISKP plots were 1st detected *outside* #Afghanistan, underlining the group's transnational reach -- as I wrote here:

foreignpolicy.com/2023/09/27/isi…
Read 5 tweets
Feb 3
Since 2012, #Iran has been building & consolidating a formidable network of proxies across #Syria & #Iraq -- dozens of groups & 150,000+ members, all financed, trained & armed by the #IRGC.

In #Syria, they engaged in ethnic cleansing & war crimes -- completely unchallenged.
During the formative years of 2012-16, #Obama's admin consciously ignored the #IRGC's militia surge in #Syria -- dismissing it as unimportant to U.S. interests.

In 2015, orders were even granted for U.S. forces to deconflict & coordinate with #Iran's proxies in #Iraq, vs. #ISIS.
For a time ('15-17), U.S. forces fighting #ISIS in #Iraq were effectively told to coordinate with the very same groups who'd killed 100s of U.S. troops from '03-'10 & who are again back to targeting us today.

What a staggering indictment of U.S. inconsistency & ill-judgment.
Read 8 tweets
Dec 5, 2023
It’s staggering how much traction this thread got, when it fails to acknowledge one basic fact:

- It takes time to get bodies out of rubble amid intense bombing & to ID bodies (by age, gender) when they’re shredded or in pieces.

Data gets retrospectively updated. That’s normal.
The same has been true in #Syria, #Yemen & many other acute conflict zones.

The @StateDept has told Congress the #Gaza HM data is an undercount. Why? Because in every previous conflict its data has been +/- 1-3% off post-conflict analysis by #Israel, the U.S., the EU & the UN.
@StateDept Are #Hamas combatant casualties being accurately acknowledged? Clearly not — but that doesn’t affect civilian casualty rates.

With ~20,000 strikes in 6 weeks, much in dense urban environments, it’s hardly surprising that ~15,000 civilians would be dead.

Tragic, but logical.
Read 4 tweets
Oct 31, 2023
#Putin [rightly] gets slammed for firing cruise missiles into residential buildings in #Ukraine, but when #Israel vaporizes an entire residential block, it's ok & "like the tunnels of Chu Chi."

I'm sorry, but if our principles can't be universal, they count for nothing. Image
#Hamas' evil massacre in #Israel revealed its true colors -- and the group deserves & requires rooting out.

But a scorched earth campaign in which civilians are paying the overwhelming price is a recipe for disaster. We're watching Hamas 2.0's seeds being sown, bomb by bomb.
We can't viscerally oppose #Assad's sieges in #Syria but accept them in #Gaza & we can't condemn the targeting of residential tower blocks in #Ukraine but turn a blind eye when they're turned to rubble in #Gaza.

Countering extremism requires consistency in values, not hypocrisy.
Read 4 tweets
Aug 31, 2023
Heavy fighting continues today, as the death toll reaches 75+.

Overnight, senior Akeidat tribal voices began calling for an anti-#SDF insurgency, which could be *very* significant.

Some of the heaviest fighting is within 10mins of the US “Green Village” base at the Omar Fields.
As fighting escalates further in Deir ez Zour, reports suggest the #SDF has lost 18+ villages & towns to tribal forces.

Since the Akeidat calls earlier today, there are also reports of amassed Arab #SDF defections to the tribes, handing over checkpoints.

Serious, serious news.
Meanwhile, the #SDF continues to dispatch fighters from #Raqqa & #Hasakeh, along with heavy equipment (including U.S.-made Humvees & Bearcats) to confront the tribal uprising in Deir ez Zour.

The tribes control roadways down south though - multiple IED/RPG ambushes yesterday.
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Read 8 tweets

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