1/ Good news. Compared to February, when #Bitcoin crossed $50k for the first time, the on-chain dynamic has changed:
🔵February, less and less people were accumulating.
🟠Now, more and more people are accumulating.
2/ If we go past the smooth picture given by the participation score and look at the raw data we see that:
🟠Smaller addresses are stacking sats at a constant pace.
🟢The 10 to 1k #BTC bucket has turned neutral.
🟡Whales are still up on a 30 days basis.
3/ So far this is different from February when the move above $50k was mostly carried by the small fish.
But to build a sustainable trend that would push #Bitcoin into the 6 figures territory it would be great to avoid any divergence between small fish and whales.
We are finishing this week with:
🟧 BTC bouncing back on the $30,000 level.
🟧 But still stuck in the 2nd longest drawdown in a post-halving market.
... (1/5)
Indeed this #Bitcoin drawdown:
🟧 Now lasted 103 days.
🟧 Bottomed at -55% from the ATH.
🟧 Has been caught in a relatively low volatility environment since then.
... (2/5)
So while it is nice to see #BTC on the uptrend for the last few days it could still take a while for a new parabolic move to develop.
Remember than the massive drawdown of 2013 lasted 200 days... (3/5)
One more week stuck in this drawdown:
🟧 95 days since the last ATH.
🟧 Bottom -55% below the ATH.
🟧 Volatility continues to decline.
... (1/5) 👇
This is one of the longest drawdown #Bitcoin has had to deal with during a post-halving bull market.
But 95 days is still only half the duration of the big drawdown of 2013... (2/5)
In terms of price trajectory this correction also looks very similar to 2013. If we continue like that, #BTC will remain stuck around $30k for a while... (3/5)