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Marsilio's Market Musings

11 Sep, 15 tweets, 6 min read

#Etherium #BTC #Bitcoin #Cryptos

Unique view - planetary motion & price

ETH on top, BTC below, through lens of planets in tropical zodiac signs

Weekly visual update Saturdays
Detailed astro & markets Sundays

I combine technicals & timing to understand markets

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All charts -
Data through 9/10 close
Colors of zodiac signs are consistent; if you aren't familiar, see legend to right

Saturn

Saturn in Aquarius supporting cryptos

Jupiter

Jupiter in Aquarius also supporting cryptos

Jupiter Terms
(advanced)

So what I got wrong was impact of Jupiter term

From Saturn > Mars 9/6

Historical DJI data on this is +, but in this context, Aquarius has been the strongest sign for cryptos

Term Saturn, Saturn in Aqu
Term Mars, Mars in Virgo

Chart speaks for itself

Mars

Back to usual tropical signs here

Mars in Libra data for stocks is not that bad, actually it is fine. Detriment OK, but masculine sign, this time mutual generosity (not actually reception, to be correct) with ruler Venus.

North Node / NN / Rahu

NN in Gemini also supporting cryptos big time

NN Terms

Another term change I misjudged

NN term Jupiter > Mercury

Again historical stock data on this +, but in this context, Jupiter in Aquarius & Mercury in Libra

So 2 term changes where rulers were Aquarius ended, Jupiter & NN

Why I think smaller cycles didn't work

Sun

Sun in Virgo decently higher for ETH before drop, but not for BTC

Most $ in BTC (and ETH) made with Sun in Leo, this time

Venus

Venus in Scorpio now, but just how I do the data, this shows through last day of Libra

(because 9/10 uses 9:30 am ET astro position, but price as of close)

Mercury

Take note of Mercury's extended stay in Gemini & Aquarius earlier this year
Aquarius strong up, Gemini choppy down

Because Mercury will be in Libra for a while

Of all signs with potential for a MercuryRx sideways chop, Libra is #1

Mercury Motion

Orange shows Rx, these vary

Turns at start, midpoint and end are common, but still tough to judge even for seasoned pros

Moon Data

BTC 15m avg % return
2020-current

Moon Quarter, Q4 is big outperform
(this is historical edge for stocks too)
less emotional = good for buying

Moon Sign
2020-current

Aries & Virgo ugh - Virgo was weak before last week's plunge & I pointed that out

Sco & Sag also weak

Then the strongest stretch of Cap Aqu & Pisces, something to factor in

Moon Signs
Mostly 1 bar 1 month
The Gemini outlier is not a full pass through Moon sign (I haven't figured out better way yet)

The averages are prettier, but underlying is more messy and impact of ruler plays in

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More from @MarsiliosMM

Marsilio's Market Musings

@MarsiliosMM

15 Sep

#MarsiliosTA

Bollinger bands

Interesting concept - 20MA, then 2 standard deviations away from it create the bands - you can also edit the MA

It does work - like all market indicators, nuance required for best results

If really interested read the book by the creator

Here's BTC with just the daily BBs

So how does this work?

Sometimes taking reversal trade on band is awesome, sometimes slaughtered

Context is key
Slope matters a lot
Divergence is what the pros look for

To explain...

Power move, up or down, is high & close outside the band with the band sloping strongly in direction of the trend - this usually (not always) means continuation

You have to review charts to get this concept but now I will mark arrows with this power move outside band

Read 9 tweets

Marsilio's Market Musings

@MarsiliosMM

12 Sep

Also should I continue TA threads?

See hashtag #MarsiliosTA for intro to

pivots
simple MAs
tweaked MACD

combined these give us great idea of "trend" and is my core positioning guidance

if continuing, then:

Bollinger bands & how I use them - divergence & spotting reversals, 1st stage in change of trend

Along with the momentum indicators RSI (better) and stoch (more like early warning, I don't use this much)

Already sketched entry idea, but really I have 3 setups, & 2 variations

Then we have risk management, when to hold, when to cut, stops

Exits - actually back to MACD histogram for this, along with all else

Read 4 tweets

Marsilio's Market Musings

@MarsiliosMM

12 Sep

Total Sum

Stocks have gone further & smoother than I ever imagined at start of 2021, unprecedented rally with SPX above smoothly rising D50MA since election except, count them, 2 days!

Obv aided by US tech, GOOGL +60%, MSFT +32%, banks also up decently, energy, pretty broad

And whether market tops on the "worst astro" (maybe just in?) or has even more massive blow-off next year with Jup in Pisces remains to be seen

Near term however, everything lining up for Sept smash

All major index TA
VIX, with VXX SVXY nearly there
Astro many ways weak ahead!

Preferred scenario is risk assets down to end Sept & then another low 10/8-10/10

For stocks probably not easy as aggressive dip buyers have made a lot of $, and indexes come back over and over

This is a sharp counter-trend call but that's how I see it

Read 6 tweets

Marsilio's Market Musings

@MarsiliosMM

12 Sep

Index TA

Now some of these lines will make more sense to those who read TA threads

DJI exceeded QR1 AugR1 combo for 2 trading days, since then levels as resistance; slight poke above QR1 9/2 (small red arrow)
Broke SepP 9/7 (orange)
Broke D50MA 9/9
Back under YR1 9/10 (red)

This is significant technical deterioration in short amount of time

Medium term levels acting as resistance
Pivot status change
Break of D50 & yearly level

So, comeback or smash? With astro, thinking smash

SPX

HR1 QR2 resistance
Sept pivot break

Still far above D50MA though

Read 8 tweets

Marsilio's Market Musings

@MarsiliosMM

12 Sep

Astro (long thread)

Pluto Rx in Capricorn-Saturn from 6/29
Saturn ruling sign & term, should be quite nasty, these 4' among worst in zodiac. Though some bond rally & covid again, muted impact for markets.

FOMC has twisted everything:

Bad news = QE pumping = good for markets

Could worst astro produce big top? Maybe, but depends on taper schedule; more likely is slow taper & gradual hike so perhaps big blow-off top next year 2022

Neptune in Pisces-Mars from 1/23, Rx from 6/25
Expected volatility & larger moves both ways; this term in play a while

Uranus in Taurus-Jupiter from 7/7, Rx from 8/19
Think this is helping tech & cryptos with Jupiter in Aqu

*

Saturn Rx in Aqu-Ven 6/18
Saturn worse out of term Jupiter, & helping safe havens lift when triggered; but not hitting that hard in big picture

Might take direct?

Read 15 tweets

Marsilio's Market Musings

@MarsiliosMM

12 Sep

Full market analysis ahead:

Review
Astro
TA (just a bit)
Sum with next forecast

Check threadreader post after each section

Read what sections interest you

This process has resulted in many accurate takes on major asset classes - focus on indexes, cryptos & safe haven trades

Many - but not all - accurate statements from last week:

From spread,
Indexes: "Prefer 9/6-8 trading top, then lower into following weeks"
Good for indexes so far, main futures made highs 9/2-7 and tests 9/6, leader NQ 9/7 high, then all lower
This gets check!

Cryptos: "Same, but less damage expected, could stretch to 9/10 top"
Ugh, 9/6 key high, but more damage

Hottest coins SOL ALGO LUNA highs closer to 9/10, and ATOM pushing higher today

I don't have different astro on every coin, only general conditions, TA for the rest

Read 11 tweets

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