Tomorrow @rafaelmgrossi, head of IAEA will visit Iran, in what looked like an ultimatum visit.
However, below suggest a much more benign nature, requesting for standard monitoring in exchange for withholding a damning resolution in the Board of Governors.
@rafaelmgrossi This seems to be the result of the European influence in US's dealing with Iran - from whose tone and rhetoric we could sense a feeling of impatience and "having enough".
But whatever is offered here, Iran must just simply accept. We are nearing the point of a seismic shift...
@rafaelmgrossi ... in dealing with Iran and lack of cooperation from Iran can very quickly change the situation.
Will Iran realise this or carry on the game of buying time? I have a feeling they will reluctantly say they would cooperate only to later act otherwise.
...
@rafaelmgrossi But one thing is sure: this game will finish in the next couple of months. And I can already see a swift escalation of tensions once the West gives up on negotiation.
A bruised Biden will make sure this will not slip through his fingers.
PS:
White smoke coming out!
But as I pointed out last night, this will be simply a scheme for buying time. Expect @rafaelmgrossi soon to complaint about the lack of progress on what was agreed here.
TL;DR
If you cannot read the whole thread, here are the takeaways:
- The health system already imploded under load
- Patients admitted on the floor of hospitals
- Shortage of coffins and morgue vehicles let alone beds
- Iran theocracy does not back down from Moharram ceremonies
Chairman of the society of Emergency Medicine in Iran:
"The health system already imploded - even private hospitals - and the officials know it. Patients with 50% O2 level in ward beds, waiting for ICU patients to die. There is nothing we can do."
🚨🚨🚨#LongishThread 🚨🚨🚨
I know I am sounding like a broken record now, but Iran's health system is experiencing a crisis not seen before, due to COVID's 5th wave.
Universal shortage of beds, ventilator, ICU and even saline drips across the country. Casualties mounting.
This is a hospital in the southern province of Bushehr. Patients on the floor receiving oxygen.
If the 3rd wave were a 7 Richter earthquake, this is surely above than 8.
Yesterday (day 16) was the last day of the Iranian football league with Perspolis winning the championship. The celebrations quickly turned to the scenes of protests in Tehran, Karaj, Qazvin, etc.
This is the scene with security forces clashing riding on motorbikes.
The tip of the slogans are directed towards the Supreme Leader in an unprecedented way.
Look guys - THE SITUATION IN THE MIDDLE EAST IS PRETTY SERIOUS.
(I know you might say when it wasn't but we are talking risk of a big conflict)
The thread on the reports from the last 24 hours: /0
On the Iranian side, I have seen anecdotal comments from tweeps close to IRGC that "the big fight" is very close and mothers should prepare for the martyrdom of their sons.
[Prefer not to include the tweets]
Israeli Air Force commander describing the situation in the middle east as "explosive".