Since the start of the pandemic, the police have pointedly not cracked down on anti-lockdown protests even when they violated the rules. The arrests of a handful of extremists in August were a departure from this, as I wrote at the time. 1/4 newsroom.co.nz/police-face-ca…
The police justification for this departure at the time was that the extent of the outbreak was unknown so gatherings represented a legitimate public health risk. There are questions to be asked about why today's larger event didn't pose that risk, in police's view. 2/4
But the notion that police should always crack down on rulebreakers in this way is misguided. What these extremists want is to generate propaganda material and spark violence. Mass arrests or even targeted arrests of organisers risks doing exactly that. 3/4
Moreover, these people are driven by a sense of victimisation. A crackdown would only exacerbate that, further entrenching them in their extreme positions. As much as it may satisfy us to see them rounded up and jailed, that could lead to more harm than the current approach. 4/4
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
We are now suppressing the virus, which means a goal of keeping hospitals from being overwhelmed by #Covid19 patients rather than reaching zero cases. But there are three major threats to the success of our new approach: newsroom.co.nz/prepare-for-th…#nzpol#Covid19nz
The first is outbreaks in unvaccinated or under-vaccinated populations, like children (not yet eligible) or Māori and Pasifika. It's no coincidence that the 11 district and city council areas with the greatest proportion of Māori residents are also among the 15 least vaccinated.
The second risk is that our hardworking public health teams may not be able to keep up with widespread community transmission. Public health officials will be the backbone of our suppression strategy, but they have not been resourced sufficiently throughout the pandemic.
This morning, I examine at the widening gap between Māori vaccination rates and those of the general population, why the Government's excuse for this gap doesn't hold up and how the situation might even be worse than it appears: newsroom.co.nz/the-stark-ineq…#nzpol#Covid19#Covid19nz
Just 19 percent of eligible Māori have been fully vaccinated, compared to over 30 percent of those in the "European or other" category. About 25 percent of Pasifika are fully vaccinated.
When asked about this disparity, the Govt has long pointed to different age structures in the population, saying that because younger people haven't had a chance to be vaccinated, the % of unvaxxed Māori will be higher. 60+ Māori and Pasifika were more vaccinated than others.
Friendly reminder that if we had listened to Damien Grant and opened up last August, thousands of people would have died from a virus for which we developed an effective vaccine just months later.
Other requirements/consequences of a Sweden-style strategy:
-Closing secondary schools for months
-A six month (!) ban on visits to nursing and aged care homes
-As many as 30% of cases experiencing long-term, possibly debilitating, symptoms
-Again, thousands of avoidable deaths
Now he's pushing opening up now when:
a. Lockdown is working (which he bizarrely claims isn't the case)
b. Seven in 10 eligible New Zealanders aren't fully protected, but could be in mere months
If the UK and US had New Zealand's death rate, they'd have had 347 and 1,707 deaths, respectively. Instead the UK has seen 131,269 people die of Covid-19 and the US has seen 621,635. Most of these were preventable.
#BREAKING: The community case is a 58-year-old man from Devonport in Auckland. The infectious period is considered to have started on Thursday, August 12. Still no obvious link to the border or MIQ. Genome sequencing not due till tomorrow. #nzpol#covid19#covid19nz
The Government is treating the situation as if the case has the Delta variant. This is highly likely - all of the cases in MIQ over the past three weeks and all but one since late June have been Delta. i.stuff.co.nz/national/healt…
The case lives with his wife, who tested negative when tested yesterday. The case travelled to Coromandel Township over the weekend. The man is not yet vaccinated, but was making efforts to do so. His wife is fully vaccinated. The man was a "frequent user" of the NZ COVID app.
Labour is promising to reduce 1.9 percent of 20 percent of our emissions by 2035 and calls it climate action. Anyone else feeling gaslit? #climatechange#nzpol
Transport is responsible for 20 percent of our emissions and is the fastest growing sector in that regard, but diesel buses (public AND private) are responsible for just 1.9 percent of that!
I made a chart to show how ineffectual this policy is.