Even best of the seasoned traders crack under pressure
1. They start doubting their strategies and even trading as a profession
2. They are tempted to tweak their system or approach
3. They think market has changed forever
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4. They do stupid mistakes while knowing fully well how stupid it is
They have many months of ever increasing Drawdown
So if it happens with you
You are not alone or incompetent
Forgive yourself, stop blaming your self and bounce back quickly by
Being patient with Drawdown
Its part of a trader's life, no one has ever escaped it
Its too naive to think trading account as fixed deposit where it will grow every month
Stop comparing with others as their
Strategy might be best for this kind of market, your time will come
Stop comparing as their risk appetite might be much higher.
A small story abt losses
In 2011, in my company, our bond desk, all five traders started making losses, every thing that could go wrong, went wrong, they took corrective steps and market became v shaped and then W shaped.
They hit dealer level stop loss, desk level stop loss
And then MD level stop loss was hit
Trading was halted on the desk for months, they used to come to office, drink coffee and go home
But the story is about, no one was fired, as in professional world, it's assumed that once in a while shit-hits-the-fan kind of loss will happen
And people and organizations are prepared for that.
So embrace losses and time Drawdown as u embrace unbelievable lucky streak.
Markets are like that, trading is like that.
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If you like a girl in your classroom/office/dandiya/ganpati
go talk to her
Literally, she is waiting for you to talk to her.
And take her phone number in the first meeting itself,
there might not be a second meeting without a phone number
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A beautiful girl, well dressed, is not waiting for the most handsome guy,
She is waiting for just average decent guy who can make a great conversation, and she knows that she has to talk to u to know if u are decent and/or can make a good conversation
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so its all about breaking the ice, starting a conversation and not abt you being handsome and staring at her from a distance and secretly praying that she will come and talk to u ;)
China’s credit market: as crisis unfolds #Evergrande
From 2008 onwards, to match projected GDP numbers of 10%,
china made 300 cities which are loosely called ghost cities of china
Video of Al Jazeera Is from 2009,
This growth of GDP was fuelled buy Chinese PSUs and state govts taking loans to complete these projects
These loans were short tenor loans with frequent refinancing. This was done to keep a tight control over their finances and operations without letting the credit risk spread
Later majority of these corporations floated bonds which also had implicit (important word) guarantee by the CCP (party)
Most such investments in a command economy are not productive, but who cares till GDP numbers look good and outside investors are in awe.
I see 15% correction from here from trading point of view
Long term view (2 yrs) is super bullish (just to avoid confusion)
Unless some short covering comes in last hour, I will go with simple Buy PE in both indices
As said above, going home with simple ATM weekly Put buy on both the indices
expecting a good gap down tomorrow
Squared off all index positions. Will wait for day low to be broken. Then will take a call. Today short covering might not come, it's going to be sell on rise for intraday