#Turkey
A Turkish convoy near the city of Mari', north of #Syria, was attacked by two anti-armour missiles from the Tal Rifat area, which led to the destruction of two cars, the death of two Turkish policemen, and injuring a number of others.1/7 #Russia#USA#YPG#SDF#Erdogan
The Turkish Interior Ministry confirmed that the Kurdish #YPG militia was behind this attack, as it controls the Tal Rifat area, while a number of Turkish officials confirmed that #Turkey will not remain silent this time.2/7 reuters.com/world/middle-e…
At the outset, some important points should be highlighted to understand what happened and can take place in light of this tension as the information that confirms #Ankara's intention to start a new military operation in #Syria.3/7 #USA#Russia#Turkey
Although all the maps put Tal Rifat under the control of the #YPG, the truth is that it does not have the upper hand there, as #Moscow is the most important player in this area and is the one who charts the movements of this militia there.4/7
Moscow, which evacuated about a hundred soldiers from inside the city of Tal Rifat last April, still has a base in Tal Ajar and another one south of the city of Tal Rifaat. Therefore, any operation of the #YPG in this area comes with a Russian green light.5/7
#Iran and its multinational militias also have an important influence in this region, as the towns of Nubl and Al-Zahraa, south of Tal Rifat, form an important corridor for the transfer of weapons and support for the #YPG militia there.6/7
As for the possibility of #Turkey moving militarily in the Tal Rifat area, the step is very complicated because #Moscow will be in the frontline this time, and will not be positive about Turkey's progress at the expense of its influence there for several reasons.7/7 #Russia#YPG
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#Thread #Israel #Gaza #Hamas #Hezbollah #USA #Iran #IRGC #Syria
About 48 hours after the Iranian attack on Israel, an analysis of the current scene in the race for who will impose his rules in the Middle East and the choices of politicians in Israel.
1 🧵
Before engaging in an analysis of the Iranian attack and the possible Israeli response, it is necessary to emphasize that both sides of the conflict do not want a comprehensive war. We are facing a race linked to the rules of influence and deterrence in the region.
2/
In #Tehran, the politicians there were facing very limited options to deal with the target of their consulate in #Damascus, among which the issue of not responding and absorbing the strike did not exist, because it would mean a resounding Iranian downfall.
3/
#Thread #Israel #Gaza #Hamas #Hezbollah #USA #Iran #IRGC #Syria
In the most dangerous escalation in the Middle East since the attacks of October 7, the Israeli Air Force targeted with six missiles the Iranian consulate building and the residence of the Iranian ambassador in the Syrian capital, #Damascus.
The building, which belongs to the Iranian embassy and consists of four floors, is considered a very important security center through which leaders of the #IRGC manage their operations and plans in #Lebanon and #Syria, and it is considered Iranian territory. 2/
According to the latest updates, the Iranian side has acknowledged the killing of 7 Iranians, the most important of whom is the head of the IRGC in Syria and Lebanon General Mohammad Reza Zahedi, his assistant Mohammad Haj Rahimi, and Hussein Amirullah in addition to a number of #IRGC officers.
3/
#Thread #Israel #Gaza #IDF #Hamas #USA #Iran
Hours before the truce in the Gaza Strip enters into force, read the latest military and geopolitical developments for both sides of the war and the regional scene.
1/🧵
Although one of the terms of this truce is that it will last for four days, during these four days both #Qatar and the #US will work to intensify negotiations between the two sides of the war to extend this truce in exchange for the release of more hostages.
2/
In practice, the #IDF will take advantage of this truce to reorganize its forces on the ground and intensify the collection of intelligence information in parallel with assessing what has been achieved in recent weeks.
3/
#Thread #Israel #Lebanon #Hezbollah #US #Hamas #Gaza
In light of the Israeli Defense Forces’ evacuation of all towns adjacent to the border with Lebanon, Israeli politicians began to wonder about the future of these borders after Gaza. What solutions are on the table?
1/🧵👇
Since Oct. 7 attack, the Israeli admin. adopted the decision to evacuate many towns close to the Lebanese border. Gradually, the evacuation process began to expand until it included all the villages to a depth of 5 km, with talk of expanding to 8 or 10 km.
2/
Oct. 7 attack has become an obsession among the residents of northern #Israel, who fear that they will face an attack similar to what #Hamas carried out, but through #Hezbollah. From this standpoint, a number of them may not want to return to their towns without solutions.
3/
Although I personally understand the Saudi concerns which led to this policy, I see it as a huge mistake and that Saudi Arabia will not be a winner from it. Surprisingly, the biggest winners from this energy crisis are #Russia and #Iran. 1/7 #KSA#USA#Biden#Ukraine#Israel#UAE
Because of the ongoing war on #Ukraine and the economic sanctions on #Russia , the rise in energy prices makes the imports of oil gas very important to cover #Moscow's depletion in other fields.
2/7
Moscow has already started exploiting the card of energy externally as well by blackmailing Europe and raising its exports to eastern countries at much lower prices. 3/7
Thread : 🧵
With #OPEC Plus clinging to #oil pumping operations at nearly the same level, which leads to a continuous rise in fuel prices globally, in my opinion, the key to this crisis is in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. 1/8 #KSA#USA#Russia#Ukraine#EU#NATO#Iran
As it is known, #Riyadh is the second largest oil exporter in the world with about 10 mbd and the second largest reserves. #SaudiArabia also leads the #OPEC, which includes a number of oil exporters, making it an important influence on global oil prices.
2/8
It is important to stress that the current rise started since the 4th quarter of last year, months before Russian invasion in #Ukraine, with assurances from #US, confirming its attempt to communicate with the Saudi side to raise the level of production, hitting a dead end.
3/8