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Juliette O'Brien

12 Oct, 13 tweets, 3 min read

🧭 VIC LGAs late-night monster wrap 👻

VIC as 3 different outbreaks:

1. North/West Metro: +867 = 13,050 (+82%)
2. Rest of Metro: +479 = 6,670 (+352%)
3. Regional VIC: +110 = 1,190 (+441%)

Data: Cases today = 14-day sum (% 14-day change)

LGA details👇

#COVID19Vic #covid19aus

1. North/West Metro (original growth areas) -

📍 North Melbourne: +511=7807 (50%) 😏

Banyule: +24=325 (102%)
Darebin: +53=686 (144%)
Hume: +203=3589 (17%) 👏
Moreland: +63=1135 (46%)
Nillumbik: +6=85 (325%)
Whittlesea: +162=1987 (116%)

📍 West Melbourne: +356=5243 (170%) 😒

Brimbank: +99=1345 (209%)
Hobsons Bay: +25=352 (72%)
Maribyrnong: +30=405 (426%)
Melton: +80=1277 (239%)
Moonee Valley: +35=522 (129%)
Wyndham: +87=1342 (115%)

2. Rest of Metro Melbourne

📍 Inner Melbourne: +73=1359 (230%) 😒

Melbourne: +31=550 (259%)
Port Phillip: +16=355 (238%)
Stonnington: +10=195 (324%)
Yarra: +16=259 (140%)

📍 Rest of Inner Metro: +120=1569 (381%)* 🤨

Bayside: +6=149 (397%)
Boroondara: +9=150 (295%)
Glen Eira: +17=252 (404%)
Kingston: +44=291 (494%) 👈
Manningham: +10=253 (216%)
Monash: +25=333 (495%)
Whitehorse: +9=141 (513%)

📍 Rest of Outer Metro: +286=3742 (408%)* 🤨

Cardinia: +19=321 (170%)
Casey: +125=1541 (458%) 👈
Frankston: +26=239 (546%)
Greater Dandenong: +53=804 (478%)
Knox: +12=286 (385%)
Maroondah: +17=211 (298%)
Mornington Peninsula: +22=165 (560%)
Yarra Ranges: +12=175 (503%)

3. Regional VIC

📍 Loddon Mallee: +36=235 (683%) 😳

Campaspe: +0=9
Gannawarra: +0=5 (400%)
Greater Bendigo: +10=32 (700%) 👈
Macedon Ranges: +1=58 (190%)
Mildura: +24=113 (11,200%) 👈
Mount Alexander: +0=16 (300%)
Swan Hill: +1=2

📍 Barwon South West: +15=207 (405%) 🧐
Colac-Otway: +1=30
Corangamite: +0=3 (0%)
Glenelg: +2=2
Greater Geelong: +12=136 (325%)
Moyne: +0=5
Surf Coast: +0=12 (140%)
Warrnambool: +0=19 (1800%)

📍 Grampians: +5=135 (193%) 😐

Ararat : +0=9
Ballarat: +4=59 (168%)
Golden Plains: +0=4 (300%)
Hepburn: +0=4
Horsham : +0=1 (0%)
Moorabool: +1=52 (160%)
Northern Grampians: +0=1 (-50%)
Pyrenees: +0=4
Yarriambiack: +0=1

📍 Gippsland: +22=285 (996%) 🧐

Bass Coast: +1=14 (250%)
Baw Baw: +8=111 (2675%)
East Gippsland: +0=4
Latrobe: +9=136 (700%)
South Gippsland: +1=14 (1300%)
Wellington: +3=6

📍 Hume: +32=328 (326%) 🧐

Alpine: +0=1
Benalla: +1=6
Greater Shepparton: +17=155 (2114%) 👈
Mitchell: +11=147 (130%)
Moira: +0=2
Murrindindi: +0=7 (250%)
Strathbogie: +3=7 (600%)
Wangaratta: +0=3 (50%)

Pre-emptive note: The 'Rest of Inner Metro' / 'Rest of Outer Metro' categories are a bit weird. They're a legacy of grouping the north/west growth corridor together but dividing it into inner and outer. Will change to south / east.

Cases in VIC LGAs: covid19data.com.au/victoria-lgas-…

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More from @juliette_io

Juliette O'Brien

@juliette_io

12 Oct

🧭 NSW LGAs late-night monster wrap 👻

NSW as 3 diff outbreaks:

1. Southwest / West Syd: +162 = 4414 (-51%)
2. Rest of Greater Sydney: +50 = 1513 (-56%)
3. Regional NSW: +137 = 3064 (+36%)

Data: Cases today = 14-day sum (% 14-day change)

LGA details 👇
#covid19nsw #covid19aus

Regional NSW -

📍 Central Coast: +20 = 410 (10%) 😏

📍 Illawarra Shoalhaven: +31=851 (-3%) 😃

Kiama: +0 = 3 (-84%)
Shellharbour: +14 = 153 (-21%)
Shoalhaven: +3 = 121 (55%)
Wollongong: +14 = 574 (-2%)

📍 Far West: +1=46 (-45%) 🤗

Broken Hill: +1=30 (-45%)
Wentworth: +0=16

Read 16 tweets

Juliette O'Brien

@juliette_io

7 Oct

@healthgovau

Waiting to hear back from @healthgovau media about Commonwealth hotspots expiring last night for 38 LGAs in VIC

Seems they're going to let the hotspots lapse in VIC, NSW, ACT

Here's a look at the very diff circumstances in each state

#covid19aus #covidvic #covid19nsw

1. VIC

Current hotspot declaration: 5 Aug - 7 Oct
Cases: 1,322 daily in Metro (7-day avg)
Vax: 55.6% 2 dose

*Shading = days covered by Commonwealth hotspots declaration

2. NSW

Current hotspot declaration: 26 Jun - 11 Oct
Cases: 584 daily in Greater Sydney (7-day avg)
Vax: 70.3% 2 doses

Read 7 tweets

Juliette O'Brien

@juliette_io

7 Oct

@k_eagar

🧭 NSW LGA dataset updated today after yday was skipped

NSW as 3 different outbreaks - I've made a change to this summary based on feedback (ty @k_eagar)

Central Coast / Illawarra Shoalhaven moved from Greater Sydney to regional NSW. This means ...

#covid19nsw #covid19aus

The perspective on growth in Greater Syd changes - growth in last 2 weeks has slowed nearly as much as it has in SW/W

🧭 SW/W: +259 = 5782 (-48%)🥳
🧭 Rest of Greater Syd: +87 = 2158 (-45%)🥳
🧭 Regional NSW: +183 = 3073 (+74%)🤨

*+Cases today = 14-day sum (14-day change %)

🧭Regional NSW is the exception, so details on that first -

📍 Central Coast: +20 = 428 (+29%)🤨

📍 Illawarra Shoalhaven: +55=993 (+49%)🤨
Kiama: +0 = 6 (-73%)
Shellharbour: +5 = 167 (-9%)
Shoalhaven: +9 = 116 (142%)
Wollongong: +41 = 704 (70%)

Read 19 tweets

Juliette O'Brien

@juliette_io

6 Oct

🧭VIC LGA monster wrap 🤖

Cases in last 14 days V. previous 14 days

1. North / West Metro: +94% (but growth slowing)
2. Rest of Metro: +344% (growth stable)
3. Regional VIC: +489% (growth speeding up)

covid19data.com.au/victoria-lgas-…
#CovidVic #covid19vic #COVID19Aus
1/14. Chart: Hume

Region summary -

📍 Inner North / West: +194=2481 (82%)
📍 Outer North / West: +655=8067 (99%)
📍 Inner Melbourne: +85=945 (234%)
📍 Rest of Inner Metro : +145=1184 (329%)
📍 Rest of Outer Metro Melbourne: +256=2140 (432%)

[+Cases today=Cases last 14 days (14-day change %)]
2/

📍 Barwon South West: +10=129 (396%)
📍 Grampians: +20=85 (158%)
📍 Gippsland: +13=123 (2360%)
📍 Hume: +27=224 (600%)
📍 Loddon Mallee: +10=75 (0%)

3/

Read 14 tweets

Juliette O'Brien

@juliette_io

28 Sep

NSW LGA monster wrap 👻

NSW as 3 different outbreaks - How do cases in the last 14 days compare with previous 14 days?

1. Southwest/Western Sydney: -34%
2. Rest of Greater Sydney: +14%
3. Regional NSW: +48%

LGA details below 👇

#covid19nsw #covid19aus

1. SW/W ...

📍 Western Sydney: +189=3826 (-39%) 🥳

Blacktown: +56 = 1450 (-26%)
Cumberland: +64 = 1389 (-51%)
Parramatta: +22 = 377 (-38%)
Penrith: +47 = 610 (-30%)

*How to read the data: +Cases today = Last 14 days (14-day change %)

📍 Southwest Sydney: +244=5184 (-29%) 🥳

Camden: +8 = 287 (10%)
Campbelltown: +45 = 607 (-1%)
Canterbury-Bankstown: +101 = 2184 (-39%)
Fairfield: +34 = 776 (-30%)
Liverpool: +56 = 1330 (-25%)

Read 18 tweets

Juliette O'Brien

@juliette_io

27 Sep

Re: Testing positivity rates in NSW / VIC / ACT

Testing in NSW is falling - but so is the positivity rate

3 weeks ago, NSW was testing ~130,000 ppl/day. Positivity reached 1.1%

Today, NSW testing just under 120,000 / day.* Positivity: 0.83%

#covid19aus #covid19nsw #COVID19Vic

*I calculate the positivity rate by:
% = 7-day avg tests / 7-day avg cases

I think this smoothed rate is slightly more reliable than a daily rate

It shows the trend and eliminates factors like daily volatility, weekend effect, possibly mismatched numerators/denominators

The downside of this smoothed rate is it can be slow to show what's happening

But IMO, that's more of a concern when the positivity rate is rising, rather than falling

Here, the grey line shows the positivity rate in ACT (now 0.7%)

Read 7 tweets

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