From past price studies I have an idea of how price should behave around certain levels.
Then I say: If A happens then B is more likely. If I see B then it is a sign of C.
#COPPER is a good example. I have been analyzing price action above the 200-day average. The rebounds have been weak.
I said if it remains weak, (A happens) then a breakdown and correction (B) is more likely.
Ideal situation in a reversion to the mean is a sharp rebound.
This is how I analyzed price action and narrowed it down to 4.08-4.35.
Ideally a reversion to the mean was followed by a sharp rebound.
Now coming into strong resistance area. Past price behaviors have shown a pause after a steep rally to resistance. I focus on 4.64-4.88 area as resistance.
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Chart patterns are confirmed when they are mature. It is usually difficult to understand at what level the pattern is mature. For me this is with several tests of pattern boundary.
First reversal signal on $BTC was covered with this setup.
Rising wedge breakdown was followed by a rebound which formed the right shoulder of a H&S top. The correction towards 30K was covered with this chart pattern setup.
Let the market give clues to the direction of the trend. We don't want to predict.
This is considered Type 2 breakout. (Explained in following videos).
Irrespective of time frame (note I don't analyze intraday price action), price dynamics are the same. Breakouts can be followed by pullbacks and those would ideally find support at the previous resistance.
Piyasada birileri..., dis gucler, soros, vs. gibi inanclari olan arkadaslar icin Isvec borsasinda islem goren bir hissenin grafigini paylasiyorum.
Piyasadaki o "birileri" ne atfedilen hareketler aslinda kolletif olarak toplu suru piskolojisi/insan davranislarindan kaynaklaniyor
Reference to earlier tweet on the price dynamics of a Type 2 breakout.
Define a research universe 500, 1000 names... depends on your time dedicated for market research each day & weekend.
Make sure you go through the same list every single day.
What you miss earlier you might capture later.
You see the development of price charts better
Open each chart with the same template. Don't go into style drift by saying: Hmm.. let me see what X indicator is doing or let me go into hourly chart etc.
You have 1hr (or how much it takes to finish the list you have built) to finish the work and move off the screen.
Before you finalize, see if any pattern fit your criteria. Save those to a separate folder and review them the next day first thing after the market close. That's your watchlist.