This is our 4th QUB/ICBAN report since the 2016 referendum.
The study involved an online #survey of those living/working in the Central Border Region.
Our survey received c400 responses, equally spread either side of the border. There were also interviews & focus groups.
2/10
We are VERY grateful to each of the respondents to this survey.
It took a time to complete because we insisted on getting comments/views/examples…
And hence the report is another fairly hefty one, as the #Contents show.
The focus is on giving space/voice to respondents.
3/10
Headline findings from the responses to the #survey – bearing in mind this is a large but not a representative sample – are as follows:
First, #Brexit is still seen as major topic of importance by 86% of our respondents -
It's a live & lived issue north & south.
4/10
And the impact of #Brexit has worse or much worse than expected for half our respondents, with only 14% saying it was better than they had feared.
This is notable cos we know from our previous QUB-ICBAN reports they expected it to be bad. 😬
(e.g. tinyurl.com/TheBorderIntoB…)
5/10
And what has that impact been? This is where the comments come into their own.
Obvs, the experience of the #Protocol is a factor here too.
While respondents point to #economic effects, it's the consequences for #social & political relations they're most concerned about.
6/10
The greatest concerns expressed by respondents (from all backgrounds & both sides of the border) are for:
* political #stability in NI,
* North/South #cooperation, &
* #community relations in the border region.
This is reflected in what they feel most pessimistic about...
7/10
Despite the #Protocol's purpose, over half our respondents believe that there might yet be a #hard Irish land #border.
A repeated theme is that of #uncertainty & instability – a sense that the poor UK-EU rel'ship & British-Irish tensions are having effect on the ground.
8/10
To learn more detail on positive & negative views of Brexit/the Protocol, specific challenges for cross-border cooperation, the views of Leave-voters in the border region, the experience of EU migrant workers, the impact of Covid at the border...
👇👇 ukandeu.ac.uk/the-border-aft…
9/10
Meantime, this is evidence, if it were needed, for @DavidGHFrost & @MarosSefcovic that the talks they're having on the #Protocol are being watched nervously by those who far from London & Brussels, Dublin & Belfast, but who are still most directly affected by the outcome.
10/10
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HEADLINE: NI is divided over the subject, believe it or not.
47% think Protocol is appropriate; 47% disagree.
What's interesting is that this split hasn’t changed much since last poll in March.
Most think NI needs specific arrangements but they disagree over the Protocol.
2/8
The majority (57%) think there are economic opportunities for NI from the Protocol, but right now, the predominant view of its current impact is negative.
This graph shows positive-minus-negative results 👇
41% say Protocol has a positive impact on NI economy, 48% disagree. 3/8
Overall we see strong divisions of opinion over the #Protocol.
Most think #Brexit is not a good thing for UK.
Most (2/3) respondents think NI needs particular arrangements through Brexit.
But then they're fairly split over whether the Protocol is appropriate or good.