Thread by @tim_e_gore

New paper today estimates the per capita emissions gaps for 1.5C of global income groups in 2030, based on NDCs

Richest 1% set for footprints 30x 1.5C-aligned global level
Richest 10% - 9x higher
Middle 40% - 2x higher
Poorest 50% - 2x lower
@IEEP_eu @Oxfam @SEIclimate #COP26

In absolute terms, the consumption emissions of the richest 10% in 2030 are set to nearly amount to the global total in 2030 compatible with 1.5C (18Gt)

The poorest 90% are set to only just exceed that level

This is the #inequality behind the #emissionsgap

We estimate the share of emissions of the richest 1% are set to grow further following the 2015 Paris Agreement - reaching 16% of total global emissions by 2030

#inequality #COP26 #COP26Glasgow

NDCs ahead of #COP26 mean emissions cuts 4 the richest 1% of just 5% - compared to 97% needed to align with the 1.5C global per capita level

Richest 10% set for 11% cuts vs 90% needed

Mid 40% = 9% vs 57% needed

Poorest 50% cld increase a bit, but still way below that level

Biggest turnaround in emissions trends set to come from the global 'middle classes' - from rapid emissions growth 1990-2015 to emissions peak and plateau this decade - it's a sign of the 'Paris effect'

Deepest cuts set to come from lower/middle income citizens in rich countries

The geography of #carboninequality is changing. But 2030 we expect the biggest share of the emissions of the richest 1% from citizens of China - overtaking the USA - then India, then EU. Saudi Arabia and Brazil the next biggest contributors to emissions of the super rich
#COP26

#carboninequality also extreme at national level

In all major emitters, the richest 10% are set for footprints way in excess of the 1.5C global per capita level in 2030

Tackling #inequality must go hand in hand with cutting emissions #COP26 #COP26Glasgow

The new report is by @IEEP_eu for @Oxfam with @SEIclimate available here: policy-practice.oxfam.org/resources/carb…

Based on last year's work here policy-practice.oxfam.org/resources/conf… & policy-practice.oxfam.org/resources/the-…

#COP26 #COP26Glasgow #inequality #ClimateCrisis

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