"lengthening cycles" is a contradiction in terms.
If the peak takes longer to occur then in previous cycles, that does not mean that the cycle is longer.
Just as if the last snow of winter occurs later in the year, that does not make the year longer!
Some people would have you believe that "The first cycle was from 2009 to 2011" (3 years) and "The second cycle was from 2011 to 2013" (4 years) and "The fourth cycle was from 2013 to 2017" (5 years) and therefore this cycle should be longer.
These people are bastardizing the word cycle and they should remove it from their mouth.
The cycle is consistent, it is pre-programmed. It does not change.
It takes 210,000 blocks for each cycle.
Does this cycle have an impact on the price? Yes, it has in the past.
And as we have all been saying, the impact of this cycle on the price will diminish over time.
But that doesn't change the cycle.
Blockchain keeps on making blocks.
The cycle renews at each halving
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The #BTC 200D MA (200-day moving average of price) is an important level for understanding #Bitcoin.
I think the $BTC 2Y MA and its 5x multiple are more valuable long-term, but mid-term the 200MA is worth paying attention to.
Here's my perspective 👇[THREAD]👇
From #Bitcoin's introduction in 2009 until its first halving, $BTC stayed above the 200D MA period until its first bear market period. The 200D MA served as resistance, but breaking above it led to prices higher than the 200D MA breakdown the previous year, signaling new 🆙trend
In the next #Bitcoin era, the first after the halving at the end of 2012, $BTC rose rapidly and parabolically, blowing off early and testing the 200D MA for support to continue the bull run. (cont)
... her toaster wouldn’t accept her bread. She held the slice in front of it and waited for the screen to show her a thumbs-up emoji, but instead, it showed her the head-scratching face and made a soft brrt. She waved the bread again. Brrt.
Not too long ago, people said that another blow-off top was inevitable for Bitcoin.
Then, people said that because so many people believed it, it was unlikely to happen.
Now, fewer and fewer people believe in a blow-off top.
Based on above logic, this makes a blow-off more likely
@TechDev_52 -- in ref to some comments back and forth we've had lately
Reading some of the responses to this ... Logic might be hard for some of you. Studying it would be valuable for your life. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stoic_log…