Updating my charts and adding several others from this data back in December.

Last several weeks of data points has shown a leveling of breakthrough infection. Meanwhile the breakthrough data continues to show only small increases during this most recent wave.

/1
Looking at reinfection alone, we aren't seeing much difference from the last look in, which under 2% of all cases being reinfection. This has been the case for the majority of the pandemic. Will be interesting to see this data once Omicron hits this area.

/2
Breakthrough infection versus % of population vaxxed does show a leveling in the last several updates. Will also need to keep an eye on this since to date this has been a mirror (but delayed image) of Vaccine uptake timing.

/3
Another graph I've added is a comparison of CFR between the unvaxxed and vaxxed cohorts using MN own dataset. As you can see, this doesnt pass the smell test as CFR is INCREASING in the unvaxxed cohorot. This should be flat or decreasing and shows data issues.

/4
Finally, I finished the analysis on breakthroughs, having added Breakthrough Hospitalizations and Breakthrough Deaths to the analysis.

The state is reporting 45% of all deaths are in fully vaxxed. This is substantial and debunks the notion of "pandemic of the unvaccinated".

/5
A few additional notes about the last graph:

- Breakthrough deaths match pretty closely w/ breakthrough infection data.
- Breakthrough hospitaliz is lower. We've seen this everywhere. This is highly likely to be caused by how these states are overtesting unvaxx in the hospital.

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More from @AWokeZombie

18 Dec
#US #COVID19 Regarding the Sixth circuit ruling tonight, here are my thoughts (I'm no lawyer)

- Original En Banc vote was 8-8. Of these who wanted En Banc, 1 submitted an opinion for, with 7 others joining. 1 submitted an opinion against, with 5 joining....
- 3 who voted against En Banc but who did not join a submitted opinion were the 3 who were assigned the case from the 3 judge panel.

- Since the vote wasnt the majority, The En Banc motion failed

- The three who heard the case voted today, 2 to lift the stay and 1 to maintain..
- If the parties are permitted to go back to reconsider En banc, Note that 8 voted for En banc originally who werent assigned, and 5 voted against En banc who werent assigned. 3 heard the case

- Since stay was lifted, judge who voted to maintain stay will likely want En Banc now
Read 6 tweets
16 Dec
#US #COVID19 The next time people tell you that Covid is affecting kids, keep these deaths in mind.

All are pulled from the WONDER database, none have Covid as an underlying cause of death:

wonder.cdc.gov/controller/dat…

A thread
🧵
Newborn affected by a maternal infection and parasitic disease. 10 deaths, all in newborns. Counted as Covid
Sudden Infant Death Syndrome. 5 deaths. All under 1 yrs old. Counted as Covid
Read 23 tweets
15 Dec
#NJ #COVID19

Haven't updated these in a while. These will be Cases/Hospitalizations/Deaths on a raw basis by age group, and then Cases/Hospitalizations/Deaths on a percent basis by age group

First up, raw 7d avg cases by age group. Cases driven by overtesting 30-49 and 0-17

/1
Second, raw 7d avg Hospitalizations by age group. No surprises here, still being driven by older age groups. At the same case rate during the 2020 Winter wave, hospitals were slightly lower in most age groups.

/2
Third, raw 7d avg Deaths by Age group. Again, no surprises. We've been sustaining flat death rates since the summer wave, no doubt this will go higher in the coming weeks.

Those under 50 look to have seen no improvement in the post vax era. (Not worse, either)

/3
Read 6 tweets
3 Dec
#MN #COVID19 So thanks to @EWoodhouse7, I went down the rabbit hole of looking through Minnesota data. They are one of the few states I've seen that tracks both breakthrough cases and refinfections. They also track it in a transparent way which makes it easy to follow

/1
First up, reinfection. While I'd love to see more details on these (severity/age/etc), you can see that for the most part under 2% of the cases are reinfections. This is a 7day average to smooth the data. The bumps in Feb/Mar/June bumps are unexplained and interesting.

/2
Second, breakthrough infections. This has been a steady climb higher since they began tracking, and now represents 45% of all cases in a given week. This is data reported as a sum of breakthroughs divided by sum of total cases for the week.

/3
Read 5 tweets
5 Nov
#COVID19 Here's one of my main issues with vaccination right now. This goes for all ages, but concentrating on just children right now:

- All of the Covid vaccine clinical trials removed anyone who had recovered from Covid. As a result, there's no data.

/1
- Theres still not a single piece of data, or study that looks at a vaccination cohort who also has natural immunity. Why is this?

- Kids trials were so underpowered that any "rare" adverse event will likely to have been missed.

/2
- I theorize that while combined myocarditis rate in kids might be 1 in 5000, because we lack any data that separates kids vaccinated from kids vaccinated who had natural immunity, we might be missing a big issue.

/3
Read 6 tweets
22 Oct
#US #COVID19 Poking around the FDA doc in preparation for the Oct 26 mtg for 5-11 EUA, Check out this slide. If 10 mil kids get the dose, we will have 6 mil kids with fatigue, 5 million kids with headaches, and up to a mil kids with a fever?

These are worse outcomes than CV19.
What do you suppose the death rate is for kids who have over a 102 fever? Do you think its higher than 1 in a million?
Read 5 tweets

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