#US #COVID19 Regarding the Sixth circuit ruling tonight, here are my thoughts (I'm no lawyer)

- Original En Banc vote was 8-8. Of these who wanted En Banc, 1 submitted an opinion for, with 7 others joining. 1 submitted an opinion against, with 5 joining....
- 3 who voted against En Banc but who did not join a submitted opinion were the 3 who were assigned the case from the 3 judge panel.

- Since the vote wasnt the majority, The En Banc motion failed

- The three who heard the case voted today, 2 to lift the stay and 1 to maintain..
- If the parties are permitted to go back to reconsider En banc, Note that 8 voted for En banc originally who werent assigned, and 5 voted against En banc who werent assigned. 3 heard the case

- Since stay was lifted, judge who voted to maintain stay will likely want En Banc now
- Therefore, if En banc is reconsidered, 8 who voted for en banc originally vote for it, and then the judge who ruled to maintain the stay changes vote, En Banc ruling changes from 8-8 to 9-7.

- If that happens, full en banc will likely reinstate the stay.
-If En banc consideration is not permitted (I've heard people mention there are rules that it cant be), then its going to SCOTUS in an emergency filing.

- Kavanaugh will decide if case is heard as he represents 6th circuit.
- Kavanaugh recently ruled in favor of the plaintiffs against the CDC with regards to the eviction moratorium, and this case comes down to does OSHA have the power to mandate this.

- So lets hope he decides to hear the case and the judges actually do whats right.

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More from @AWokeZombie

17 Dec
Updating my charts and adding several others from this data back in December.

Last several weeks of data points has shown a leveling of breakthrough infection. Meanwhile the breakthrough data continues to show only small increases during this most recent wave.

/1
Looking at reinfection alone, we aren't seeing much difference from the last look in, which under 2% of all cases being reinfection. This has been the case for the majority of the pandemic. Will be interesting to see this data once Omicron hits this area.

/2
Breakthrough infection versus % of population vaxxed does show a leveling in the last several updates. Will also need to keep an eye on this since to date this has been a mirror (but delayed image) of Vaccine uptake timing.

/3
Read 6 tweets
16 Dec
#US #COVID19 The next time people tell you that Covid is affecting kids, keep these deaths in mind.

All are pulled from the WONDER database, none have Covid as an underlying cause of death:

wonder.cdc.gov/controller/dat…

A thread
🧵
Newborn affected by a maternal infection and parasitic disease. 10 deaths, all in newborns. Counted as Covid
Sudden Infant Death Syndrome. 5 deaths. All under 1 yrs old. Counted as Covid
Read 23 tweets
15 Dec
#NJ #COVID19

Haven't updated these in a while. These will be Cases/Hospitalizations/Deaths on a raw basis by age group, and then Cases/Hospitalizations/Deaths on a percent basis by age group

First up, raw 7d avg cases by age group. Cases driven by overtesting 30-49 and 0-17

/1
Second, raw 7d avg Hospitalizations by age group. No surprises here, still being driven by older age groups. At the same case rate during the 2020 Winter wave, hospitals were slightly lower in most age groups.

/2
Third, raw 7d avg Deaths by Age group. Again, no surprises. We've been sustaining flat death rates since the summer wave, no doubt this will go higher in the coming weeks.

Those under 50 look to have seen no improvement in the post vax era. (Not worse, either)

/3
Read 6 tweets
3 Dec
#MN #COVID19 So thanks to @EWoodhouse7, I went down the rabbit hole of looking through Minnesota data. They are one of the few states I've seen that tracks both breakthrough cases and refinfections. They also track it in a transparent way which makes it easy to follow

/1
First up, reinfection. While I'd love to see more details on these (severity/age/etc), you can see that for the most part under 2% of the cases are reinfections. This is a 7day average to smooth the data. The bumps in Feb/Mar/June bumps are unexplained and interesting.

/2
Second, breakthrough infections. This has been a steady climb higher since they began tracking, and now represents 45% of all cases in a given week. This is data reported as a sum of breakthroughs divided by sum of total cases for the week.

/3
Read 5 tweets
5 Nov
#COVID19 Here's one of my main issues with vaccination right now. This goes for all ages, but concentrating on just children right now:

- All of the Covid vaccine clinical trials removed anyone who had recovered from Covid. As a result, there's no data.

/1
- Theres still not a single piece of data, or study that looks at a vaccination cohort who also has natural immunity. Why is this?

- Kids trials were so underpowered that any "rare" adverse event will likely to have been missed.

/2
- I theorize that while combined myocarditis rate in kids might be 1 in 5000, because we lack any data that separates kids vaccinated from kids vaccinated who had natural immunity, we might be missing a big issue.

/3
Read 6 tweets
22 Oct
#US #COVID19 Poking around the FDA doc in preparation for the Oct 26 mtg for 5-11 EUA, Check out this slide. If 10 mil kids get the dose, we will have 6 mil kids with fatigue, 5 million kids with headaches, and up to a mil kids with a fever?

These are worse outcomes than CV19.
What do you suppose the death rate is for kids who have over a 102 fever? Do you think its higher than 1 in a million?
Read 5 tweets

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