🚨 Those NSW hospitalisation numbers are >24 hrs behind and the situation is changing fast

ICU / ventilation increases this morning:

63 / 19 - NSW Health tweet 1
69 / 19 - NSW Health tweet 2
78 / 24 - Patient Flow Portal early AM
80 / 28 - PFP 10.20AM

#covid19aus #COVID19nsw
So from 8PM last night to mid-morning today ...

ICU patients have increased 16%
Ventilated patients have increased 47%

It is a huge jump

Both Omicron and Delta are circulating widely and feeding these numbers

*There are people with both variants in ICU*
We have little idea how much Covid there is in NSW, let alone the Delta v Omicron split

We do not know what hospitalisation / ICU / ventilation rates to expect

The best we can do is report on what is happening *right now*. Not what happened more than 24 hours ago
So on that note, I implore healthcare workers to contact me or any other journalist you trust and tell them what is happening

If you contact me, your confidentiality is guaranteed

I can report these numbers because of some conscientious, brave, proactive individuals
The political and bureaucratic muzzling of healthcare workers - threatening them with sacking if they speak out - is anti-democratic

Forget what's *going to* happen. We barely know what's happening right now
Clarification: 'There are people with both variants in ICU' = There are people with the Delta variant in ICU and there are people with the Omicron variant in ICU. I did not mean there are individuals with both variants simultaneously.

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More from @juliette_io

29 Dec 21
NSW has deflected responsibility for the massive pressures on the pathology system by focusing public attention on QLD's tourism testing

But in fact sheer case load is also a major factor affecting the testing system's capacity

Quick🧡1/6

#covid19aus #covid19nsw #CovidTesting
Prof Dwyer has confirmed NSW pathology labs use the 'pooling' process outlined by the Reddit thread

Pooling is supposed to help the system process large numbers of samples

Eg. Test 4 samples as a group

Negative? Move on

Positive? Go back and test each sample individually

2/6
Prof Dwyer said today:

'The process of having to go back and retest positive pools takes a lot of time'

and

'The ability to pool is limited by how common the disease is in the community'

So the pooling process is directly affected by more cases / higher positivity rate

3/6
Read 7 tweets
12 Oct 21
🧭 NSW LGAs late-night monster wrap πŸ‘»

NSW as 3 diff outbreaks:

1. Southwest / West Syd: +162 = 4414 (-51%)
2. Rest of Greater Sydney: +50 = 1513 (-56%)
3. Regional NSW: +137 = 3064 (+36%)

Data: Cases today = 14-day sum (% 14-day change)

LGA details πŸ‘‡
#covid19nsw #covid19aus
Regional NSW -

πŸ“ Central Coast: +20 = 410 (10%) 😏

πŸ“ Illawarra Shoalhaven: +31=851 (-3%) πŸ˜ƒ

Kiama: +0 = 3 (-84%)
Shellharbour: +14 = 153 (-21%)
Shoalhaven: +3 = 121 (55%)
Wollongong: +14 = 574 (-2%)
πŸ“ Far West: +1=46 (-45%) πŸ€—

Broken Hill: +1=30 (-45%)
Wentworth: +0=16
Read 16 tweets
12 Oct 21
🧭 VIC LGAs late-night monster wrap πŸ‘»

VIC as 3 different outbreaks:

1. North/West Metro: +867 = 13,050 (+82%)
2. Rest of Metro: +479 = 6,670 (+352%)
3. Regional VIC: +110 = 1,190 (+441%)

Data: Cases today = 14-day sum (% 14-day change)

LGA detailsπŸ‘‡

#COVID19Vic #covid19aus
1. North/West Metro (original growth areas) -

πŸ“ North Melbourne: +511=7807 (50%) 😏

Banyule: +24=325 (102%)
Darebin: +53=686 (144%)
Hume: +203=3589 (17%) πŸ‘
Moreland: +63=1135 (46%)
Nillumbik: +6=85 (325%)
Whittlesea: +162=1987 (116%)
πŸ“ West Melbourne: +356=5243 (170%) πŸ˜’

Brimbank: +99=1345 (209%)
Hobsons Bay: +25=352 (72%)
Maribyrnong: +30=405 (426%)
Melton: +80=1277 (239%)
Moonee Valley: +35=522 (129%)
Wyndham: +87=1342 (115%)
Read 13 tweets
7 Oct 21
Waiting to hear back from @healthgovau media about Commonwealth hotspots expiring last night for 38 LGAs in VIC

Seems they're going to let the hotspots lapse in VIC, NSW, ACT

Here's a look at the very diff circumstances in each state

#covid19aus #covidvic #covid19nsw
1. VIC

Current hotspot declaration: 5 Aug - 7 Oct
Cases: 1,322 daily in Metro (7-day avg)
Vax: 55.6% 2 dose

*Shading = days covered by Commonwealth hotspots declaration
2. NSW

Current hotspot declaration: 26 Jun - 11 Oct
Cases: 584 daily in Greater Sydney (7-day avg)
Vax: 70.3% 2 doses
Read 7 tweets
7 Oct 21
🧭 NSW LGA dataset updated today after yday was skipped

NSW as 3 different outbreaks - I've made a change to this summary based on feedback (ty @k_eagar)

Central Coast / Illawarra Shoalhaven moved from Greater Sydney to regional NSW. This means ...

#covid19nsw #covid19aus
The perspective on growth in Greater Syd changes - growth in last 2 weeks has slowed nearly as much as it has in SW/W

🧭 SW/W: +259 = 5782 (-48%)πŸ₯³
🧭 Rest of Greater Syd: +87 = 2158 (-45%)πŸ₯³
🧭 Regional NSW: +183 = 3073 (+74%)🀨

*+Cases today = 14-day sum (14-day change %)
🧭Regional NSW is the exception, so details on that first -

πŸ“ Central Coast: +20 = 428 (+29%)🀨

πŸ“ Illawarra Shoalhaven: +55=993 (+49%)🀨
Kiama: +0 = 6 (-73%)
Shellharbour: +5 = 167 (-9%)
Shoalhaven: +9 = 116 (142%)
Wollongong: +41 = 704 (70%)
Read 19 tweets
6 Oct 21
🧭VIC LGA monster wrap πŸ€–

Cases in last 14 days V. previous 14 days

1. North / West Metro: +94% (but growth slowing)
2. Rest of Metro: +344% (growth stable)
3. Regional VIC: +489% (growth speeding up)

covid19data.com.au/victoria-lgas-…
#CovidVic #covid19vic #COVID19Aus
1/14. Chart: Hume Image
Region summary -

πŸ“ Inner North / West: +194=2481 (82%)
πŸ“ Outer North / West: +655=8067 (99%)
πŸ“ Inner Melbourne: +85=945 (234%)
πŸ“ Rest of Inner Metro : +145=1184 (329%)
πŸ“ Rest of Outer Metro Melbourne: +256=2140 (432%)

[+Cases today=Cases last 14 days (14-day change %)]
2/
πŸ“ Barwon South West: +10=129 (396%)
πŸ“ Grampians: +20=85 (158%)
πŸ“ Gippsland: +13=123 (2360%)
πŸ“ Hume: +27=224 (600%)
πŸ“ Loddon Mallee: +10=75 (0%)

3/
Read 14 tweets

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