The winter edition of #EuropeBigWet, fueled by tropical Atlantic Moisture begins today. Here is the latest GFS forecast accumulating snowfall over the coming 16 days.

#TheBeastFromTheWest
Here's the latest @ECMWF accumulating rain forecast. In the west it isn't cold enough to snow... and during the event as the incoming water is warm, there will be a mixture of rain and snow, and relatively warm periods which will melt the snow.
@ECMWF In terms of timing and intensity of components of the continuous waves of Atlantic Water which will power this event this IVT plot provides a guide as to when and where the intense parts of this event forecast to occur.
@ECMWF But a warning is needed on this.

The model forecasts appear to be evolving over time and to stay safe everybody will need to keep a close eye on local forecasts and warnings.

See... meteoalarm.org

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More from @althecat

Jan 27
CNN has just had @StateDeptSpox Ned Price on, saying that if Russia invades Ukraine, the Russia-Germany Gas pipeline Nordstream 2 (completed - not online - opposed by US) will not proceed.

#UKRAINE #UkraineStandoff
@StateDeptSpox This is not exactly new news as it was reported yesterday by NPR and covered by @Reuters yesterday. So @CNN is today matching the story.
reuters.com/business/energ…
The remarks were made by @StateDeptSpox in this report from @NPR at 4.25pm US ET (10.25pm last night EU CEST). And in this case - with things moving so fast - the timing may actually be important.

@SecBlinken's briefing and announcement on this came at 12pm US ET (6pm CEST).
Read 33 tweets
Jan 27
Thread of @Arab_Storms weather videos of the recent #ExtremeWeather events in the Middle East.

Amman Jordan, fatal accident during the opening of roads, which led to the slippage and deterioration of a the bulldozer
Read 30 tweets
Jan 27
#MiddleEast long range weather update.

While the weakening of the Sahara east west water transport event has led to a weakening in the weird weather over the Arabian Peninsula, it has not stopped.

Most notably we have seen significant snowfall in Israel, Lebanon Jordan & Syria.
And with a major European (Atlantic) tropical rain/snow event now underway the rain and snow activity in the Levant is forecast to continue. Here's yesterday's precipitation forecast for the Southern Levant.
And the Northern Levant.... (both forecasts are through to 4th February.
Read 13 tweets
Jan 27
There is an interesting positive ecological impact from this wave of Southern African Cyclones coming in from the Indian Ocean over Madagascar.

Namely they appear to be bringing significant rains to the Kalahari Desert area in central Southern Africa. Image
Here are the latest long range rain forecasts for Southern Africa. All indicate some rain in the area with the GFS and CMC model forecasts showing lesser quantities than the ECMWF and KMA models. ImageImageImageImage
Rainfall so far in the desert area has been fairly minimal but the forecasts show the slow moving low pressure storm currently over Zimbabwe maintaining a significant amount of energy - and moving south west over the desert. [Satellite images Jan 24-27 below] ImageImageImageImage
Read 5 tweets
Jan 26
Russia Ukraine: US sends Moscow formal response over crisis - BBC News bbc.com/news/world-eur…
Companion article on how all this is being reported in Russia. bbc.com/news/world-eur…
And a third story which appears to be about the UK Defence Minister’s travels in Europe. It’s an interesting read but this paragraph jumped out at me.

Especially the description of Nordstream 2 as a “genuine piece of leverage” for “all Allies in Europe’s.” Image
Read 4 tweets
Jan 26
@SecBlinken’s press conference about this is here. Video and transcript. state.gov/secretary-anto…
This looks kind of rushed. The press conference was five hours ago, less than 24 hours after the joint Macron/Scholz presser last night. It was announced by @StateDept but not @StateDeptSpox or @SecBlinken and streamed live on Twitter.

The text has not been released.
Read 10 tweets

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