$ETH Max Bottom Identifier (MBI)

$ETH just entered the downtrend channel, fighting to get out. (resistance:2458 USD)

Sentiment already at Low Fear, last 2 macro bottoms reached high and extreme fear.

Conclusions at the end. Image
-Each time $ETH enters the downtrend channel it tends to go all the way down to its lower limit (1700 right now)

- The ammount of time it stays in the channel varies greatly. (From 30 to 320 days)

- Macro Bottom was hit when we reached the purple sentiment levels.
- But there was a failed bottom previous to the march'20 black swan event. Sentiment was yellow at that time.

So in conclusion.
The blue zone is the best zone to start accumulating. Also, purple sentiment appear when bottom is close. Those opportunities are scarce.

We don't know how long we will stay there (days or months) and how low the price could finally go, so don't spend all your powder at once.
Or you just can wait trend for trend to flip bullish again using a trend system.

Decision is up to you and how much you believe in $ETH for the next run.

Note: Sentiment fear levels are not the same than the Fear and Greed Index.

Not financial advice.
Want to know more about the MBI? check this thread.
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More from @WalterCripto

Jan 29
Trend System (TS) update - $ATOM

Midterm Bullish

TR Supertrend Support: 27.20
TR Ribbon Resistance: 33.27

So far it has it has been a perfect ride using our Trend System.

What I am doing right now 🔽 Image
-I still hold a part of my initial $ATOM position (Took a lot of profits on the way following the TS process)

- I am adding a small position near TR Supertrend support with a tight Stop Loss just below it.
- As all the other 3 major trend indicators are bearish, I will close my midterm position if TR supertrend changes bearish too.

Not Financial advice.
Read 4 tweets
Jan 28
Started to DCA into $NASDAQ

Why Now?

-Since August'08 we have only went from the ranging zone (yellow) to the downtred zone (blue) 4 times.

- Also, we had bounced 2 times from similar current levels in the past d without touching the blue zone.

More 🔽 Image
The four times we went below:

- 2008-2010: -44% from current level, 722 days to recover.
- 2016:- 8.5% from curent level, 46 days to recover.
-2018-2019: 13% from current levels, 62 days to recover.
- 2020: 13% from current level, 33 days to recover.
The two times we bounce:

- 2011: TR sentiment was from yellow to pink (neutral to medium fear)
-2015: TR sentimen was from yellow to red (neutral to low fear)

Right now we are at a yellow TR sent. (neutral)

(more about our MBI model in this thread)
Read 9 tweets
Jan 28
Crypto Tracker Update - Larger list availate to Patrons.

Please have in mind that the "Possible actions" are just a guide on how to interprete all the signals. Use them to complement your own analysis, and decide accordingly❗

Timeframe: Midterm (days)

Poll below ⬇ Image
Do you find the Crypto Tracker useful?
Read 6 tweets
Jan 28
$LUNA Trend System (TS) Midterm update.

Currently Bearish

You know this one is one of my favorites, but closed what was left of my position completely , have to follow the process always.

What a ride it was! Looking forward... Image
The 41-45USD seems like a very possible resistance zone.

Our MBI indicates that $LUNA is on the raging zone (yellow zone), so volatility is expected.

Trend Sentiment is neutral, no fear yet. Image
Could we bounce tomorrow, of course! everything is possible, but I gotta follow the process consistently, no matter how I feel.

Not financial advice.
Read 4 tweets
Jan 28
$ADA Max Bottom Identifier (MBI) update

This one looks interesting, current TR Sentiment levels are getting closer to the past March'20 crash.

We are already at medium fear (different calculation than "Fear and Greed Index") and deep into the blue zone.

So... Image
As $BTC still on a midterm downtrend and Alts are more risky during time, is all up to how much you believe in $ADA for the long run and its ability to recover.

If that is the case, then Medium Fear are very good levels to start DCA.
Prices can go lower of course, in that case we probably will go into extreme fear (purple sentiment), but the price does not last long on extreme levels.
Read 5 tweets
Jan 27
A VERY zoomed out look to the SPY (S&P500) trend. Using the Weekly timeframe.

Hope this helps to provide some perspective of where the market is right now.

Conclusions at the end.🔽🔽 Image
Facts:
- We continue on the uptrend channel.
- Uptrend Channel support at 417 USD
- Weekly sentiment is current neutral.
- Macro bottoms (best opportunities ever to buy) occur on the ranging or downtrend zone and when TR Sentiment is at medium-extreme fear.
Conclusion:

- Nothing to worry in the long term.
- DCA (buying a little every day) works great for the SPY index.
- If Macro bottom signals appear I would go all in.
Read 8 tweets

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