1/7 - “Areas in three neighbourhoods of Beijing’s Fengtai district were designated “controlled areas”, with residents required to undergo daily #COVID19 testing and prohibited from leaving their residential complexes.” ft.com/content/e30e36…
2/7 - “The local organising committee has admitted that some cases would probably be imported, given the number of overseas athletes, media and officials due to arrive in the city. But authorities will mitigate the risk of contagion by creating a “closed loop” for the Olympics.”
3/7 - “China reported that 25 new local cases and 23 infections were recorded within the Olympic bubble on Thurs, highlighting the challenge authorities face to maintain Beijing’s #ZeroCovid policy. #Omicron is proving to be a lot more difficult in terms of its transmissibility.”
4/7 - “The new restrictions were imposed in the Fengtai district after seven new cases were reported in the area, according to local authorities. At least six other neighbourhoods in the district have enforced similar control measures.”
5/7- “Chinese president Xi Jinping and Thomas Bach, president of the International Olympic Committee,discussed #COVID19 containment plans on Wedn in Beijing. The meeting was a rare face-to-face meeting with a foreign official for Xi,who has not left the country since early 2020.”
6/7- “International human rights groups have increased their pressure on governments to boycott games in protest against alleged human rights abuses undertaken by Chinese authorities against the Uyghur minority in Xinjiang.“
7/7 - “Several countries have already announced a diplomatic boycott of the Games, including the UK, US, Australia and Canada.”
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2/9 - Western Europe
Three profiles in #COVID19:
- Improving, medium/[very] high mortality: IRL (R-eff=0.72);FL=0.81;/SP=0.86;[IT=0.88];
- Plateau, [low] high (alarming) mort: [ICL;CH];UK=0.95;LUX;FR;(GR);
- Deteriorating:
. High mort:PT;DK=1.07;SE;BE;AT;
. Med-low mort:NO;NL;DE.
3/9 - East-Central Europe
The whole sub-region experiences high #COVID19 epid activ, with alarming [high] mort:
Bulg=1.07; Croat=1.05; [Czech=1.27; Eston=1.25; Hung=1.15; Latv=1.26;Lith=1.22; Pol=1.27; Romn=1.28; Russia=1.38;Serb=1.06; Slovk=1.40; Slovn=1.22;Ukr=1.33].
1/4 - France (R-eff=1.0) has reached the peak of its #COVID19 epidemic activity, with 331,615 cases and 304 deaths/day foreseen by Feb 07, if at same pace.
80.2% received 1 dose;
Regional forecast Feb 01 to Feb 04: tinyurl.com/COVIDfrance
By @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience
2/4 - Eight mainland Régions are:
- Close to their peak in #COVID19 new cases, with [very] high mortality:
Bretg (R-eff=1.07);
Ctre-Val-L=1.05;
[Corse=0.97];
Hts-de-Fr=1.08;
Normd=1.04;
[PACA=1.02];
- Landing to their safe zones, [very] high mort:
AURA=0.94;
[Ile-de-Fr=0.81].
3/4 - Five mainland Régions are still rising in their #COVID19 epidemic activity, with [very] high mortality:
[Bourgogne-Franche-Comté (R-eff=1.10)];
Grand-Est=1.11:
Nouvelle-Aquitaine=1.14;
[Occitanie=1.11;]
Pays-de-Loire=1.12.
1/16 - “After the World Health Organization’s regional chief for Europe expressed hope last weekend that the continent could be moving to a “pandemic endgame”, his WHO superiors moved quickly to play down such optimism.” ft.com/content/037a3a…
2/16 - “Director-general Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus clarified Hans Kluge’s remarks the following day by insisting it was “dangerous to assume . . . we’re in the endgame” of coronavirus while WHO Europe stressed that the “pandemic is not over yet”.
3/16 - “The confused messaging cuts to the heart of a debate that was bubbling even before the #Omicron variant sparked a global infection surge: at what point does the world move on from the pandemic?”
2/9 - Western Europe
Three profiles in #COVID19:
- Improving, medium/[very] high mortality: IRL (R-eff=0.61); FL=0.76;/UK=0.93;SP=0.91;[IT=0.89];
- Peak or plateau, high mort: ICL;FR;[GR];
- Deteriorating:
. High mort: PT; DK=1.19;SE;BE;
. Med-low mort: AT; NO; NL; CH; DE; LUX.
3/9 - East-Central Europe
The whole sub-region is surging in its #COVID19 epid activ, with alarming [high] mort:
Bulg=1.11; Croat=1.08; [Czech=1.26; Eston=1.32; Hung=1.21; Latv=1.31;Lith=1.30; Pol=1.33; Romn=1.33; Russia=1.36;Serb=1.08; Slovk=1.47; Slovn=1.24;Ukr=1.39].
1/4 - France (R-eff=0.98) has reached the peak of its #COVID19 epidemic activity, with 313,048 cases and 314 deaths/day foreseen by Feb 06, if at same pace.
80.2% received 1 dose;
Regional forecast Jan 31 to Feb 03: tinyurl.com/COVIDfrance
By @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience
2/4 - Seven mainland Régions are either
- Close to their peak in #COVID19 new cases, with [very] high mortality:
AURA (R-eff=1.03);
Bretagne=1.09;
Ctre-Val-Loire=1.08;
[Corse=1.0];
Normandy=1.09;
[PACA=1.06];
- Landing to its safety zone:
Ile-de-France=0.82, very high mortality.
3/4 - Six mainland Régions still rise in their #COVID19 epidemic activity, with [very] high mortality:
[Bourgogne-Franche-Comté (R-eff=1.11)];
Grand-Est=1.12:
Hauts-de-France=1.10;
Nouvelle-Aquitaine=1.17;
[Occitanie=1.12;]
Pays-de-Loire=1.14.
1/4 - France (R-eff=1.0) has reached the peak of its #COVID19 epidemic activity, with 341,049 cases and 313 deaths/day foreseen by Feb 05, if at same pace.
80.2% received 1 dose;
Regional forecast Jan 30 to Feb 02: tinyurl.com/COVIDfrance
By @ISG_UNIGE & @SDSCdatascience
2/4 - Three mainland Régions are either
- Close to their peak in #COVID19 new cases:
AURA (R-eff=1.04); [PACA=1.07; Corse=1.01, with [very] high mortality; or
- Landing towards its safety zone:
Ile-de-France=0.83, with very high levels of mortality.
3/4 - Ten mainland Régions still rise or surge in #COVID19 cases, with:
- High mortality:
Bourgogne-Franche-Comté (R-eff=1.15);
Bretagne=1.13;
Centre-Val-Loire=1.11;
Grand-Est=1.13:
Hauts-de-France=1.11;
Normandie=1.11;
Nouvelle-Aquitaine=1.18;
Occitanie=1.13;
Pays-de-Loire=1.15.