Mina Al-Lami Profile picture
Feb 7 16 tweets 3 min read
Thread: We published two insight pieces last week on the US announcement of killing IS leader Abu Ibrahim al-Hashimi al-Qurashi in Idlib, Syria /1
The first examines how in over two years of leading the group and four leadership audio messages during his reign (including a fifth announcing his appointment), the "caliph" was never heard or seen. All messages were delivered via a spokesman /2 monitoring.bbc.co.uk/product/c2037x…
Such media absence and hardly any info about him offered by IS fueled speculation within anti-IS jihadist circles about his real identity and suitability for the title of "caliph", which in certain religous interpreatins requires specific physical and anscetral conditions /3
As well as the obvious security reasons, the IS-imposed secrecy about al-Qurashi's identity was possibly designed to offer leeway in the event of his reported death /4
Some IS supporters argue that the group itself had never confirmed that al-Qurashi was the man the US identified as Iraqi-Turkmen Amir Muhammad Sa’id Abdal-Rahman al-Mawla (aka Abdallah Qardash, Hajji Abdallah) /5
Our report also looks at the difficultiy to guess who might succeed al-Qurashi. IS is very careful about the security of its top-tier leaders and has commonly refrained from allowing many of them to have public profiles /6
The only current central IS leadership figure with anything resembling a public profile is spokesman Abu Hamza al-Qurashi, who has only featured in audio messages /7
Given his last name, which means a descendant of Prophet Muhammad's tribe of Quraysh- a prerequisite for the role of caliph- he may be eligible for the role /8
But apart from his voice in audio messages, his alleged Quraysh lineage and the title "al-Muhajir", meaning "immigrant" or foreign fighter, we know less about Abu Hamza al-Qurashi than we do about Abu Ibrahim al-Qurashi (again, not saying that he's the likely successor) /9
In another piece, we looked that the very odd choice of refuge for the last two leaders of Islamic State group (IS), Idlib province in Syria /10 monitoring.bbc.co.uk/product/c20380…
Idlib is controlled by IS's staunch jihadist rival, Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), and is home to other jihadist and rebel rivals of IS. IS critics are asking how the group's leaders came to take refuge in an area near the Turkish border that is "swarming" with HTS security /11
Some jihadist detractors & few "supporters" posed a theological question:is it religiously permissible for IS leaders to seek refuge in territory considered "land of kufr [disbelief]" given the hardline assertion that "true" Muslims shouldn't live in land ruled by the "kuffar"/12
Some IS supporters tried to justify that by saying that all lands today have become land of "kufr"/13
A key anti-IS jihadist account claimed that during the battle of Baghouz in Syria in Mar 2019, IS leadership banned its members & their families from seeking refuge in Idlib "under the pretext it is land of kufr and apostasy". This caused many to be killed or arrested, he said/14
Meanwhile, the fact that yet another jihadist official has been killed by the US in Idlib has renewed criticism & accusations against HTS, whom jihadists say appears to have no clue about what's happening on its territory at best, or is complicit in US operations at worst /15
HTS has finally broken its silience on the big operation that took place on its own territory. It issued a statment denying prior knowledge of the US operation or the identity of the residents of the targeted house. It also condemned the US op citing the civilian casualties /16

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More from @Minalami

Mar 3
Thread: Key jihadist responses to Russia’s war on Ukraine 👇
1) Jubliation. Overall, jihadists welcome the war. They see it as a distraction for their "Crusader" enemies -Russia & West – away from jihadist affairs. Therefore, they are hopeful it turns into a protracted war that weakens all those involved and eases prssure on jihadists
2) Just revenge against Russia. Jihadists welcome the war as retribution against Russia primarily for its involvement in Syria, which they hope the war in Ukraine will weaken
Read 15 tweets
Oct 29, 2021
In the latest issue of its weekly paper al-Naba, #ISIS gloats about "the impact" of its deadly attack of 26 Oct on members of a Shia tribe (Bani Tamim) in Iraq's eastern Diyala province /1
The attack in the mixed Sunni-Shia province is clearly designed to reignite sectarian tensions in the hope of creating a Shia backlash against Sunnis that IS can then exploit /2
The attack gave rise to sectarian tensions and recriminations on the political & communal levels, and you can see it playing out online. There were reports of revenge attacks on an adjacent Sunni village. Such tensions on this scale have been largely absent in recent years /3
Read 5 tweets
Oct 8, 2021
#ISIS admits some of its members have been killed in Taliban raids on IS-linked homes/hideouts in recent days. Says 3 militants killed + wife & child of one in Taliban raid in Parwan on 1 Oct. Says 4 IS militants killed + 3 women & children in Taliban raid in Kabul on 3 Oct/1
The IS account, which came in the group's weekly paper al-Naba on 8 Oct, claims the IS members fought fiercely when Taliban raided their homes in Kabul & Parwan and that gunfights lasted hours causing deaths and injuries in Taliban ranks before the IS militants perished /2
Within the same report, al-Naba features an image of a blindfolded man whom it says is the Taliban member later beheaded by IS in Jalalabad. The pose of one of the IS militants in the image suggests it's a still from a video which might come out later /3
Read 4 tweets
Sep 20, 2021
1) #IS/#ISKP claims first attacks specifically targeting #Taliban in Afghanistan since the latter took power on 15 Aug. IS said it carried out a series of 7 IED attacks on Taliban members in the eastern city of Jalalabad on 18 and 19 Sep, allegedly "killing and wounding over 35"
2) In its claims, IS uses its typical wording to describe the Taliban, calling them an "apostate militia". IS released an image and a video of a low-profile IED blast to support its claims
3) As far as I can see, the Taliban have yet to comment on these attacks, which local media said also harmed civilians who were in the vicinity of the blasts
Read 6 tweets
Sep 11, 2021
Thread on 9/11 anniversary, based on @BBCMonitoring analysis. It looks at the state of jihad, particularly that of al-Qaeda, in the context of the current geopolitical developments, esp the Taliban's return to power: monitoring.bbc.co.uk/product/c202vk… 👇
Jihadists are celebrating the 20th anniversary of 9/11 as a double victory. It coincides with the Taliban's return to power in Afghanistan, seen as a coup for jihad, and the departure of all US troops from the country /1
Al-Qaeda has been at the forefront in congratulating the Taliban on their "historic victory", saying it foreshadows jihadist gains elsewhere. Jihadists are largely interpreting Taliban's return to power as a divine sign from Allah 2/
Read 25 tweets
Aug 31, 2021
Thread: Al-Qaeda’s “general command” has finally issued a statement congratulating Taliban on the “great victory”, seeing it as a “prelude” to Muslims successes elsewhere & end to “American-European arrogance”, hegemony. AQ branches have already issued congratulatory statements/1
AQ urges Afghans to rally around TB and trust & obey its leadership; calls on Muslims worldwide to support TB by providing needed skills and funds to help it build a state. Similar to other AQ statements, prays TB will govern by Sharia - a make or break issue for jihadists /2
AQ pays tribute TB leadership, naming its chief, “commander of the faithful” Hibatullah Akhundzada. AQ is bound to TB by a pledge of allegiance. In theory, this means AQ places itself under the orders of TB /3
Read 8 tweets

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