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Charles #GetCovered-ba 🩺 Profile picture
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Feb 7 • 5 tweets • 3 min read
@RachelBitecofer Well, I haven't looked at 5-11 specifically, but it's pretty clear here. Notice how *both* the R^2 (correlation) *and* slope stopped climbing/leveled off around September, stayed flat for 2 months, and then started climbing again right after Thanksgiving?
@RachelBitecofer Guess what happened right around Thanksgiving?

Hypothesis: For the most part, mostly-Dem vaxxed parents vaxxed their kids; mostly-GOP unvaxxed parents refused to vaxx their kids.
@RachelBitecofer Related:
@RachelBitecofer As for your original tweet: This is only includes 45 states, but it's pretty telling...I had to change the trend line from linear to log...
@RachelBitecofer Full blog post w/more complete graph:

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More from @charles_gaba

Charles #GetCovered-ba 🩺 Profile picture
Feb 8
📣 (warning: long thread w/50+ graphics)

It's been another 3 months, so I figured it's a good time to again break out COVID county-level, 2-dose, total population vaccination rates for all 50 states.

Again, I use CDC data for most states, w/state health dept. data for a few. 1/
ALABAMA: Fairly weak partisan correlation, mainly because the vaccination rate sucks pretty much EVERYWHERE. It does form an odd snake shape, though.

The graph on the right (w/out background graphics/etc) includes children 5-11 only. ImageImage
ALASKA: AK has always been all over the place on COVID vaccination rates. Bristol Bay has supposedly vaxxed *over* 100% of its population which is impossible; this is caused by a variety of factors including error margin etc. I've set a max cap of 98% for any county's vaxx rate. ImageImage
Read 13 tweets
Charles #GetCovered-ba 🩺 Profile picture
Feb 7
📣 WEEKLY UPDATE: County-level #COVID19 vaccination rates by partisan lean (now w/boosters):
acasignups.net/22/02/07/weekl…
AMERICA 2022 IN ONE IMAGE, updated as of 2/7/22:
NOTHING NEW UNDER THE SUN: Both the R^2 and slope are now well over 0.5/-0.5 and both continue to inch higher every week.

Translation: The partisan vaccination gap continues to *increase* over time.
Read 6 tweets
Charles #GetCovered-ba 🩺 Profile picture
Feb 3
📣📣 CHALLENGE ACCEPTED: The Elephant in the Room, now Age-Adjusted:
acasignups.net/22/02/03/chall…
If you estimated how many Trump/Biden voters have died of COVID since the 2020 election based on the national popular vote, you'd assume that the Biden toll was ~4.4 points higher since he won the popular vote by 4.4 points nationally.

HOWEVER, that's clearly not the case. 2/
If you adjust this by the 2020 election results at the *state or county* level, it comes out ranging between ~6K more Biden voters to ~17K more Trump voters having died since then.

HOWEVER, that doesn't account for age. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Charles #GetCovered-ba 🩺 Profile picture
Feb 2
📣 A *LOT* of people are ripping this new @NYTimes piece by @benjmueller and Eleanor Lutz for not mentioning, even in passing, the partisan gap in vaccinations & COVID deaths or the coordinated anti-vaxx campaign by the GOP/FOX News behind the headline. 1/
nytimes.com/interactive/20…
Now, maybe they were told not to mention that, or perhaps an overzealous editor removed it. I don't know what the policy is at the Times these days.

.@benjmueller follows me on Twitter, but he hasn't actually tweeted anything since mid-November, so in case he sees this... 2/
...here's the 2-dose vaxx rate of all 3,144 counties in the 50 U.S. states +DC, broken out by 2020 Trump vote.

For stats folks: The R^2 & slope have *both* climbed steadily since the day COVID vaccines were made available to all adults. 3/
acasignups.net/22/02/02/weekl…
Read 7 tweets
Charles #GetCovered-ba 🩺 Profile picture
Feb 2
📣 THREAD: Earlier today @PaulKrugman linked to a post of mine from December which showed how the #DeltaVariant ravaged Red America for 6 months. 1/
acasignups.net/22/02/01/reque…
In the post, I noted that in June 2021, the COVID death rate in the reddest decile of the U.S. was "only" 43% higher than in the bluest decile, but by August it was running an astonishing 7.3x higher in the reddest 10th of the country than the bluest 10th: 2/
For the full 6-month period (June - December), the death rate in the reddest decile averaged around 5.8x higher than in the bluest decile.

More recently I noted that the #OmicronVariant is a whole new chapter, with case rates running higher in *blue* counties than red ones... 3/
Read 4 tweets
Charles #GetCovered-ba 🩺 Profile picture
Feb 1
🚨 If you’ve seen videos of MI GOP Senate/Governor candidates talking about committing election fraud, murdering poll workers & telling rape victims they should feel grateful, perhaps you should help re-elect @gretchenwhitmer, @JocelynBenson & @dananessel?
secure.actblue.com/donate/miblue2…
If you haven’t seen the videos yet, here’s the first…
…and here’s the second:
Read 4 tweets

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