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Feb 9 β€’ 66 tweets β€’ 25 min read
Good Morning β˜•οΈ
New #Ukraine πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ / #Russia πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί thread!
πŸ‘‡
Unloading of equipment in Veselaya Lopan, Belgorod region, ~15km from #Ukraine
Footage of the deployment of S-400 systems at the Brestsky training ground in #Belarus as part of an inspection of the reaction forces
Krasnodar region, #Russia
Large Russian convoy in Rostov-on-Don (likely M4 highway)
Stary Oskol, Voronezh region, ~100km from the border with #Ukraine
#NATO’s build-up near western borders poses threats to #Moscow-led bloc - CSTO chief
tass.com/defense/1400135
Chief of the Russian General Staff General Valery Gerasimov has arrived in #Belarus to check the preparedness of Russian troops for the Union Resolve drills - Russian Defense Ministry
tass.com/defense/1400065
Today the first stage of Russian - Belarusian joint exercises ended: The task was the redeployment of troops & the creation of task forces in #Belarus, as well as activities to ensure the security of crucial government & military facilities & protect state border in the airspace
Second stage of the Russian - Belarusian joint exercises will take place from February 10 to 20, with troops practicing ways to repel external aggression, combat terrorism and protect the interests of the Union State
More footage from Korenevo, Kursk region, ~20km from the border with #Ukraine
Reminder: Next Normandy Format talks will take place tomorrow
Sevastopol, #Crimea
Kursk region, #Russia
#DPR's Basurin says "a large number of volunteers arrive in Donbas who express a desire to fight #Kyiv's aggression in the ranks of the People's Militia" (h/t @akihheikkinen)
voennoedelo.com/posts/id19738-…
President Zelensky convenes National Security and Defense council of #Ukraine this Friday
via @Liveuamap
Concentration of troops at #Ukraines northern border looks very worrisome. Again, there are no designated training areas in southern #Belarus, no explanation for these deployments.
Heavy artillery filmed in Kursk here and they are being transported towards the border

Image
Germany's Scholz sees 'progress' in diplomatic efforts to ease #Ukraine crisis - AFP
Germany's gas stocks have fallen to a "worrying" level, an economy ministry spokeswoman said Wednesday, as fears over a possible invasion of #Ukraine by #Russia put further pressure on energy supplies - AFP
Another video from train station in Veselaya Lopan, less than 20km from the border with #Ukraine
Malinovyi, Kursk region, ~100km from #Ukraine
White House has approved a Pentagon plan for #US troops in #Poland to help thousands of Americans likely to flee #Ukraine if #Russia attacks, as the Biden administration tries to avoid the kind of chaotic evacuation conducted in Afghanistan
wsj.com/articles/white…
Arkhangelsk region, #Russia
Abinsk, Krasnodar region, trucks filled with soldiers
More and more columns spotted on the M4 highway in the Rostov region. This one reportedly from today.
In fact this was said by Andrei Purgin, a local politician and former separatist leader. Two other "separatist sources" said they did not expect a major military escalation until at least spring. 1/2
Meanwhile the Deputy Chief of the #DPR claims Ukrainian tanks have been deployed 15 km from separatist positions near Novostritskoye and Avdiivka 2/2
tass.com/world/1400333
SOBR Special Rapid Response Unit (Π‘ΠžΠ‘Π  on the trucks), a spetsnaz unit of the National Guard of #Russia was spotted in the Kursk region yesterday
Not sure who is leaving here (maybe just the plane?). Liz Truss planned to arrive in Moscow today to meet Lavrov tomorrow. Ben Wallace about to meet Shoigu "end of this week" (couldn't find a specific date).
There will be no official delegation from #Russia at the largest international security forum, the Munich Conference on February 18-20. Last week it was already reported that neither Lavrov nor Putin will visit the conference.
kommersant.ru/doc/5206865?fr…
Chaltyr, Rostov region. Will be interesting to know in which direction they move.
Image
Multiple people quickly found the location. Convoy is moving west, so likely end up on the E58 towards the border with #Ukraine.
- next week Russia's amphibious assault ships will arrive in the Black Sea
- NOTAMS for wide areas of Black Sea / Sea of Azov from Feb 13-19
- Joint Belarusian - Russian exercises end Feb 20
- Olympics end Feb 20
- No Russian delegation at Munich Security conference on Feb 18-20
"We do not want any panic, but it is very similar to preparing for something like a "naval blockade" of Ukrainian ports. Which we have been warning about for 2 years." - project manager at the Institute for Black Sea Strategic Studies
zn.ua/ukr/UKRAINE/ro…
He also noted that no corridors for the passage of merchant ships are provided
Raspoutitsa πŸ‘Œ
SAM systems and other equipment in Novy Oskol, Belgorod Oblast, ~40km from the border with #Ukraine
Russian tanks crossing a small road somewhere in the Rostov region
Construction equipment on military trailers in Smolensk
Bryansk region, #Russia
Train with a lot of fuel trucks in Oryol
2S19 Msta heavy artillery, Oryol region
Interesting video of likely the same convoy as in the video above. Looks like artillery is being unloaded somewhere in a field.
This is not a prediction of anything. But it's definitely an interesting few days with many possible outcomes.
#US official says #Russia has added approximately 2,000 combat forces to the border areas near #Ukraine in the last 24 hours. Assessment is that more will be added in the coming days
via @barbarastarrcnn
Pentagon also says it has seen #Russia sending additional capabilities along its border with #Ukraine and into #Belarus in the last 24 hours
via @idreesali114
Voronezh region, #Russia
All six Russian Landing Ships have now entered the Black Sea
Russian helicopters in Kuban, reportedly today
Fuel for aviation on the move in Buturlinovka, Voronezh region
I think i forgot another possible interesting event. Afaik the Russian Duma will decide on the request to recognise #DPR's and #LPR's independence on Feb 14.
Comment in a TankTok video says "Tanks being unloaded in a field near Taganrog". Just a comment but worth to watch:
Image
A video of other military equipment was also confirmed moving towards Taganrog earlier today.
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