Ted Darling Profile picture
Feb 22 โ€ข 11 tweets โ€ข 3 min read
Hello Tuesday!

#festivus came early this year with an hour long airing of the grievances followed by feats of ๐Ÿ’ช and military occupation of southeastern #Urkaine

$WTIC ๐Ÿš€

Let's dig into the resulting ๐Ÿงฎ!
Asia not liking #festivus closing โ†˜๏ธโ†˜๏ธ

$NIKK 20450 -1.7%
$SSEC 3457 -0.95%
$TWII 17969 -1.40%
$HSI 23475 -2.9% โฌ…๏ธ
$KOSPI 2707 -1.35%
$IDX 6862 -0.6%

Australia โ†˜๏ธ
$ASX 7161 -1.0%

India โ†˜๏ธ
$BSE -1.5%
Europe compounding losses at the open โ†˜๏ธ

$DAX 14484 -1.7%
$FTSE 7440 -0.6%
$CAC 6717 -1.05%
$AEX 725 -0.6%
$IBEX 8400 -1.05%
$MIB 25700 -1.35%
$SMI 11763 -1.1%
$MOEX 2925 -3.7% โฌ…๏ธโ†˜๏ธ๐Ÿช†

$VSTOXX 36.22 ๐Ÿ˜ฑ๐Ÿ”บ๐Ÿ”บ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ futures โ†˜๏ธ but off the lows

$ES 4292 -1.3% after touching 4255
$NQ 13720 -2.05%
$RTY 1986 -1.15%

$VIX 30.94 ๐Ÿ”บ
#backwardation
Base metals ripping โ†—๏ธ (gold, not so much)

$GOLD 1901 +0.05%
$SILVER 24.14 +0.6%
$COPPER 4.498 -0.5%

$PLAT 1084 1084 +0.7%
$PALL 2375 +1.6%
$ALI 3390 +3.35% โฌ…๏ธ๐Ÿš€
$ZINC 3631 +2.05%
Hydrocarbons en fuego ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿš€
๐Ÿ›ข โ›ฝ๏ธ

$WTIC 94.48 +4.75%
$BRENT 95.98 +3.2%
$GASO 2.92 +4.1%
$NATGAS 4.453 +1.75%
Grains ripping โ†—๏ธ
๐ŸŒพ๐ŸŒฝ

$WHEAT 820 +2.9%
$CORN 670 +2.5%
$SOYB 1629 +1.6%
$SUGAR 18.39 +1.05%
#FX remarkably tranquilo โ†”๏ธ

$USD 96.095 +0.08%
$EUR 1.132 +0.07%
$GBP 1.358 -0.15%
$AUD 0.72 +0.15%
$USDJPY 114.88 +0.12%
$USDCHF 0.9178 +0.23%
$USDCAD 1.275 -0.04%
$USDRUB 79.84 +0.1% ๐Ÿช†
Your favorite risk indicator #crypto โ†˜๏ธโ†˜๏ธ

$BTC 37047 -6.1% ๐Ÿฉธ
$ETH 2540 -6.6% ๐Ÿฉธ
UST yields โ†˜๏ธ
10/2s to 41 BPS ๐Ÿฅž

2Y 1.475 +0.003
5Y 1.812 -0.01
10Y 1.901 -0.029
30Y 2.217 -0.032

Global 10Ys mostly โ†˜๏ธ
AUS 2.206 +0.007
This February #festivus is aggravating inflationary pressures and accentuating ๐Ÿป trends in equities

Long vol continues to work ๐ŸŒŠ
Long bonds finally starting to ๐Ÿ’ฐ

Remain agile and have a super profitable ๐Ÿ’ฐ day!

โ€ข โ€ข โ€ข

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More from @tdarling1

Feb 24
Hello Thursday! ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ’ฅ

๐Ÿช† unleashes ๐Ÿ‘น

$MOEX -23%
$VIX 36.23
$BRENT +6.3%
$WHEAT +5.7%
$BTC -7.75%
$GOLD +2.0%

Let's dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ!
Asia closed โ†˜๏ธโ†˜๏ธ

$NIKK 25971 -1.8%
$SSEC 3429 -1.7% (safe haven per Mobius)
$TWII 17595 -2.55%
$HSI 22902 -3.2% โฌ…๏ธ
$KOSPI 2649 -2.6%
$IDX -1.5%

Australia โ†˜๏ธโ†˜๏ธ
$ASX 6991 -3.0%

India โ†˜๏ธโ†˜๏ธ
$BSE 54964 -4.0% โฌ…๏ธ
Europe opens โ†˜๏ธ๐Ÿฉธ

$DAX 14141 -3.3%
$FTSE 7313 -2.45%
$CAC 3568 -3.15%
$AEX 710 -2.5%
$IBEX 8193 -2.9%
$MIB 35104 -3.3%
$SMI 11688 -2.15%
$MOEX 2344 -24.05% โฌ…๏ธ๐Ÿช†๐Ÿฉธ

$VSTOXX 33.46
Read 11 tweets
Feb 23
Hello ๐Ÿซ day!

If you sold the lows and panicked at $VIX 30 like the big #DIX, then you are getting ๐Ÿซ at the open.

But ๐ŸŒŠ like this has a way of ๐Ÿซ everyone but the most agile โš ๏ธ

Let's dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ!
Emperor's Day in ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ตbut open Asia closed โ†—๏ธ

$SSEC 3489 +0.95%
$TWII 18056 +0.5%
$HSI 23660 +0.6%
$KOSPI 2720 +0.45%
$IDEX 6920 +0.85%

Australia โ†—๏ธ
$7206 +0.6%

India โ†—๏ธ
$BSE 57495 +0.35%
Europe ripping โ†—๏ธ at the open

$DAX 148889 +1.35%
$FTSE 7543 +0.65%
$CAC 6903 +1.7% โฌ…๏ธ
$IBEX 8597 +1.25%
$MIB 26353 +1.2%
$SMI 12117 +1.3%
$MOEX 3085 +1.6% ๐Ÿช†

$VSTOXX 32.98 ๐Ÿ”ป
Read 11 tweets
Feb 13
๐Ÿปโ™‰๏ธโ†—๏ธโ†˜๏ธโ†”๏ธโš ๏ธ๐Ÿšฉ๐Ÿ”บ๐Ÿ”ป๐Ÿงฎ

Global Macro Review 02/013/22

1/11

Lots of speculation about where to from here?

Sometimes, itโ€™s as simple as looking at clear Trends

Equities ๐Ÿป
Bonds ๐Ÿป
Commodities โ™‰๏ธ
Volatility โ™‰๏ธ
USD ๐Ÿ˜‘
Gold ๐Ÿ˜‘

Letโ€™s dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ!
2/11

With markets closed before ๐Ÿช†๐Ÿ˜ฑ, internatโ€™l equities โ†—๏ธ last week

$SSEC +3.0% (w) -2.15% (T)
$DAX +2.15% (w) -4.15% (T)
$HSI +1.35% (w) -1.65% (T)
$NIKK +0.95% (w) -6.55% (T)
$CAC +0.9% (w) -1.15% (T)
$KOSPI -0.9% (w) -7.45% (T)

Chart: $DAX remains ๐Ÿป (T) = Trend = 3 mos
2a/11

Chart: $HSI now โ™‰๏ธ (t) = trade = 1 mo = +2.15%
A close above 25,050 would confirm โ™‰๏ธ trend
Read 24 tweets
Feb 11
Hello Friday!

7.5% CPI
2Y to 1.6%
10/2s to 40 BPS

Market forcing Fed to hike - soon.

Let's dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ!
Asia mostly โ†˜๏ธ with ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต bucking the trend

$NIKK 27696 +0.4% โฌ…๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต
$SSEC 3463 -0.65%
$TWII 18311 -0.15%
$HSI 24907 -0.05%
$KOSPI 2748 -0.85%
$IDX 6815 -0.1%

Australia โ†˜๏ธ
$ASX 7217 -1.0%

India โ†˜๏ธ
$BSE 58178 -1.25%
Europe ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ”จโ†˜๏ธ for a second day

$DAX 15324 -1.05%
$FTSE 7604 -0.9%
$CAC 6999 -1.45%
$AEX 756 -0.85%
$IBEX 8778 -1.2%
$MIB 26765 -1.55%
$SMI 12196 -0.95%
$MOEX 3532 -3.4% โฌ…๏ธ๐Ÿช†

$VSTOXX 21.84
Read 12 tweets
Feb 1
Hello February! ๐Ÿฐ๐Ÿฐ

Biggest mistake of January?
Selling most of my $CRB +9.79% exposure

No ๐Ÿ‘€ back and ๐Ÿ˜ญ over spilled ๐Ÿฅ›

Time to grab the ๐Ÿฏ by the #tail and dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ!
Most of Asia celebrating ๐Ÿฏ

Good idea given January returns with $KOSPI -10.56%, $SSEC -7.65, and $NIKK -6.22%

Tuesday trading
$NIKK 27078 +0.3%
$BSE 58871 +0.8%
January returns for Euro area were โ†˜๏ธ but better than USA and Asia

January: $DAX -2.6% and $CAC -2.15%

Early trade
$DAX 15599 +0.8%
$FTSE 7533 +0.9%
$CAC 7065 +0.95%
$AEX 762 +0.9%
$IBEX 8706 +1.1%
$MIB 27091 +1.05%
$SMI 12327 +0.8%
$MOEX 3561 +0.9% ๐Ÿช†
Read 10 tweets
Jan 31
Hello Monday! ๐Ÿฏ

Much of Asia closed for NY eve ๐Ÿฅณ๐ŸŽ‰๐Ÿช…๐Ÿพ

Equity markets building on Friday's gains
No signs of weakness in the $CRB to end the month

Let's dig into the ๐Ÿงฎ!
๐Ÿฏ symbolizes power, courage, confidence, leadership and strength

$NIKK 27001 +1.05%
$SSEC ๐Ÿฏ
$TWII ๐Ÿฏ
$HSI ๐Ÿฏ
$KOSPI ๐Ÿฏ
$IDX 6631 -0.2%

Australia โ†˜๏ธ
$ASX 6972 -0.25%

India โ†—๏ธ
$BSE 58160 +1.7%
Europe opens โ†—๏ธ

$DAX 15504 +1.2%
$FTSE 7479 +0.2%
$CAC 7020 +0.75%
$AEX 756 +1.55%
$IBEX 8632 +0.25%
$MIB 26899 +1.25%
$SMI 12236 +1.1%
$MOEX 3544 +1.6% โฌ…๏ธ๐Ÿช†

$VSTOXX 29.41
Read 11 tweets

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