John E Deaton Profile picture
Feb 23 16 tweets 11 min read
PREDICTION:

The case against @bgarlinghouse and @chrislarsensf is OVER. It was over the day it was filed. There’s NO WAY the SEC can meet it’s burden. The SEC must prove the two executives had actual knowledge #XRP was a security or was reckless in not knowing.
In order to prove recklessness the SEC must prove a reasonable person would’ve known #XRP was a security b/c it was so clear and obvious to anyone at that time.

LETS REVIEW SOME OF THE EVIDENCE:

1) October 2012 Perkins Coie Memo: It concluded #XRP was not a security;
2) Until April 2018, the SEC allowed staff, including enforcement lawyers, to trade and own Crypto - including #XRP - w/o any restrictions;
3) June 13, 2018 SEC Legal Memo analyzing w/r #XRP is a security: SEC enforcement lawyers DO NOT conclude #XRP is a security b/c there’s no enforcement recommendation made;
4) June 14, 2018 Hinman Speech: Hinman said #Ethereum is no longer a security
b/c it’s sufficiently decentralized. Since it can be argued the #XRPL is, at least, as decentralized (if not more), its reasonable to believe ongoing sales of #XRP from 2018 forward were lawful; ie👇
5) August 20, 2018 meeting between @JoelKatz and @bgarlinghouse with Clayton and Hinman: Brad yells out:

“Ripple’s in purgatory because of the lack of clarity over #XRP.”

Neither Clayton nor Hinman inform Garlinghouse or Ripple that they or the SEC believe #XRP is a security;
6) Coinbase goes to the SEC in January 2019 and informs the SEC it has concluded #XRP IS NOT a security and plan listing #XRP the following month: the SEC said nothing to discourage Coinbase and #XRP was listed in February 2019;
7) On June 19, 2019, Rippled filed w/ the SEC and was allowed to buy 9% of @MoneyGram w/ the SEC knowing full well that Ripple would transfer or pay #XRP to MoneyGram, which, in turn, would sell #XRP in the secondary market to retail investors.

coindesk.com/business/2019/…
January 1, 2020 Bailard Inc., a financial investment firm, filed an ethics declaration with the SEC assuring the SEC that Bailard would only trade digital assets generally accepted in the financial industry as non-securities: #BTC, #ETH and #XRP.
IN SUMMARY:

The 2012 Perkins Coie Opinion Letter destroys the SEC’s chances of proving Garlinghouse and Larsen actually believed #XRP a security.
If SEC enforcement lawyers (the experts who determine what is or isn’t a security) couldn’t make the case #XRP was definitely a security as late as 2018 there’s no way it can prove Larsen and Garlinghouse were reckless in 2013 (or beyond).
In fact, Ripple can prove the opposite by showing that It wasn’t even obvious to the SEC that #XRP was a security by offering this evidence:

1) SEC’s own enforcement lawyers couldn’t make the case in 2018;

2) the Hinman speech provided reason to believe #XRP was in the clear;
3) Clayton & Hinman didn’t communicate #XRP was a security during meetings until 4 months before the lawsuit;

4) The SEC allowed it’s staff to own or trade #XRP w/o restriction up until 2019; and

5) It allowed MoneyGram to sell #XRP to retail holders (through (exchanges).
Thus, Garlinghouse and Larsen can prove they didn’t believe #XRP was a security. They can also prove the SEC itself wasn’t convinced #XRP was a security. The final nail in the SEC’s proverbial coffin ⚰️ (I mean case) is proving what most independent market participants believed.
You prove that by offering the Coinbase and Bailard evidence. Coinbase, with it’s sophisticated securities lawyers, concluded in 2019 that #XRP was not a security and communicated that fact to the SEC and then proceeded to list #XRP.
Bailard, a typical market participant, was very concerned about digital assets potentially being unregistered securities and therefore, made clear to the SEC it would only trade digital assets generally accepted w/in the industry as non-securities (#XRP).

The Defense rests.

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More from @JohnEDeaton1

Feb 22
Last year @RoslynLayton brilliantly wrote:

“Put two and two together, and the SEC is saying that Ripple and its two top executives had to have reasonable knowledge of something seven years ago that the agency itself wasn’t sure about last Friday.”

forbes.com/sites/roslynla…
We all recently learned just how poetically accurate Dr. Layton was when she wrote that sentence last year.

Two pieces of critical evidence demonstrate her accuracy:

1) The October 2012 Perkins Coie Memo; and

2) The SEC’s June 13, 2018 legal analysis of #XRP.
The Perkins Coie Opinion Memo concluded #XRP was not a security. Although we do not know exactly what the #XRP Memo says, we know what it doesn’t say. Judge Netburn ruled the SEC’s analysis of w/r #XRP is a security is privileged so the public and @Ripple do not get to read it.
Read 12 tweets
Feb 20
Judge Netburn’s decision on the motion for reconsideration will be the biggest decision in the @Ripple case. I say that b/c I don’t believe the motion to strike the FND is a significant one b/c the Judge isn’t deciding w/r Ripple had fair notice, but only w/r it can argue it.
The reconsideration motion relates to the 63 emails containing drafts and comments regarding the Hinman #ETH is no longer a security speech. The final version of the speech discusses both #Bitcoin and #ETH. The final version does not refer or mention #XRP.
#XRP consistently battled #ETH for the number 2 Crypto behind #BTC
In January 2018 - 6 months before the Hinman speech - #XRP hit an all-time high above $3 making it the world's 2nd largest crypto.
Read 10 tweets
Feb 19
UNDISPUTED FACTS TIMELINE ADDITIONS

2012: Perkins Coie (the same law firm that helped write ✍️ Hinman’s #Ether Free Pass Speech) informed @chrislarsensf #RippleCredits (aka #XRP) IS NOT a security;

The 2012 memo warned Larsen there was a risk under the Bank Secrecy Act (BSA);
The 2012 legal memo 📝 stated that the law firm’s “analysis has never been tested by FinCEN in practice, and therefore reliance thereon is not without risk”;

The Perkins Coie 📝 was spot on b/c in:

2015: FinCEN sued @Ripple claiming it had violated the BSA;
FinCEN’s suit against Ripple was the first civil enforcement action against a cryptocurrency industry player - a case of true first impression in the industry;

Ripple settled paying 700K and agreed to comply w/ NON- SECURITIES regulations;
Read 27 tweets
Feb 18
Below is an honest question that many have. I’ve seen a lot of negative comments lately about the judges. Your frustration is misplaced. Plz know, I understand everyone’s anger. But people are unrealistically expecting the judge, on her own volition, to throw out the case.
That’s not how it works. The judge rules on motions that are filed before her. @Ripple has not filed a motion to dismiss the case for any type of wrong-doing. The judge only knows about conflicts of interests and appearances of impropriety b/c I submitted a declaration citing it.
To be candid, the only reason I was able to cite to those conflicts is
b/c the SEC attacked me personally - trying to paint me an unhinged Twitter conspiracy theorist. Unless Ripple files a motion to dismiss based on all of this info, the judge isn’t going to just throw it out.
Read 5 tweets
Feb 16
What’s lost on many people interviewing Gensler (no offense intended) is that he keeps saying the platforms and exchanges need to come in and register. But you only register w/ the SEC if you’re selling securities. Gensler is thus calling all of these assets securities.
If @jespow met w/ @GaryGensler & the SEC and he listed out every crypto asset offered on the @krakenfx platform and asked:

“Which of these assets do you believe are securities and I will remove them”, he would be told by the SEC:

“We do not provide that type of guidance.”
Yet, Jesse or @JpThieriot or any other CEO of a digital asset platform, is expected to register that they are selling securities even if they do not believe they are selling securities.

After leaving the meeting w/ the SEC, Jesse can expect a subpoena, followed by a lawsuit.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 14
PSA TO CRITICS OF #XRP

This 🧵 is for non-#XRPHolders & those who dislike @Ripple or believe #XRP is a shit coin b/c of how it was created. This 🧵 is also for entities that hold themselves out as so-called leaders w/in the Crypto Community, promoting blockchain technologies.
Before you celebrate or ignore the significant implications surrounding the filing of the lawsuit, you should consider that BEFORE the @SECGov sued NOT ONLY Ripple but de facto every #XRPHolder (as stated by Judge Netburn) the following facts and information was known:
DBS, Singapore’s largest bank and the 6th largest bank in the 🌍, declared #XRP better & faster than #SWIFT.

DBS launched a digital exchange between four fiat currencies - $SGD, $HKP, $JPY & $USD - and the four most established cryptocurrencies - #BTC, #ETH, #XRP and #BCH.
Read 25 tweets

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