Gas TSO of Ukraine Profile picture
Feb 23 β€’ 8 tweets β€’ 4 min read
QUESTION: now that πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ halted certification of #NordStream2 will it cause gas shortages in Europe?

ANSWER: no.

in 2021, ~40 BCM of gas arrived in πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί via #Ukraine πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ (that's roughly equivalent to πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ's total gas consumption)

0 BCM of gas was transited to πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί via #NS2

🧡THREAD
NS2 was never going to bring new gas to πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί
It's a question of simple arithmetic.
🟨 total gas exports from πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί to πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί in 2021 = 140 bcm
🟨 maximum gas exports from πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί to πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί estimated at ~200 bcm by Gazprom itself
🟨 total existing transit capacity to bring πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί gas to πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί = 266 bcm
The gas crunch in Europe is a consequence of discretionary and deliberate efforts by Gazprom.

Don't take our word for it, just ask @fbirol of @IEA - the most respected international body, staunchly neutral, always objective and data-driven

theguardian.com/business/2022/…
At present, Gazprom has contracted our transit capacity under the 5-year contract, but it’s using half of what it is paying for.

There is no commercial justification for it.

linkedin.com/feed/update/ur…
Ukraine's GTSOU stands ready to transit as much gas as Europe requires.

The cancelation of NS2 impacts nothing in terms of transit capacities to bring gas to Europe.
euractiv.com/section/global…
If πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ were to double its imports of πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί gas in 2022, the existing system can easily handle it. In fact, Germany can triple its imports of Russian gas, and the need for Nord Stream 2 still wouldn't arise
Our intention is to continue gas transit. We do not intend to use energy as a weapon. We do not use gas transit as leverage. We are doing what a regulated utility does. We transit gas.
linkedin.com/feed/update/ur…

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More from @GasTSOua

Oct 16, 2021
[THREAD]: The #EnergyCrisis and #gasprice πŸ“ˆis a consequence of deliberate choices by a dominant gas supplier to Europe not to use the existing gas transmission infrastructure
Russia talks of increased gas "supplies" to Europe but not β€œexports”
The difference seems subtleπŸ€” the consequences are not 🚨
To boost β€œsupplies,” Gazprom is emptying its EU storage facilities (stoking fears ➠ pushing up prices πŸ“ˆ) and hides behind "delivering on obligations"
Gazprom increased production by 18% this year, which allowed Russia to triple its exports to China and Turkey, but not Europe πŸ€”
#gascrisis #energycrunch
Read 4 tweets
Oct 15, 2021
The 5-year contract which was signed in 2019 foresees the transit volumes of 40 bcm in 2021, which amounts to 109 mcm/day.
It is deeply alarming 🚨 and quite informative to note that Gazprom is now paying for capacity and not using it!
Since the beginning of the month, Gazprom is shipping 86 mcm/day which is ~25% less than what it's paying for. There is a great disconnect between the words and the actions when it comes to the role of the Russian Federation in the European gas crunch.
#EnergyCrisis #GasPrice
Ukraine stands ready to transport as much gas as Europe needs and our spare capacity, available at this very time, is nearly twice that of #NordStream2

#energyprices #energycrunch
Read 4 tweets
Oct 14, 2021
πŸ€” it is possible for Russia to "increase supplies" of #natgas to Europe and create market fear 😱 that contributed to the quadrupling of prices since June?
πŸ’‘ A few hints below πŸ‘‡πŸ‘‡πŸ‘‡
Hint 1: gas "supplies" is a loaded word. Many automatically equate "increased supplies" with more gas exports from πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί to πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί.
That's not the case. Gazprom is emptying its EU storage (stoking fears ➠ pushing up prices πŸ“ˆ) and hides behind "delivering on obligations" Image
Hint 2: the post-pandemic gas demand in Europe is on par with 2019, so that's the reference year to look at for meaningful analysis.
Any comparison to 2020, used by those who prefer not to notice Gazprom’s role in the #gascrisis, is unhelpful and misleading. #energycrisis
Read 4 tweets

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