A thread explaining the military, humanitarian, and diplomatic situation of #Mariupοl after around 10 days of siege of the city.
1/11
In the humanitarian scene, electricity has been cut off from the city since the beginning of the siege as a result of the Russian army’s targeting of power supply stations, causing the heating stopping in a cold winter weather with temperatures of -10 in the evening.
2/11
We are talking about more than 300,000 people who did not leave the city with the interruption of the food supply. This pushed the population towards consuming canned food, which is also starting to run out, with very limited sources of drinking water.
3/11
According to local sources, the number of civilians killed exceeded 1,000. The number of casualties was high as a result of snipping & the unstoppable indiscriminate bombardment of the city, with a lack of medical supplies and closure of most hospitals.
4/11
There are cases of sick people with chronic diseases who are in dire need of health care, people infected with the Covid-19 virus who need oxygen, but there is little availability while most of the population lives underground.
5/11
#Ukraine #USA #NATO #EU #UK #Russia
On the military front, the Russian army, despite the insane bombing of the city, tried to storm it only twice, and was met with resistance from the Ukrainian army and the National Resistance. Until this moment it has not been able to enter any of the city's neighbourhoods.
6/11
The reasons of the siege on the city are the following: The Russian army, through this difficult humanitarian scene, wants to push the Ukrainian army to protect the population there by surrendering and handing over the city without resistance.
7/11
Nor does Moscow want to allow civilians in a city to go to the areas of the Ukrainian government so that they do not join the National Resistance and return to fight them again.
8/11
On the diplomatic scene, Ukrainian officials, headed by the foreign minister, are still trying to pressure #Russia internationally to open a safe crossing to the city, or at least deliver urgent aid, but today #Lavrov answered that the decision is not in his hands.
9/11
Yes, the decision is not in Lavrov's, nor Shoigu's hands. The decision on all the war crimes that are taking place in Ukraine & before that in Syria are in Putin's hands. He decided the invasion of Ukraine & the killing of its people. He is the one who should pay the price.
10/11
I call on all political forces in the world to press for the evacuation of civilians from #Mariupol, so that we do not witness scenes that we have experienced in the past in #Syria. Human lives cannot be used as a bargaining chip to meet the demands of an arrogant human being.
11

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More from @evacool_

Sep 27
#Thread #Lebanon #Hezbollah #Israel #IDF #Iran #IRGC #USA #Yemen #Iraq #Syria
A preliminary reading of the targeting of the Hezbollah militia headquarters in the southern suburb of Beirut, in light of the absence of decisive confirmations from the Israeli Defense Forces or Hezbollah.
1 🧵
What is certain so far, according to the latest updates, are two points: the first is that the targeted location is the headquarters of the #Hezbollah militia in the southern suburbs of #Beirut, and the second is that the targeting operation was carried out based on information that reached the #IDF that the leadership of the Hezbollah militia, headed by the militia leader Hassan #Nasrallah, was present at this headquarters.
2/
One of the important indicators at this time is that #Hezbollah militia has not issued any official statement denying Nasrallah’s presence at the targeted site, and thus the lack of denial so far confirms that #Nasrallah was present at the site. As for the delay in the announcement, it is also based on two points:
3/
Read 9 tweets
Sep 20
#Thread #Israel #Lebanon #IDF #Hezbollah #Iran #USA #IRGC #Syria #Yemen #Iraq
While waiting for the official statement from Hezbollah militia regarding the names of the leaders who were killed in the meeting chaired by Ibrahim Aqil in the southern suburb of Beirut, a quick reading of the escalating Lebanese-Israeli scene.
1 🧵
About 5 hours ago, Israeli F-35 warplanes attacked a tunnel under a building in the southern suburb of #Beirut with four heavy shells targeting a security meeting of military and security leaders of the #Hezbollah militia, headed by Ibrahim Aqil, the militia’s special operations officer and commander of the Radwan unit, who may have assumed the position of chief of staff of the militia after Fouad Shukr. According to information so far, there are more than 12 dead and more than 60 wounded, and rescue operations are still ongoing.
2/
This development today came less than 24 hours after a speech by the leader of the Hezbollah militia, Hassan #Nasrallah, which I analyzed this morning and personally considered its content to be a message of weakness and much less than what was expected after the bombings of the pagers and the walkie-talkies on Tuesday and Wednesday. It can be said that #Israel has read the military, political and regional reality of the militia well and the decision was to direct a new punch at the military head of the militia.
3/
Read 9 tweets
Sep 17
#Thread #Israel #IDF #Iran #IRGC #Syria #Lebanon #Hezbollah #USA #Yemen #Houthis
After about five hours from the explosions that hit the communications network of the Hezbollah militia in Lebanon, an analytical reading of this major event, before and after it.
1 🧵
About 12 hours before the event, the Israeli cabinet had concluded a meeting that lasted for several hours, which mainly discussed the future of Israel's northern front and ended with the announcement of the return of the residents of northern Israel to their homes as a goal of the war. It is necessary to review the previous thread in which I analyzed this step.
2/
This afternoon, the Shin Bet announced that it had foiled an assassination attempt targeting the former Chief of Staff of the #IDF using an explosive device. The Shin Bet directly accused #Hezbollah. In my opinion, Hezbollah wanted the failed assassination attempt to be a response to the assassination of the senior leader of the militia, Fouad Shukr.
3/
Read 9 tweets
Sep 17
#Thread #BREAKING #Lebanon #Israel
An unusual event is happening in Lebanon now and it may be the beginning of something bigger.
1 🧵
#Hezbollah militia has two communications systems to receive orders and information. The first is a ground communications system that relies on cables centered at Beirut International Airport. It is very complex and only includes important figures in the militia and command and control centers. The militia relies on another communications system, which is the automatic calling device known as the pager, which is the most widely used, as every member and leader in the militia carries this device to receive the latest orders and updates. Therefore, there are at least thousands of military and political members and leaders who carry this device, and even diplomatic figures.
2/
According to initial information, more than 1,200 members of the militia were transferred to Lebanese hospitals which began to announce that they are completely full. It is likely that the number is much larger than that, and we must wait some time to know it.
3/
Read 7 tweets
Sep 16
#Thread #Israel #IDF #Iran #IRGC #Houthis #Yemen #Lebanon #Hezbollah #USA #Syria #Russia
While Israeli officials insist that there is no way to return the residents of northern Israel to their homes safely except through a military operation in southern Lebanon, American officials believe that this operation could lead to a regional war. Is this claim true?
1 🧵Image
At the outset, it must be emphasized that the #Biden administration has always stressed its rejection of escalation in the Middle East. Since the first day after the October 7 attack, American officials have worked intensively to prevent war in #Gaza and confirmed their support for a hostage exchange deal at the price of responding to some of Hamas’s demands. The American justification at the time was that the war against #Hamas could lead to a regional war in which Iran and its militias in the region would participate, and that ground battles in Gaza would be very costly militarily and humanly.
2/
Today, the American envoy of the White House, Amos Hochstein, reiterates and confirms from Israel that the military solution in southern #Lebanon will not restore security to northern #Israel, but may lead to a regional war in which Iran participates. Hochstein, who has been working as a mediator with #Hezbollah since October 7, knows very well that there is no diplomatic solution on the table in light of the militia’s refusal to talk about withdrawing its fighters from southern Lebanon or even stopping its attacks before ending the war in #Gaza.
3/
Read 12 tweets
Sep 12
#Thread #Israel #IDF #Iran #IRGC #Syria #Hezbollah
With Israeli sources confirming the details of the ground landing operation carried out by the IDF against an Iranian military facility in the Syrian Masyaf region, as I reported exclusively yesterday, through an article by journalist @BarakRavid in the American newspaper Axios, there are logical questions that must be answered.
1 🧵
axios.com/2024/09/12/isr…
Some may wonder why the #IDF chose to risk an airdrop operation in the Masyaf area deep inside #Syria, near the Russian Khmeimim base and Hama military airport, where there is a large presence of Iranian-backed militias, while they could have bombed and destroyed the facility via warplanes or surface-to-surface missiles?
2/
Although Middle East researchers estimate that the reason behind this dangerous operation is to destroy the facility from the inside, in my opinion this operation has another purpose, which is the importance of the documents and military equipment contained in this facility, as it worked to develop missiles and modify their capabilities to accurately hit targets and maneuvering in the face of defense systems.
3/
Read 9 tweets

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